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龙铭品金:9.10黄金走势分析,黄金为何暴跌?

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 龙铭:9.10gold走势分析,黄金为何暴跌?

  目前市场重点仍将关注下中国的贸易平衡,高于预期的中国出口数据,可能会缓解对全球增长放缓的担忧,并进一步提振风险情绪,导致金价下跌。反之亦然。另外,焦点依然是美国经济数据及其对美联储决定的影响。将迎来美国通胀数据消费者价格指数(CPI)和零售销售数据。同样,好于预期的美国消费者价格指数和零售销售数据,可能会迫使投资者淡化美国近期经济衰退和美联储放松货币政策的前景。令金价继续承压。这也是美国经济是否可正在放缓提供依据,进而是否会直接导致美联储将于9month18日公布的利率声明产生变化,这也会直接主导金价的后市及下半年的发展。

  再者就是另一个重要事件是欧洲央行周四的会议,市场预期欧洲央行将降息,并推出一些新的刺激计划。如果欧洲国债收益率下降,这也给美国国债施加了下行压力,这可能会继续给欧元带来压力。而又对金价造成压力。

  龙铭认为;市场也有已经消化了美联储至少四次降息25个基点的目标利率预期影响,同时也有些过头反应。加上鲍威尔称,美国和全球经济最可能温和增长,并不预计美国甚至全球即将走向衰退。如本周金价不能持稳在1520美元上方,那么就算本月降息25个几点也不会再推升金价再创新高。除非降息50基点,但这概率也是非常小的。

  不过黄金目前整体长期前景依然强劲、在9月中旬美联储作出利率决定前,金价出现回调也在情理之中。也可以理解为此前价格大幅上涨后的获利了结。近期疲弱的制造业数据及非农数据加剧人们对经济下滑的担忧,也进一步强化美联储将需要大举降息的观点。加上英国脱欧的前景充满不确定性,也都对金价有利。

  黄金走势分析建议:

  从中短线来讲,十年期美债收益率尚未起来,表明市场整体的风险偏好有限,这表明要么是美债收益率涨少了,要么是金银跌多了,从目前的经济数据来看,前者的概率相对较大,虽然国内市场出现了共振性的情绪修复,但全球市场整体的风险偏好仍然很低。从实际情况来讲,人民币贬值符合对冲经济增速下行以及外部压力环境,在人民币汇率破7后,内外部对于人民币汇率重返7以下的预期较小,至少在中美达成超预期协定前不太可能,因而在短线的7.10的支撑线大概率是有效的。

  从技术上来看,金价连续两周在1550上方受阻,录得带上影线阴线,KDJDead fork operation,MACD红色柱开始萎缩,金价也回落至5周均线下方,短线偏向下行。下方支撑还是关注1500关口,只有跌破这里,黄金才会进一步试探1490-1480前回落低点。反之,上方继续关注1516-1520阻力。若能站稳这里,黄金短线局势将会逐渐回归多头。综合来看,今日操作思路上龙铭个人建议反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方重点关注1516-1520Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1495-1490Frontline support.

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

  1Suggestions1490Do not break long, stop loss1496, Objective1508-1515;

  2Suggestions1520Stop loss without breaking short1525, Objective1515-1510;

  黄金解套策略

  1、黄金被套了怎么办?

Many investors start to panic and worry after being covered, constantly asking multiple teachers for their opinions on whether it will rise or fall. During their questioning process, they had already missed the best opportunity to remedy it. That's why my friends who make orders with me must learn first and learn to judge for themselves.

  2、黄金被套了第一时间该干嘛?

As an investor, you should learn to be responsible for your own funds. After all, your money is earned through hard work, not just by lying down in a flood. Therefore, before investing, you must learn the ability to make your own judgments. When you set an order, do not be at a loss and start to panic to find your teacher. Instead, you should be calm and follow your own judgment to make the most correct choice. Then go to your teacher and see if their opinions are the same as yours. If the direction is clearly reversed, be decisive and take advantage of the situation.

  3、黄金被套了怎么解决?

After locking the order, you need to choose the appropriate time to unlock it, that is, to close the two orders separately. If you never close the position, although the loss displayed on the account remains unchanged, in addition to bearing the interest on the overnight order, your subsequent operations will also be affected. There are two difficulties in unlocking: the point and time of unlocking. At what point and when to unwind will directly affect the profit and loss of your account. Simply put: It is best to find a break point, and the time must be when the market direction is clear.

  4、黄金解套最直接办法

  手上有单子被套的朋友,可以找龙铭老师聊一聊,根据具体行情和仓位大小及进场点位被套深度采取果断应急的解套方案。手上有单子被套的可以与我取得联系。由于我不知道你套单的点位已经仓位的具体情况,不好给出相应的解决方案,需要解决单子被套问题的或挽回亏损的朋友可联系我。
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