Duan Haoyu:9.12欧银决议来袭市场恐有大变黄金中线布局来袭！

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Duan Haoyu:9.12欧银决议来袭市场恐有大变gold中线布局来袭！


欧银决议来袭市场恐有大变


日内关注欧银决议。目前市场普遍预期欧洲央行将会降息，因此第一除了关注降息的幅度，还需要关注第二欧洲央行的购债力度和第三其他可能出现的鸽派言论。

一份调查显示，受访经济学预计降息10个基点，而货币市场押注会降息15个基点。此外市场仍不乏欧洲央行将考虑一次性降息20个基点的预期，因此如果欧洲央行意外大幅降息可能会强化了市场的宽松立场。


另一个需要关注的是欧洲央行可能会公布小规模的购债计划。对此美银美林表示，如果欧洲央行每个月只购债300亿欧元甚至推迟至11月拉加德上任后在实施购债，那么市场将会感到失望。


此外知情人士认为欧洲央行可能会下调成长预估，并预计未来几年通胀仅小涨。两名知情人士表示，欧洲央行(ECB)将在周四的会议上下调部分经济成长预估，其预估还将显示，未来几年核心通胀率和总体通胀率仅会温和上升。


该不愿具名的消息人士表示，欧洲央行的预估数据将显示今明两年经济成长率都不会远高于1%，为欧洲央行批准更多刺激计划提供支撑。这些预估表明，即使出台新一轮刺激措施，欧洲央行也将难以实现自2013年以来一直都未能实现的通胀目标。


分析表示，此次欧洲央行利率决议的意义非同寻常，欧洲央行可能为下周美国美联储和日本央行的利率决定、以及全球整体市场风险人气奠定基调。


因此如果日内欧洲央行的宽松程度超出市场预期，可能会被视作是全球央行进一步宽松的标志，可能会提振黄金。


Analysis of Today's Gold Trends and Operational Suggestions


黄金昨日整理修正，日图收盘小阳线，经过连阴回撤后，开始轻微放缓震荡，昨日最低1284惯性走低后，亚欧盘以整理过渡为主，美盘时段反弹最高1498.整体空间不大，相对于周初的下挫，短线开始收敛低位震荡。


日线连阴之后伴随小阳线修正。从反弹空间来看，暂时还没有反转这波短线空头，只是下行量能稍有放缓，可能接近到了此前低点1480附近稍微存在支撑，加上连阴线的释放量能，短线单边量能不足，修正也是正常。但反弹空间不算大。目前还算不上止跌。短线依旧看向下；关注段浩雨威信dhy776Keep up with market information and grasp major trends to help you make steady profits!

Short line chart:4小时触碰中轨处承压，而下轨开始收口。由弱势下跌转为震荡放缓修正，反弹空间有限，但破低也显吃力，开始进入区间拉锯。同时拉动指标重新选择方向。目前4小时短期结构仍处于下行趋势当中，并没有明显止跌。上方30单位均线已经靠近了1503.同时此位也是此前整理的低点破位口。经过昨天的反弹，今日有望进一步的惯性摔低，而美元收高走反弹，依旧压制了金价的反弹空间。今日操作围绕1498附近先行做空。依托1503做防守去看空即可。


9-12（周四）黄金操作建议：（1）1495-1496Air defense1500.50target1486-1480.


Real time guidance - real-time reminders of entry and exit points, unstoppable winning streak


When investing, don't worry about making yourself rich overnight, but also make yourself valuable. In the process of investing, cultivate your mentality, improve your inner experience, be calm, don't be greedy, don't be impatient. If you are confused when investing, then it is because you think too much and do too little. Why do you set orders? Because you are greedy, why don't you make money? Because you think too much, don't make money when you should, make you happy when you make a profit, and make you anxious when you make a loss.


In fact, many investors have a chance to turn around after losing money, but they are too psychologically impacted and find it difficult to accept at the moment. In fact, investment friends like this have complete opportunities as long as their inner strength is strong enough not to be overwhelmed by temporary difficulties. If their inner strength is not strong enough, they may have to bear the pain of failure. Ultimately, when it comes to investing, as an investor, whether it's temporary losses or gains, we need to have a strong mentality and a high degree of vigilance. When investing, we also look at long-term returns. Today's profits do not necessarily mean that you will also be able to make profits tomorrow, and today's losses do not necessarily mean that you will continue to lose. Always maintain a sense of awe in order to better control this investment.


The market is like a battlefield. In the end, it's about fighting people, fighting wealthy people, fighting wealthy people without using their brains, and not seeking professional help. Do you want to use money to fight alone. In short, when it comes to thinking and getting, there is still one thing to do in between: guiding for eight years, reading through thousands of people, doing countless market changes, understanding the essence of the market, understanding the essence of trading through ups and downs, returning to simplicity after all the ups and downs, not expecting to turn positions overnight in the illusory, but hoping to make small profits and be safe every week. When we meet in the market, my responsibility is to preach, impart knowledge, and dispel doubts, so that you can avoid detours as much as possible, and to analyze and make rational judgments with care, only to prevent those who follow from getting lost,2019I will only find a good way out for your future investment, and when you find me, it may also be the time for you to make a comeback.

Mindset is certainly important, but more importantly, it's about making a profit. If a teacher doesn't help you make money and makes your mindset better every day, isn't that nonsense? Imagine, after entering the market, I haven't made any money. My initial goal was to make money, but later it turned out to be wanting to recoup and get rid of the situation. How could my mentality be good? I kept closing profits continuously and doubled my position. How could my mentality be bad? My goal is to make you profitable.


Author of this article: Duan Haoyu [reprinted, please indicate source]


authoritydhy776（VLetter official account: Duan Haoyu)


Author's Message: If life is only like first sight, meeting and gathering is fate!