Zhou Hongjin:9.16原油黄金晚间美盘走势行情分析操作建议空单解套

　9month16日，国际金价大涨逾1%，因沙特石油设施遇袭打击了风险偏好，提振了市场对避险gold的需求。也门胡塞武装称，9month14日袭击了沙特两处石油设施，使得沙特石油产量减少逾一半。但美国多名高官怒斥伊朗为幕后主使。另外，投资者等待从本周主要央行会议中获得有关货币宽松的线索。国际油价怒飙升逾10%，盘中最大涨幅创1991年海外战争以来之最。沙特阿拉伯石油设施上周末遇袭，导致全球石油供给减少5%。美国总统特朗普授权释放该国战略储备crude oil，确保市场供给稳定。特朗普还警告，美国已经“弹药上膛”做好可能的回应准备。若供应中断长期化，且中东军事对峙加剧，交易商无法回避当前不断增长的风险。

　　

　Analysis of Gold Trends:
　
　　周线来看，单边上涨后回调；K线高位出现“三只乌鸦”顶部信号，KDJDead fork,MAC红色柱萎缩，油价短线初步见顶，初步支撑在10Weekly moving average1484.26附近，若失守该位置，则可能会进一步跌向1463.56Nearby, this location is1160-1557Upward trend23.6%回撤位；中线目标谨慎参考38.2%Retreat position1405.65Nearby. upper5周均线阻力在1509.36附近，上周高点阻力在1524.27附近，鸿.金认为若意外收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号。上方进一步阻力分别参考8month16Daily and weekly highs1535.11和近期高点1557.11；当然1550整数关口附近也存在较强的阻力。
　　
　　日线来看，高位震荡筑顶；MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，金价在1484附近获得了一些支撑，上方还受到20Daily moving average1516.09附近阻力压制；本周留意该区域突破情况。鸿.金认为若上破1516.09附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号，金价可能会重新分别试探上周高点1524.27and9month6Daily high point1428附近阻力；如果意外进一步上破，则金价可能会重新试探布林线上轨1550.89附近阻力。在顶破20日忙1516.09前，后市仍然偏向震荡下行，关注3268735920若下破1484.65附近支撑，则看向7month19Daily high point1453.09附近支撑。另外，布林线下轨1478.60附近也存在一些支撑；由于布林线轨道收口，中线走势方向可以参考布林线轨道1478.60-1550.89区域突破情况。短线的话，1500INTEGER GATES AND1495.03附近也分别存在一些支撑。10Daily moving average1510附近也存在一些阻力。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　上方关注阻力：1510.00；1516.09；1520.00；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1501.25；1495.03；1489.28；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1516Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1502-1500；
　　
　　2Callback1495Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1508-1510；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　　原油走势分析：
　　
　　
　　周线来看，震荡；留意布林线轨道50.83-65.33Regional breakthroughs, currentlyKDJGolden fork operation,MACD也初步金叉，后市略微偏向震荡上探布林线上轨65.33附近阻力，进一步较强的阻力在4Month high point66.60附近，鸿.金认为需要顶破该阻力，才能打开中线上涨通道。此外，5month24Daily and weekly highs63.96附近也存在较强的阻力，目前对油价形成压制，若油价回落至布林线中轨58.08下方，则削弱后市看涨信号，5周均线支撑在56.11Near.
　　
　　日线来看，震荡；油价跳涨后冲高回落，MACDGolden fork,KDJ死叉，短线走势变数较大，留意9month10Daily high point58.76附近支撑，鸿.金认为若回落至下方，则增加后市下行风险，然后100The daily moving average is supported by57.29Nearby,20The daily moving average is supported by55.95附近。上周低点支撑在54.00Nearby,9month3Daily low point support at52.84附近。关注3268735920若油价坚守58.76附近支撑，并回升至7month11Daily high point60.94上方，则增加后市看涨信号。进一步阻力在5month22Daily high point63.00Nearby,5month20Daily high point63.96附近。综合来看，短线走势变数较大，留意58.76-60.94区域突破情况；顶破60.94前，略微偏向震荡下行；所以今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:60.20；60.94；61.50；
　　
Pay attention to support below:58.76；57.29；56.72；

　　

　　1Rebound60.9Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target59.0-58.8；
　　
　　2Callback58.7Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target59.8-60.0；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
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