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Zhou Hongjin:9.24晚间黄金原油行情走势分析及操作建议黄金空单解套

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  9month24日,投资者关注德国的商业景气指数数据、以及美国咨商会消费信心指数,而凌晨APIcrude oil库存数据也不能忽视。英国方面,英国首相约翰逊拒绝与脱欧党领袖签署英国大选协议,敦促欧盟领导人认识到他在英国脱欧问题上已经做出妥协。目前双方之间仍存在很大差距,而时间愈发紧迫,英国必须紧急提出解决僵局的现实建议,并以法律文本形式提出。纽约时段,投资者需要密切关注美国方面公布的一系列经济数据的表现,其中咨商会消费信心指数影响力略大,这些美国数据的表现将会直接对金价短线走势带来影响,而原油的投资者也不能忽视凌晨API原油库存数据对油价的指引。
  

  goldTrend analysis:
  
  美国制造业PMI数据表现好于预期,这给美元提供支撑,国际贸易局势出现乐观消息,都对金价有所拖累;但美联储年内降息预期仍存,多头信心仍存,而且欧元区经济数据糟糕,欧洲股市大跌,也推升了一些避险买需,全球最大的黄金ETF持仓再创三年新高,金价短线走势变数较大。
  
  日线来看,高位震荡;KDJGolden fork,MACD也有金叉趋势,金价初步顶破布林线中轨1514.19附近阻力,有望进一步涨向布林线上轨1551.40附近;短线还需留意8month13Daily high point1535.11附近阻力。此外,由于金价尚未有效顶破9month12Daily high point1524.27附近阻力,短线金价也有震荡回调的风险,鸿|金认为若回落至布林线中轨下方,则增加短线看空信号;5The daily moving average is supported by1510.50Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by1503.74附近,若进一步试探该支撑,则增加中线看空信号。
  
  4小时来看,震荡上涨;不过,金价暂时受到1557-1483Downtrend61.8%Retreat position1528.97Nearby resistance,KDJ重新结成死叉,短线重回跌势的风险有所增加,留意38.2%Retreat position1511.64附近支撑,鸿|金认为若回落至该位置下方,则增加短线下行风险,进一步支撑236%Retreat position1500.91附近,布林线中轨1507.85附近也存在一些支撑。不过,由于MACD金叉信号仍在,关注3268735920若金价坚守布林线中轨1507.86附近支撑,则需要予以警惕。若金价强势顶破1528.97附近阻力,则暗示金价可能会重新上探前期高点1557.11附近阻力。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可;
  
  Focus on resistance above:1524.27;1528.97;1535.11;
  
Pay attention to support below:1514.19;1510.50;1507.86;
  

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Callback1514Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1522-1524;
  
  2Rebound1529Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1520-1518;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
  
  Analysis of crude oil trend:
  
  疲弱的欧洲和日本制造业数据让市场聚焦于低迷的需求前景,这令油价承压;不过国际贸易局势出现了一些乐观预期,亚洲股市上涨,市场预计美国原油库存会小幅下降,也给油价提供支撑,短线走势仍缺乏明确方向;留意57.02-60.00The regional breakthroughs are as follows:100日均线支撑和整数关口阻力。
  
From a daily perspective, it fluctuates;MACDSlight golden cross,KDJ轻微死叉,均线交织,短线走势变数较大,考虑到油价受到60整数关口压制,K线高位类似“吞没”看空,后市略微偏向震荡下行,留意100Daily moving average and20Daily moving average57.02附近的双重支撑,鸿|金认为若下破该支撑,则增加后市看空信号。200The daily moving average is supported by56.45Nearby,9month13The daily high is supported by55.68附近,该位置也是跳空缺口支撑所在,若失守该支撑,则增加中线看空信号。上方近4个交易日高点主力在59.49Nearby, then60整数关口阻力,7month11Resistance to daily highs60.94附近,关注3268735920若顶破该阻力,则增加后市看涨信号。
  
  4小时来看,震荡;布林线收口,留意布林线轨道57.87-59.14区突破情况,有望为短线走势的方向提供一些指引。综合来看,短线走势变数较大;顶破59.49前,略微偏向震荡下行;所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
  
  Focus on resistance above:58.94;59.49;60.00;
  
Pay attention to support below:57.77;57.02;56.45;
  

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Rebound59.5Stop loss without breaking short60.0, look at the goal58.0-57.8;
  
  2Callback57.7Do not break long, stop loss57.5, look at the goal58.8-59.0;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
  
  1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
  
  2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
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