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刘煜贤:9月黄金趋势剖析,多头丝毫不慌

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  8月份,国际金价料大涨近8%,盘中创下2013year4New high since the beginning of the month1555附近,月线四连阳称定局。特朗普升级贸易紧张局势导致的全球经济增长前景趋疲,美联储降息预期上升是支撑金价走高的主要因素。波斯湾潜在冲突和英国硬脱欧可能性大幅看涨,也进一步对金市提供支撑。不过全球其他国家央行宽松预期提升,使得美元仍具备相对优势。
  
  本周五,因股市和美元走强,gold持续走低,但鉴于对全球经济放缓和中美贸易紧张局势的担忧,金价可能连续上涨4Month.
  
  当前,金价下跌0.1%to1525附近。不过,本月黄金已经上涨近8%,有望延续涨势。有关贸易紧张局势的言论有所缓和,这提振股市和债市,并使得部分黄金投资者获利了结。另外,美元走强也令黄金承压。
  
  但要注意的是,尽管贸易局势方面有所改善,但经济增长仍在放缓以及美债收益曲线逆转仍然存在。
  
  9月份,各大央行议息重磅登场,欧洲央行预期将在已经为负值的利率上再次降息,并可能启动QE;加拿大央行或在9月会议中由鹰转鸽,为10月降息打下基础;而若英国无协议脱欧,英国央行将难以避免走向宽松。
  
  这意味着,几乎全部主流央行将加入降息潮,在此背景下,资金将流向贵金属以实现储值,做多黄金乃大势所趋。
  
  而就在周四,周五黄金经过高位的回落,随后1525上下墨迹了一会,让很多人都在沽涳,甚至中线空,认为见顶。之前也说了,跌破1530是个不利多头的信号,但是未必行情就是见顶,行情未必就是会出现加速下跌,甚至是延续下跌。刘煜贤以为后市要续跌难度比较大,趋势上,中长期保持看涨,中期高位箱体震荡整理。短线偏4小时的震荡。所以我们还是不能定义中空就是来了!因为市场有一种修正叫做横盘。而短线走势,整体格局仍偏于看涨。目前下方关键支撑在1518-1520,一旦失守此区域,则价格将进一步回落测试通道下轨,1508附近;上方压力在1535,1542;若再度涨破1542,将打开更多上行空间,那么1555将再度刷新。所以市场上不要去听信见顶言论,没必要。
  
  在近期的黄金走势上,金价屡屡维持1540上下波动不前,直至周四午夜跌破这个局面?
  
  在消息上,可能大家也知道,也感觉的出来。第一,缺乏市场消息的引导,第二,潜在的避险情绪仍未恶化。只凭美联储降息一出,导致金价支撑强劲,不断走出高位震荡的走势,然而上涨始终缺乏消息,数据上的实际作用,当然这种消息始终是个潜在的定时炸弹,在某种程度上也是支撑金价上涨重要因素,而此次的下跌我们只能定义为冲高过程的回调走势。
  
  技术上,黄金高位横盘,支撑压力位高空低多,压力位1535, support position1520Monday morning trading1546Short to1538,午后1542Empty to1530In the evening1533空到周二早上的1526,而周二1533的空止损于1536离场,周三1538做多到1545In the evening1536再次做多到周四1548离场,周五1529Short to1523In the evening1525做多到1531。到本周结束交易共计,8单,亏损一单。白纸黑字写着很清楚,恭喜各位实时跟单的朋友我们先守住利润再等下一波。自己看微圈以及学员群,全在计划之内,共计盈利54Points.
  
Short term operation, refer to the following:
  
  1,重要看点上方1535,1542; Below1520-1518,1508
  
  有任何疑难杂症,都可以添加作者进行咨询!始终秉持知无不言,言无不尽的原则!用最真诚的服务,最踏实的分析,带给你最大的收获!给我一个信任,还你一个梦想!
  
  市场涨跌两重天,交易成败在细节,细节的支撑点是在与内在心境的把控,行情可以乱,但是内心不能乱!
  
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
  
After passing through17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3Ten thousand US dollars, for the purpose of capital turnover, I choose to withdraw the principal first. Leaving profits to continue operating, you may have doubts about how it is possible to double in a week, but the fact is that out of ten orders, five were announced by Liu Yuxian in advance on WeChat. We have a track to follow in every order we operate, and it is not just a pipe dream! Every day, the current price list is announced and friends in need can follow. My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and Pengyouquan fully publishes transactions in real time. Join us to searchV:lyx201037663
  
Liu Yuxian
  
  8.31(Writing))
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