Li Dingyuan:8.29暴涨暴跌过后该如何操作？后市金价走势分析及操作建议

Dogold投资，首先你需要做的是等待好的机会进场，在如今的投资市场中，你千万千万不要以自己的美好想象来揣度市场能给你多少回报，你会被市场教育的很惨，甚至血本无归，所以，如果你真的想要做好投资赚到钱，请不要一直抱怨自己亏了多少，市场都是陷阱之类的话，反省一下到底是什么原因导致你一直在亏损，找到问题、解决问题才是关键，为了对你自己的资金负责，请认真对待每一次的入市。做之前规划好，做之后静心观，亏损中不乱方寸，回本盈利都是迟早的事，急功近利永远是大忌，你如果能有所启发，相信不久之后你就能够脱离亏损，慢慢地走上正确投资的道路，鼎缘总结了十六个字：细水长流，回味无穷。保持本心，万古长青。

　　

Interpretation of the Golden News:
　　
　　近期在中美冒易摩擦升级的大背景下，市场再度遵循着"风险事件加剧经济下行风险-市场反应宽松预期-央行释放宽松政策"的运行逻辑，尽管在特朗普称双方将重回谈判桌后金价冲高回落，但周二令人失望的美国经济数据及美债收益率曲线倒挂加剧进一步引发了市场的担忧情绪，数据显示，美国8月消费者信心指数小幅下滑，房价增幅降至近七年来最低，同时美国2Period and10年期国债收益率倒挂幅度达到金融危机来最大，一度扩大至4.362基点；3Months and10年期美债futures收益率曲线倒挂幅度也达到2007year3月来最大，受此影响，美股三大stock market index全线转跌，美元承压走低，金价在回补缺口后重新上涨，此后美联储很可能受迫市场的压力在今年推出更多的宽松政策，利好金价。
　　
　　美联储巴尔金：经济看起来很好，但不确定性上升，还没有决定下个月是否支持再次下调基准利率，因为他正在寻找显示美国创纪录经济扩张可能走弱的信号。两种情况下可能降低利率：通胀率过低，或者经济增长面临风险。
　　
　　市场将迎来美国GDP数据。北京时间周四20:30，市场将迎来美国二季度GDP修正值，对此密切关注。美国第二季度实际GDP年化季率修正值上升2.0%, the previous value is growth2.1%。本周是美国劳动节周末之前的最后一周。8月底的成交量通常较低，这可能会加剧市场波动。如果美国GDP数据表现疲软，可能加剧市场对美国经济衰退的忧虑，从而进一步提升美联储降息的预期，这将打压美元，并对金价构成提振。
　　
　　中美冒易局势也迎来关键节点。美国对3000亿美元中国商品加征关税的第一阶段将于9month1日开始生效。作为回应，中国对美国产品的关税措施将同日生效，市场对此密切关注。超过160家美国商业组织组成的联盟周三联名致信，要求特朗普总统推迟对中国商品的所有关税上调。这批关税最早将于周日（9month1日）生效。在此之前，市场需持续关注中美冒易局势进展，以防任何突发意外消息引发市场剧烈波动。

　　

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:
　　
　　日图收盘小阴星K线整理，暂时还是守住了5日线上方修正，目前的震荡也只是整理修正阶段，暂时看不出深度调整的空间。不过往上走也比较吃力，这波高位连续的上涨，修正的时间和空间有限，每次临近回调都被消息面消散拉出了新高，使得调整的空间小。后面消息面续量不足，多头上行量能也会延续不足，会维持长时间的高位整理过渡，或者伴随冲高回落的修正。只是现阶段缺少局部见顶信号，暂时仍是在强势整理阶段。日图看涨。　　
　　
Short line chart:4小时反复在中轨上方反复探高，但未突破周初的跳空高点，最终回落收盘带动布林道上轨开始收口，结合昨天的走法，有点开始进入收敛区间震荡，上轨压力仍在1545-1548间，下轨支撑则是周初回踩低点1525.日内短线排除单边突破的话，先看区间震荡操作。小时图反复探高回落，不是简单的单边行情，多空都有机会，点位才是关键。在高位也不能一味过分看多，形态转换也是瞬息万变，现在的形态暂时看不出强弱。但随着回调空间加深，可能会打破短线强势整理格局。短线还是要防止探高回落的可能，局部看多不追高。1540上方不追多，尝试高位短空看回落。
　　
　　最新黄金操作建议：
　　
　　1.Callback1534-1536Go long, defend1530, Objective1544-1546
　　
　　2.rebound1548-1550Short selling, defense1554, Objective1540-1542
　　
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How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
　　
If you can find me, I can help you:
　　
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.

　　

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Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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