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The way to trade lies in change, which leads to communication, communication leads to achievement, and achievement leads to success; The fundamental essence of trading lies in stability, striving for progress while maintaining stability, and then avoiding risks and disruptions in order to lock in profits and avoid losses! The teacher is not a god. It is unrealistic to simply be accurate, go short and go up, and invest all the time facing certain risks. What the teacher needs to do is to constantly control risks based on the specific positions of the students, minimize risks, and consolidate our profits!
8month30日,国际金价下挫,围绕经贸局势的积极进展,重新点燃了投资者对风险资产的兴趣,金价料时隔四周后周线重新收低。中美双方正就9月的磋商进行讨论,中方希望美方取消新的加征关税措施。不过鉴于市场对全球经济增长放缓的忧虑,全球各国央行仍存在大幅降息预期,金价铁定连续第四个月收高,本月累计涨幅已超8%。在经济增长放缓和美国页岩油产量飙升的背景下,沙特阿拉伯、俄罗斯和其它欧佩克成员国今年已大幅削减crude oil产量,以减少供应过剩。结果却在一定程度上仍是事与愿违,油价较今年的高点下跌了20%以上,布伦特原油价格本周一度低至59dollar/桶。国际能源机构和欧佩克自身都预计,在美国的推动下,明年的石油供应增幅将大约是消费增幅的两倍。
goldTrend analysis:
因就业市场稳固,且美国消费者支出为四年半来最强劲,令金融市场对经济衰退的预期降温,美元指数创四周新高;国际经贸局势也出现,全球股市上涨,打压避险情绪,金价受阻于强阻力位,短线存在进一步回调风险。
日线来看,高位震荡初步筑顶;金价上一交易日受阻于1550整数关口附近阻力,录得阴线,KThe line emits a bearish signal similar to 'engulfment',MACDAfter the top deviation, there is a preliminary deadlock,KDJThe high level has initially reached a dead cross, and the gold price has initially peaked in the short term. In the future, there is a risk of further pullback, which is initially supported by20Daily moving average1509.63Nearby, then1500Supports near the integer level, with last week's low point supported at1492.20Nearby; Strong support in1479.71Nearby,8month13Daily low point and1160-1555张思德额19.1%The retreat support is located near this position. Centerline Strong Support Viewing7month19Daily high point1452.89Nearby. In the short term,10Daily moving average1519.08There is also some support nearby, and this location is also close to the overnight low point. above5Daily moving average resistance1532.04附近;鸿.金认为在收复该位置前,后市偏向下行;隔夜高点阻力在1550附近,若意外顶破该阻力,则增加短线看涨信号。
4小时来看,高位震荡;MACDandKDJ死叉运行,金价正试探布林线下轨1520.44Nearby support, if the support is missed, increase the short-term bearish signal; Further support on1508.50Nearby;1400-1555Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1496.00附近。由于布林线开口还不明显,0若金价意外顶破布林线中轨1534.83Nearby resistance weakens short-term bearish signals; And may be on the Bollinger Line again1549.30附近阻力。综合来看,今日晚间操作思路上李.文点金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
Focus on resistance above:1530.00;1534.83;1539.28;
Pay attention to support below:1519.02;1508.76;1500.00;
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Callback1519Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1530-1532;
2Rebound1535Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1522-1520;
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本文由李文点金独家策划,转载请注明出处,以上内容供参考。
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(It never stops on weekends and can be consulted at any time) Entering the market is risky, and investment needs to be cautious.
writing/Li Wen Dianjin |
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