美联储降息的消息导致黄金过去几个月趋于疯狂,目前1556美元已经是顶部起码是中期顶部,基本面影响下黄金在短短几个月涨幅近三百点,市场已经消化了起码3次降息预期的影响,除非美联储爆冷,在此之前黄金还是偏下行走势,贸易方面中美之间其实是一荣俱荣一损俱损,目前趋于稳定暂看十月谈判,鲍威尔讲话已经表明立场,无疑是重挫金价,淡化美国经验衰退的风险,对美国经济看好,乐观言论和风险偏好发言下美联储降息25个基点是板上钉钉了,欧洲央行行长德拉基也是对经济持了乐观态度,即便降息消息下黄金还是冲高转而下跌,周末特朗普被弹劾,以及沙特油气设备遭袭crude oil异动,引发避险黄金冲高回落但是并未冲破关键压制1520美元,且欧美盘回补缺口明显,在九月的后半月黄金会继续下行,这是趋势必然走向。盛及必衰,黄金如若想继续冲高需要蛰伏许久,毕竟市场看涨热度也没有那么高,所以后半月跌势已定!添加刘论鑫溦(LLX7824)Keep up with market information and grasp major trends to help you make steady profits!
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