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MBG Markets:PMI数据好于预期,欧元跌至三周低位

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PMI数据好于预期,欧元跌至三周低位(EUR/USD)
  
  preface:周四市场跟随频繁政治和经济消息获得提振,8Monthly EurozoneMarkit PMI好于预期,欧元/美涨至日高1.1112. EurozonePMI反弹,但未表明欧元区经济已经触底。欧元/美元随后跌至三周低位1.1063。美国时段开始了杰克逊·霍尔年会,消息频繁。周五美联储主席鲍威尔将发表讲话,欧元区无数据公布。
  
  euro/美元未突破1.1110(近期日升势的61.8%回撤位,上周以来汇价受阻于该水平),利空多头。短线汇价维持中性,略倾向于看跌。4小时图显示技术指标整理于中线附近,方向不明朗。欧元/美元整理于持平的20SMA,处在看跌长期均线下方,汇价风险偏下行。
  
  Summary:euro/美元继续在近期低点附近交投,该货币对可能需要新的催化剂,才能跌破1.100心理关口支撑位。欧元/美元面临的主要事件风险将是美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上的讲话。尽管8Purchasing Managers'Index(PMI)意外上升,但数据流仍令人更加失望。它继续向欧洲央行施压,要求其在下个月推出一揽子宽松措施,这令欧元承压。上方阻力位1.1115, lower support position1.1065。
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