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Winning lies in mentality, dying in temper, and the brilliance of trading lies in experience. Experience is an improvement of thought and a refinement of level. No one likes fake flowers because they bloom permanently. They cherish the blooming and withering of real flowers more. Investment itself is an exploration of another unknown field, requiring continuous self correction. This is also a testing platform for human nature, and regardless of the ups and downs, attitude is sometimes more important than methods. So it is necessary to have a good investment psychological quality.
——goldMessage surface——
美联储将于北京时间周六凌晨在瑞士苏黎世大学发表演讲。这可能是美联储9month18日做出利率决定前的最后一次发言。美国经济学家表示,鲍威尔定于本周晚些时候发表讲话,可能会给出最后的暗示,暗示他们计划在9月再次降息。鲍威尔上星期在杰克逊霍尔的讲话清楚地表明,美联储计划在9月份再次降息,更多行情可以关注功重号陈大宾获取实时指导,原因是不断升级的避险升温和全球其他地区经济疲软。市场目前预计,美联储在9Interest rate reduction at monthly meetings25The probability of one basis point is95.8%The probability of not lowering interest rates at all is4.2%。资本经济目前预计9Month and12月将降息,同时预计明年利率将维持不变。鲍威尔周五发表讲话之前,美国将公布最重要的数据——8月就业报告。称,周五将公布的美国就业数据十分重要,每个人都在关注该数据市场。任何低于这一水平的价格都会推高金价。
——Analysis of Gold Trends——
黄金周线小有停顿修正,在连续上涨放量后,伴随跳空高开低走的回落,周线趋势仍处于上升当中。短线有回调修正需求。日图一波小阴线的回撤,但始终还是收盘在10日线之上,均线未拐头,目前来看:暂时还属于强势整理修正格局,附图指标有轻微顶背离,需要一定时间的消化,此前的修正走势都是以整理代替回落。并没有出现明显的调整浪形空间。短暂修正之后进一步冲高。浪形上涨中的延伸。趋势看涨,短线修正。4小时轻微承压震荡回测,但实体K线不算大,上周五在1535处承压向下回测1517.不过收盘仍在中性偏高位置,回调不延续,修正仍属于强势的手法。加上日图暂时还处在10日线之上,而数据面又集中在周四周五公布,周初仍以震荡对待思路。短线可能会在局部收敛整理。以时间换空间。欧美盘陈大.宾建议关注1533-1517之间震荡修正。具体操作以实时行情盘面走势为主,投资有风险,盈亏请自行把控,详情请关注或咨询我进行解套、技术讲解、crude oil黄金分析指导官微:nbc1983
——原油消息面——
周一亚洲时段,美油一度走弱,随后收复跌势。油价8月份跌幅达到近6%, creating5月份以来最大单月跌幅,国际避险之忧挥之不去。此前国际避险局势以及欧洲经济低迷,令人担心全球经济增长乃至原油需求进一步受创。不过数十年来最强的飓风登陆美国,料破坏能源市场需求。由于避险摩擦纷扰,全球经济下行风险增加,原油需求难以提振,欧佩克仍坚持减产措施,各石油生产国7月份的产量及减产幅度均超过了减产协议的预期。为减少库存,沙特今年7月在OPEC目标水平之下进一步削减石油供应,8月产量保持在类似水平。调查显示,沙特石油产量为96310000 barrels/日,低于1031.1bucket/日的配额。尽管该组织7月份削减比例为159%,但8月石油产量今年首次增长,因来自伊拉克和尼日利亚的供应增加,超过了主要出口国沙特限产和美国对伊朗制裁造成的供应减少。关注工纵好“陈大宾”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、中线布局计划一份!
——原油走势分析——
原油在上周五高位试探之后总算走出了回落,日线收阴,没有突破日线布林带上轨,在其压制下走出回落,所以今天原油还是顺势看一波回落,不过早间原油低开走反弹,跟黄金的走势有点相反,也就是说,今天原油先看反弹,目前先看54.7支撑,日内高点关注55.3附近,午后试探不破,可以考虑继续做空,而下方空头目标可以看53.2Near.4小时上方受到270单位均线压制,此前连续两次都冲高承压,且均线系统暂时向下压制。4小时偏回落,但是空间延续仍是关键,震荡行情中看似弱势,但如果不延续,也比较容易转变趋势。小时图一波大阴线回撤后,处于中性偏低的位置弱势震荡,周初反弹不过55.50之前,短线相对偏回落一些,至于空间仍是边走边看,目前暂时走不出单边。陈大.宾建议今天震荡思路对待。暂定先空后多。压力55.30支撑。对于套单,亏损或是其他投资方面的问题也可自寻笔者官微:nbc1983,我会根据你个人的实际情况来对解决的策略以及方案进行讲授。
For the purpose of profit, in the capital market, there are no philanthropists, only winners and losers. No matter how successful you are in other areas, winning or losing is the only criterion in the market. To survive in the market, one should be like a stream of water, not anxious or impatient, living in a narrow space, and seeking the simplest and purest state.
The market fluctuates constantly every day, and all I can do is use my years of experience to lead investment friends to the forefront of the market and provide you with the help you want. Reasonably plan funds for investment, ensuring that you have food in your hands, don't panic in your heart, don't make orders with emotions, and don't be blinded by interests and blindly place orders. Take advantage of the trend, there is a way to obtain wealth, please never go against the trend. The service has never changed, and the responsibility is always in our hearts to guide comprehensive analysis, tracking orders, and maintaining market service; Chen Da.宾的合作客户可以轻松的进行交投,这是我们服务的尊旨;要想和客户的关系像朋友一样融洽,在合作的过程中就力求做到互惠互利,只有客户在我们这边技术上得到提高,仓位上得到改善,我们负责耐心的做到授之以渔,这样才能达到合作共赢的局面。
笔者陈大宾———对金市/Oil market/equity market/The bond market and other major global financial markets have in-depth and unique insights, mainly using price control to accurately predict high and low prices. The main research directions include volume price spatiotemporal, Gann astrogram, etc |
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