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焦点论金:8.26黄金开盘暴涨再创新高,附原油操作建议

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面对一块石头,把它背在背上,它就会成为一种负担,把它垫在脚下,它就成为进步的阶梯;If it's a piece of wood, you can choose to slowly rot or burn it vigorously;If you put a glass of water in your mouth, it will be refreshing;放在心上,就是一个世界。曾经以为,拥有是不容易的;后来才知道,舍弃更难。曾经以为,不可能失去的;后来才知道,应该珍惜。
  

  周一重点关注:
  
In the past week, the market has been mainly dominated by speeches from Federal Reserve officials and the international trade situation, and the market's risk aversion has significantly increased. There is still a possibility of further fermentation in the coming week, but there are still some important economic data worth paying attention to, mainly the United States7Monthly durable goods order data, US Q2GPDCorrection data, United States7monthPCEData, Eurozone8monthCPIData and China's manufacturing industryPMIdata In terms of events, the main focus is on the progress of the international trade situation and the speeches of some Federal Reserve officials.
  
  goldTrend analysis:
  
  刚刚过去的一周,金价整体先跌后涨,原本国际局势有所缓和,美联储会议纪要重申7月降息只是周期中的调整,美国就业数据也非常稳健,这些给美元提供支撑,令金价多次回落至1500整数关口下方,最低触及1492.20dollar/盎司,但随着中国方面提出关税反制措施,美国股市大幅下跌,避险情绪显着升温;再加上美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔年会上的讲话偏向鸽派,美元也大幅走弱,也给金价提供上涨动能。截至收盘,现货黄金收报1526.96dollar/盎司,周线涨幅0.91%, highest touch1530.11, distance8month13日创下的逾六年高点仅一步之遥。
  
  展望后市,不管是国际局势引发的避险情绪,还是美联储降息50个基点的预期回升,都给金价提供了强劲的上涨动能,而且显然,由于中国的反制措施是在周五亚洲市场收盘之后,下周一(8month26day)亚洲市场还会继续消化这些影响,有望给金价提供进一步上涨动能。另外,对于下周美国7月份的耐用品订单数据和美国7monthPCE数据的表现,投资者也需要予以留意。
  
  技术面来看,金价在8Month high point1535附近阻力还是比较强的,进一步阻力在2013year4month4Daily high point1540.08附近,若不能站稳在该位置上方,则仍需要提防多单借机获利了结,进而增加金价的见顶风险;若金价强势顶破1540Nearby resistance is expected to be further explored2013year2month21Daily low point1555.17附近阻力。日线图MACDDead fork,5Daily moving average underpass10日均线形成死叉,金价强势收复10日均线一度触及1530.32上方通道重新打开,金价偏向进一步上探8month13Daily high point1535.11Nearby resistance,2013year4month4Resistance at daily low points1540.08附近,焦点论金认为该位置阻力都极较强,短线有效上破的可能性不大。5Daily moving average at1506.16;10Daily moving average at1509.66;在失守5Daily moving average and10日均线之前金价偏向上行;综合来看操作思路上焦点·个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
  
Focus on resistance above:1530.32;1535.11;1540.08;
  
Pay attention to support below:1519.02;1509.66;1502.96;
  

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Rebound1528Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1522-1520;
  
  2Callback1518Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1525-1527;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以焦点论金微信(jdlj668)The actual offer shall prevail;
  
  crude oil:原油上周五的行情也不小了,最高日内原油从55.6高点受阻回落下跌,在周五策略中焦点也写到的是直接原油55.6直接空下去跌破54.8下方支撑顺势继续做空思路,果然原油周五暴跌下行至低点53.2了,原油周五算起来也有24个点空单利润。周线上本周收取一根到催线线,阴线收成,周线上K线运行在布林带中轨下方,布林带张口持平运行。周线级别基本上焦点论金个人认为维持区间50-57震荡整理行情,周线每周上方不破57就做空,下方50支撑看反弹。
  
  日线上原油本周周尾三个星期连续下跌,三日阴线连成,K线运行在布林带中轨下方,布林带张口偏下下行风险。日线上周五原油直接跌破55美元到低点53.2了说明日线级别空头短期开启下跌模式。日线上下周周初原油关注整数关口53下破,等待53美元跌破后再继续做空,没有跌破下去谨慎防守空单。综合来看,今日操作思路上焦点个人建议以反弹高空为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注54.0-54.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below52.0-52.2Frontline support.
  
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
  
  1Crude oil rebounded to54.0-54.2Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target53.0-53.2frontline;
  
  2Crude oil callback to52.0-52.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target52.8-53.0frontline;
  
  3、行情千变万化、点位仅供参考,投资有风险、入市需谨慎,详情关注焦点论金本人官||Wei:jdlj668;
  
  体验福利:凡是有意向咨询合作的散户朋友,便于后期合作互相信任,添-加笔者焦点论金后可凭实仓截图体验一周喊单,后续可根据收益自行选择是否合作,相信此福利对于市场长期亏损、对交易不认真喜欢到处混单子的散户朋友是一个佳音。
  

Wen/焦点·论金
    V-信公众号:焦点论金V-Letter:jdlj668
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