Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will meet on Friday afternoon Eastern Time in the United States12:30Giving a speech at the University of Zurich in Switzerland. This could be the Federal Reserve9month18日做出利率决定前的最后一次发言。灵语认为,鲍威尔定于本周五晚些时候发表讲话。他会给出最后的暗示,暗示他们计划在9Monthly interest rates will be lowered again. Powell made it clear in his speech at Jackson Hole last week that the Federal Reserve plans to9The interest rate will be lowered again in the month due to the escalating risk taking war and the economic weakness in other parts of the world; The market currently expects that the Federal Reserve will9Interest rate reduction at monthly meetings25The probability of one basis point is95.8%The probability of not lowering interest rates at all is4.2%。灵语目前预计9Month and12The monthly interest rate will be lowered, and it is expected that the interest rate will remain unchanged next year;
美国将公布当周最重磅的数据,也就是8Monthly non farm employment report. The most important thing is that the US employment data will be released on Friday, and everyone is paying attention to it. The market expects an increase in employment numbers16.8Ten thousand people. If the data falls below this level, it will push up gold and suppress the US dollar. United States8monthISMmanufacturingPMIIt will be announced on Tuesday. This will give us direction as the market still expects the manufacturing industryPMIMaintain at50Above. If approaching50关口,将对黄金市场产生重大影响,因这一分水岭将告诉我们其正在扩张还是收缩。 ​
早间黄金行情走势分析
This week is the non farm week, and if there is no other positive news to stimulate the basic framework of gold, it should be a weak trend. We can see the four hour chart of gold from1550On the front line, although there has been a rebound, it is affected by the moving averageMA10Gold is still present1533I can't handle this pressure.kdjThere are signs of turning downwards,MACDThe kinetic energy columns are still arranged in a bearish pattern. From the analysis of the weekly trend of gold, it can be seen that there was a rebound and an upward trend to the highest point at the beginning of the week1555After the high point, it was blocked and fell all the way back, with a bearish candlestick on the weekly chart,KThe line runs above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and the Bollinger Bands will definitely continue to shrink and rise along the perimeter. Attached diagramMACDRunning above the zero axis with a golden cross, the red kinetic energy column strengthens the weak indicator. There is also a lot of room for weekly adjustment, and last Friday did not provide a good rebound and upward trend1532压制承压下跌,操作思路上灵语建议反弹做空为主,上方重点关注1532-1535-Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1516-1512Frontline support.