Zhou Hongjin:9.13恐怖数据来袭黄金晚间如何操作？原油黄金晚间走势行情分析策略

Friday（9month13日），北京时间晚间晚20:30美国将公布零售销售数据，该数据素有“恐怖数据”之称，在前一交易日gold市场过山车的行情后，今晚的数据非常受关注。受到美国就业市场紧缩收入增长的影响，零售销售数据今年整体表现较好。在过去五个月里，有四个月的零售销售数据是好于预期的。此外，美联储将于下周公布利率决议，进一步增加了数据表现受关注程度。如果表现不佳，美联储将会承受更多压力。

　　

　　Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　欧洲央行货币宽松力度不及预期，美国核心CPI表现靓丽，美联储下周降息50个基点的预期消失；中美贸易局势改善，全球股市上涨，打压避险需求；金价冲高受阻，面临重回跌势的风险；不过，市场对晚间美国零售数据的预期并不乐观，需要警惕。
　　
　　日线来看，高位震荡筑顶；MACD依然死叉，KDJ死叉，上一交易日金价上行守住于20日均线附近阻力，录得了较长的上影线，暗示上方卖压较强，后市下行风险仍存，继续关注8month13Daily low point1480.00附近支撑，鸿.金认为若失守该支撑，则可能会进一步跌向7month19Daily low point1453.09Nearby;1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Supported on1446.11附近；此外，9month10Daily low point1484.65and8month7Daily low point1472.36附近也分别存在一些支撑。上方初步阻力在1500Integer level,10Daily moving average resistance1513.30Nearby,20The daily moving average resistance is currently at1516.04附近，若意外收复该位置，则增加短线看涨信号。
　　
　　4小时来看，震荡；金价的反弹受到了布林线上轨压制，目前KDJ重新结成死叉，金价也回落至布林线中轨下方，短线偏向试探布林线下轨1482.92附近支撑，若下破该支撑，则有望打开新的下行空间。不过，MACD金叉运行，关注3268735920If it accidentally breaks through the tracks on the Bolin Line1514.03附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号。进一步阻力分别在1520关口和隔夜高点1524.27附近。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:1505.95；1513.30；1520.00；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1489.30；1484.65；1479.00；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1514Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1492-1490；
　　
　　2Callback1485Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1498-1500；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　尽管OPEC及其盟国敦促成员国遵守减产协议，国际能源署强调了该组织在平衡油市方面面临的困难，三大能源机构都下调了需求增速预期，令油价承压；而且白宫已经开始着手准备特朗普与鲁哈尼的会晤，这暗示伊朗可能会令全球原油供应增加，这对油价面临巨大的下行风险。当然，目前国际贸易局势出现一些转机，也给油价提供支撑。相对而言，油价仍存震荡下行的风险。
　　
　　日线来看，震荡；短线留意布林线轨道53.08-57.91区域突破情况，或参考52.84-58.82区域突破情况，52.84是近一个月高点支撑所在，58.82是近两个月高点阻力所在；关注3268735920目前油价失守所有均线支撑，MACD有所死叉趋势，KDJ死叉，在收复20Daily moving average55.72前，后市偏向震荡下探52.84附近支撑，若下破该支撑，则看向8month7日触及的近8隔夜低点50.52附近支撑。上方进一步阻力在5Daily moving average56.42附近，鸿.金认为若意外收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号。然后100Daily moving average resistance57.36Nearby, the rail resistance on the Brin line is57.91附近。综合来看，收复55.72前，短线偏向震荡下行；所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:55.72；56.42；57.36；
　　
Pay attention to support below:54.00；52.84；51.94；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Rebound56.4Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target55.2-55.0；
　　
　　2Callback54.0Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target55.5-55.7；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
To sustain long-term growth in this market, it is necessary to have a complete trading system, including position techniques, risk control, and technical systems. Only in this way, whether it is a volatile market or a unilateral market, can you make steady profits, truly understand the trend, and achieve the same level of confidence in opening, positioning, risk control, and profit in closing positions! Investing never seeks overnight wealth, only steady and long-term profits, laughing until the end! Only when the heart is as calm as water can Qi penetrate the rainbow!
　　
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