MBG Markets：非美货币集体承压，股市狂欢杀跌黄金

　　
二季度GDP稍有下修，美元指数不改强势(DXY)
　　
Technical aspect:美元指数上一交易日震幅达39Individual points, closing up0.27%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5趋于走高，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to60-61一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于走高。
上方阻力关注前高99.20位置，下方关注布林中轨一线得失。
　　
Fundamentals:特朗普周四再怼美联储，称如果美联储做好分内事，美国经济将会有火箭式的上升。白宫贸易顾问纳瓦罗同日表示，需要美联储做好其工作“并进行降息”。美国第二季度实际GDP年化季率修正值由初值2.1%小幅下修至2%，分项数据显示，较高的消费支出对企业利润有所助益，但出口下降和企业投资低迷对经济的负面影响愈发明显。
　　
意政局稳定提振欧股，欧元仍走弱势下行(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar51Points, closing down0.23%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin middle track tends to decline, and the exchange rate is close to the Bolin lower track; Daily lineMA5,10双线趋黏合，近期短期均线系统有失真现象，未表现出明显的支撑阻力效应；日线MACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴阳势能柱频繁转换，但DIFF、DEA双线稳定于0轴下方运行，故仍传递空头信号；日线RSI(14)to36-37一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于下行。指标层面未见欧元多头反攻迹象。上方阻力关注1.1130Below support attention1.1025。
　　
Fundamentals:执政党意大利五星运动党和敌对党民主党经过两轮磋商后，同意尝试共同组建联合政府。意大利总理孔特接受总统马塔雷拉的授权，着手组建新的领导班底。市场风险情绪好转，意大利富时指数收盘上涨1.87%。意大利和德国十年期国债收益率息差收至2018year5月以来最窄。欧元区8月工业景气指数录得-5.9，8月经济景气指数录得103.1，8月企业景气指数录得0.11，三项数据均较预期及前值好转。但8Monthly Service Industry Prosperity Index Report9.3，逊于预期及前值，且为此项数据连续连续第三个月出现下滑。
　　
避险情绪稍有退潮，goldETF罕见流出(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达307Points, closing down0.71%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行，但三轨收口较小，有进一步盘整待运行方向明晰的需求；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5稍趋走平；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to59-60一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于下行。上方关注如下图所示AB段行情-61.8%外部拓展位置1566，下方关注布林中轨支撑。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌7.60%, closing on17.88； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌3.12%, closing on19.28；全球最大的黄金ETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto8month30Daily reduction of holdings2.05吨黄金，持仓量连续六度增长后首现缩减。因意大利政局趋于稳定，隔夜，全球股市回暖，欧股、美股均现大涨，美国两年期和十年期国债收益率倒挂幅度略有缩小。避险情绪缓和、美元指数及国债收益率的走高迫使金价回落。
　　
　　
　　
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