展望后市,王锦宏认为,未来三方面变化将对黄金价格带来利好支撑。首先,全球经济下行风险累积。美国9月密歇根大学消费者信心指数虽略有反弹,但8月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值为89.8, lower than the previous value92.1及预期值92.3, for2012year12月以来最大月度降幅,同时总部位于巴黎的经合组织(OECD)预测,2019The annual global economic growth rate is2.9%, for10年来最低水平,叠加近期欧洲主要经济体宏观数据表现一般,全球经济下行预期持续升温。其次,地缘政治风险频出。近期沙特石油设施遭遇袭击,地缘政治风险频出,市场避险情绪或将提升,黄金作为传统避险资产有望得到青睐。再次,黄金ETF增持延续,预计当前形势下,黄金需求仍将持续提升,金价有望得到支撑,持续关注黄金资产的避险保值属性。
从技术面来看,黄金虽然暂时表现强势,周线的单边支撑在1495附近,如果这一波强势转变,持续下跌黄金会试探1495附近,而暂时的高位震荡预计还有一到两个交易日的准备期,只要日线出现阴线,下跌力度就开始,低位逐步去看1495-1483. gold4The hour is oscillating upwards on the short-term moving average. Combined with the breakthrough of the box, yesterday's rebound has stabilized and continued to fluctuate upwards. Currently, there is no signal of stopping the rise, and there are signs of continued upward momentum in the short term. The hourly chart also shows a small step oscillation and a chronic upward trend. Although the space is not large, the pullback space is also relatively small. Short term without falling below1511之前,王锦宏建议暂时维持回调低多,支撑在1515-1516一带。阻力位在日内高点1526.20-1530美元。破位的话再临盘调整思路。
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
(1)建议1515-1516Short term, stop loss1511, Objective1525Breaking through and looking up1530nearby
(2)建议1527-1525Short selling, stop loss1530, Objective1516Take a break and take a look1511nearby
技术面上,日线K线交杂在一众均线之间,上方有MA270The moving average is at59美元形成压力,下方有MA120Mean Square andMA10The moving average is at57.80美元形成支撑点,虽然昨日有过破位,但是因为晚间的上涨并没有有效站稳,所以原油目前依旧处于59USD to57.80USD range,4The hour was pulled back into the interval, and the Bollinger Road closed parallel, but the interval was not opened after the virtual break. It may still remain within the range today59.20-57.70There is a tug of war between us, and we cannot see one side at the moment. Wait for the effective breakthrough of this range before deciding the trend. However, there are slight signs of stabilization in the lower shadow consolidation line of the daily chart closing. Without falling below57.30You can try to see the rebound in the short term. See if it can rebound and recover after being trapped. Of course, it also needs to be combined with breaking through the upper track of the interval59.50才能看到空间,目前整理区间收敛当中,王锦宏建议先在区间震荡思路对待。下轨57.70Many. Upper rail59.20Light air.