Li Dingyuan:9.26今日黄金还会涨吗？日内金价行情走势分析及操作建议

PerplexinggoldIt is always full of surprises and changes, and many people always lose their direction in the complex market. In this rising and falling market, it is difficult to firm their own thinking. When operating trading, it is necessary to control risks well, strengthen their own thinking, stop losses in a timely manner when wrong, and persist in holding near the target. Don't follow the crowd and be afraid of making mistakes, which can lead to confusion and distorted operations. My name is Li Dingyuan. Any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest survival of the fittest, one think two do three success, one wait two see three fail; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!

　　

Wednesday(9month25day)纽市盘中，美元指数大幅飙升，创9month12New high in recent days99.06，现货黄金一度跌逾2%, refresh this week's low point to1500.53dollar/盎司，因美国众议院对总统特朗普的弹劾调查引发的政治不确定性，促使投资者转向美元，这限制了黄金的吸引力；此外贸易局势缓解，市场风险偏好明显回升，也大大削弱了黄金的避险需求。
　　
Wednesday(9month25day)，现货黄金下调回落，但距离上日创下的9month5Daily high1535/36美元不远。美国众议院对总统特朗普启动一项正式的弹劾调查，可能波及2020年总统选情。叠加先前公布的疲软消费者信心数据加剧了投资者对全球贸易争端引发的经济疲软担忧。不过由于英国脱欧乱局进一步加剧，导致英镑暴跌逾0.7%，创下六个交易日新低。美元指数大幅反弹收复上日全部跌幅，但目前从盘面来看，现货黄金抗跌明显，并未受到上述不利因素压制。另外，美国众议院将针对有关总统特朗普寻求外国帮助来抹黑政敌的报导，启动一项正式的弹劾调查。此举令国会与白宫陷入激烈冲突，可能波及2020年总统选情。
　　
　　李鼎缘个人观点，弹劾总统是涉及多个步骤，需经多个月的过程，可能出现的潜在证据，这意味围绕美国宏观经济及政策前景的不确定性及干扰将会连绵数月，金融市场对此高度敏感。美国众议院对总统特朗普启动弹劾调查，在全球贸易争端拖累经济的疑虑之外，增添了政治不确定性的担忧。美元虽然没有受到影响，毕竟弹劾程序可能需要几个月时间，但这对美元绝不是好消息，并料利好黄金等避险资产。出于避险需求的推动，黄金仍有上升空间。对全球经济增长担忧的阴云仍笼罩市场，在未来几个月，避险需求仍然会继续上升。短期内，黄金和其他贵金属仍有上涨空间，因市场对10月降息的可能性达到50%。道明证券还预计美联储在10月份的会议上将会宣布资产购买计划，预计将会达到5150亿美元，这最终也会推动避险需求。

　　

　　9.26Analysis of gold market trend:
　　
　　技术面来看，黄金日内先涨后跌，一度逼近前一交易日触及的三周高位，但晚间出现一波快速下跌，美市盘中急跌约30美元，接连失守1530、1520and1510关口，跌至1500.30低点。鼎缘认为黄金在1500大关再次遭遇抛售危机，初步形成了头肩顶的模式，鼎缘认为近期将会震荡加剧但多头仍具有近期的技术优势，金价在日线图上仍处于上涨趋势之中；多头下一个目标将是持稳在1500Above the level, further attack1600Gateway; The bearish target is to pull the gold price back1500关口下方，推动下跌行情。目前支撑位在日内低点1504.51USD, followed by1500美元；金价维持在1508上方是黄金继续预期升势的首个条件。若金价不能快速收复并企稳于1508上方，则短期仍有可能测试最重要的支撑位1485，然后再试图反弹。综合来看：今日操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1511-1513Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1495-1497Frontline support.
　　
　　9.26Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:
　　
　　1Gold rebound1511-1513Short nearby, stop loss4Points, target1505-1500Nearby. Break the position to see1495frontline;
　　
　　2Gold Callback1495-1497Long nearby, stop loss4Points, target1508-1510Nearby, break down and take a look1512frontline;
　　
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How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
　　
If you can find me, I can help you:
　　
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.

　　

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