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Message: Friday(9month13day),由于美国零售销售数据利好,以及中美两国关系有望解冻,推动股市和收益率升至数周高点,gold价格回落,势将创下连续第三周下跌。美市盘中,现货金短线急跌近20The US dollar has continuously fallen below1500and1490USD level, to1488.11dollar/The low point in ounces has fallen by approximately0.7%. The yield of US treasury bond bonds rose across the board, after data showed that the US8月零售销售上升,暗示全球最大经济体陷入衰退的风险继续降低。全球股市也攀升至六周高点,因中美经贸谈判出现进一步改善迹象,欧洲央行祭出了额外刺激措施。中镁经贸方面也出现了缓和迹象,双方做出了和解姿态,进一步提振了市场的风险偏好。投资者现在正在等待美联储下周的会议,预计美联储将连续第二次降息至少25个基点。陈文龙认为,全球央行采取的温和货币政策,以及对全球负收益政府债券过剩的担忧,将在较长期内继续支撑金价。
黄金:由于市场持有史上最大的投机性黄金多头仓位,且RSI走势看空分化的迹象日益明显,多数人认为黄金市场容易受到回调的冲击。在此前四天的时间内,美国10年期公债收益率大幅走高,尽管是从非常低的水平上升。黄金价格和美国国债收益率通常呈负相关。当收益率上升时,金价下跌,反之亦然。考虑到美国10年期公债收益率将进一步上涨的短期预期,近期金价跌至1484美元的低位可能只是IV浪修正性回调的第一浪。虽然反向趋势浪b有可能逼近1525美元,但浪数显示,金价最终应该会回调至1450dollar-1430美元支撑位,以完成IVWaves orcWaves.
目前从技术上看,黄金重返千五大关恢复了多头近期的技术优势,金价在日线图上仍处于上涨趋势之中;多头下一个目标将是持稳在1500Above the level, further attack1600Gateway; The bearish target is to pull the gold price back1500关口下方方,推动下跌行情。目前支撑位在1485USD, followed by1480US dollars; Resistance level at intraday high1523.80USD and1530美元。综合来看,下周一操作思路上博虎论金个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1496-1498Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1480-1482Frontline support.
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
1Gold rebounded above1496-1498Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1486-1488frontline;
2The price of gold has fallen below1480-1482Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1488-1490frontline;
3、盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以博虎论金( KD1394)The actual offer shall prevail;
crude oil:石油输出国组织(OPEC)And the International Energy Agency(IEA)本周均发布报告预测称,明年原油市场将重新进入供应过剩局面。另一方面,OPEC及其盟友正在坚定的推进减产行动,希望能够阻止全球原油库存的继续攀升。目前看来出现了不错的进展,上周美国原油库存已经下降至近一年最低。不过需要注意的是,尼日利亚和伊拉克这两个OPECmember state8月成员仍超减产承诺水平,这令其他成员国非常不满。在刚刚结束的OPEC部长级监督委员会上,OPEC方面已经敦促两国履行减产承诺。
原油技术面来分析, 日线来看,周五日线收得小阴十字星,金价自本周初冲至高位后,连阴回落,截止目前已经4连阴下挫,图中形成倒V;短线四小时来看,四小时图中,油价不断下跌,跌一水平线转为震荡,震荡完再次下跌,高点不断变低,低点不断更低,当前布林带即将收口,MA均线呈空头排列 ,K线位于中下轨之间运行,KDJ指标三线向上,MACD指标底背离,快慢线平行向前有向上弯钩迹象。综合来看,油价大幅跳水后短期有修复的需求,但后市整体依旧看涨,所以下周一操作思路上博虎论金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注55.6-55.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below53.8-54.0Frontline support.
Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:
1、原油上方反弹至55.6-55.8Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target54.8-55.0frontline;
2、原油下方回调至53.8-54.0Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target54.8-55.0frontline;
做黄金原油为何你频频亏损?
Firstly, counter market operations-If the direction is reversed, resist; Resisting losses intensifies; If it really doesn't work, stop loss; The direction of the stop loss has returned, or when the market rises, it falls; when buying, it rises, and it can never keep up with the rhythm.
Secondly, no stop loss is set-止损,这是讲烂了,强调的不想再强调的问题了,我这人说话比较直、不喜欢拐弯抹角,一句话,如果你不止损,不管你的单子是赚是亏,再多的钱迟早有一天,到时也会玩完、亏的没地方哭。
Thirdly, frequent operations-无论单子理不理想,不负责任的老师当看到你的资金所剩无几或叫你加资金你又不加、可能找各种借口不给实时指导,把你凉到一边去、最多给个区间让你来回操作即可,这我就搞不懂了,这种的老师你还有必要跟着做有道理吗?乘着仓位还有点资金赶紧撤离、去选择适合自己的老师,后续也要从自身去找问题,这样你才能在投资路上越走越顺。收获也会越来越多,生活也会越来越美好。
Bo Hu's Message on Gold:
There is a financial storm outside, and stock disasters are rampant inside; Although the country is healthy, the financial market is not as mature as others, and every move is like a child. Therefore, we only sigh that the people are interested, while the market is ruthless. Bohu Lunjin has entered the market7In his youth, he once covered the sky with one hand and became arrogant for several days, losing everything. He regretted deeply, but his fighting spirit remained steadfast; Reigniting the flames of war, standing firmly on one's feet, although not fully enlightened, one can still glimpse a corner of the road. Not as sincere as Buffy Ma Yun Jia Cheng, self-awareness is good, passing on a teacher and establishing a career for a long time, not extravagant enough to cause big waves again. And I have always been good at helping others, but I cannot ignore the difficulties of others; So cast a net in the market, hoping that those who cast their nets can hear my aspirations.
Bohu Lunjin Warm Reminder:
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
Bohu Lunjin Analysis Team Consultation and Guidance Wei//Your words:KD1394(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00
Author's message: May you and I start with words and match our personalities,Trapped in technology, long after kindness, finally character.
Author of this article: Bohu Lunjin |
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