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吴涛点金:9month9日美黄金期货日内短线策略

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Futures marketgold策略:国际黄金futures9month9日行情分析及日内短线策略

今日重要财经数据

13:45Switzerland8Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment

14:00Germany7Monthly and quarterly trade accounts adjustment(100 million euros)Germany7Monthly and quarterly adjustment of current account(100 million euros)

14:30France8monthBOFBusiness confidence index

16:30britain7Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment(Billion pounds)UK7Monthly industrial output rate, UK7月制造业产出月率、英国7Three months in a monthGDPMonthly rate

16:30eurozone9monthSentixInvestor confidence index

美黄金消息面:上周五(9month6day)金价大幅走低,COMEX12The price of gold futures for monthly delivery has fallen10USD, decline0.7%, received at1515.50dollar/盎司,盘中最高上涨至1536.20dollar/盎司。美国就业数据弱于预期,但美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示并不预计经济衰退。黄金的炙热行情突然变得岌岌可危,不仅遭遇4月以来的首次两周连跌,其价格波动指标也大幅升高。

美国劳工部公布的非农就业报告显示,美国8Non-agricultural employment increased in the month13Ten thousand, for2019year5月以来低位且不及市场预期,进一步证实美国2019年就业市场大幅下滑,此前接受MarketWatch调查的分析师平均预期该数字将增加17万。根据就业报告,美国8月份失业率为3.7%,符合市场预期。小时薪资年化增幅为3.2%,较预期高出0.1Percentage points.

美联储主席鲍威尔在上周五发表的讲话中表示,就业报告证实了美国劳动力市场继续维持稳健。他同时表示,美国经济前景仍然乐观,美联储“认为不会发生经济衰退。”

美黄金技术面:美黄金从日线上来看,布林带收口,金价跌破布林中轨支撑,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线死叉缓和走低,KThe line intersects below the Bolin track,MACD快慢线呈死叉向下,绿色动能放量,KDJ三线死叉向下发散,空头的力度也确实在逐步增加,本周还有一定下行的空间;4小时图上,布林带上下开口运行,MA5/MA10均线死叉向下,K线交投于布林下轨上方,MACD快慢线呈死叉,绿色动能放量,KDJ三线死叉收口,金价短线偏空。

综合来看,日内操作上建议高空为主。上方初步阻力看1524附近,进一步阻力看1533. Preliminary support below1509附近,近一步支撑在1500。



美黄金(1912合约)交易策略:



1Above1524短线做空,止损5USD, target1509frontline;



2Below1500短线做多,止损4USD, target1509-1510Near.



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