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PerplexinggoldIt is always full of surprises and changes, and many people always lose their direction in the complex market. In this rising and falling market, it is difficult to firm their own thinking. When operating trading, it is necessary to control risks well, strengthen their own thinking, stop losses in a timely manner when wrong, and persist in holding near the target. Don't follow the crowd and be afraid of making mistakes, which can lead to confusion and distorted operations. My name is Li Dingyuan. Any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest survival of the fittest, one think two do three success, one wait two see three fail; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!
今日凌晨美联储公布的7月会议纪要显示,美联储决策者一致认为,在决定未来是否降息方面,“保持可选性很重要”;他们青睐由未来的信息指导政策,“避免有任何遵循预设路径的表现,这令市场对美联储进一步降息的预期下降,部分分析师甚至认为在FOMC会议纪要公布之后,美联储可能不太会再降息。纪要公布后,美元指数小幅上扬;金价盘中短线剧烈震荡,黄金一度下挫但整体依然维持在千五关口拉锯。目前投资者在关注本周四到周六的杰克逊霍尔全球央行年度研讨会,其中美联储主席鲍威尔将会发表言论,投资者以期寻找未来利率走势的线索。
此次美联储会议纪要并没有发出再次降息的信号,美元指数接近三周高位,仍然维持在较高水平,影响了黄金的表现。目前观察可以发现,在风险事件来临以及上周利率倒挂频现的情况下,黄金价格均未在出现太过明显的大幅上攻行情,故此说明当下投资者的操作同样相对谨慎,后市仍需谨防金价短期内的回调风险。在美联储防御性降息后,美国的通胀数据能否随着消费的小幅走高而持续回暖,将会影响市场对于美联储货币政策的预期及黄金的走势。当前不管是美国的经济数据还是利率预期,市场都显得过于悲观;加上前期每盎司1530美元的强技术阻力,短期金价或在1500美元关口附近持续振荡。
今日黄金走势分析:
目前金价稳守在1500美元之上,因刺激举措预期拉低公债收益率;黄金价格周二上涨,稳稳站在1500dollar/盎司上方,从前一个交易日下跌逾1%的跌势中回升,在周一回调之前,金价本月早些时候大幅上涨,升至六年高点,美国股市在连续三天上涨后今日小幅走低,美债收益率下跌,因美联储可能进一步放松货币政策的预期提振了对公债的需求;投资者对高风险资产态度的转变导致周一金价下跌逾1.2%,创下一个月来最大单日百分比跌幅;但今年金价已上涨17%,本月迄今已上涨逾100USD.
黄金日线上来看,MACD的死叉形成和KDJ死叉运行,形成了较为明显的区间震荡修复形态,上方阻力先看1506Break the position to see1510Nearby, support below1493Nearby,4小时布林带中轨和MA30日均线承压的点位也是上周五盘中高点到周一低点反抽的阻力位置即1510附近,日内黄金进场操作,阻力点位布局空,支撑点位进场多即可。
Today's gold operation suggestions:
1Rebound1506Stop loss without breaking short1510, look at the goal1500-1495
2Callback1496Long nearby, stop loss1492, look at the goal1508-1506
The above views only represent Dingyuan's personal views. If you feel that Li Dingyuan's views are helpful to you, you can try adding Li Dingyuan//Line“ldy86588”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
How to invest in gold steadily:
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
If you can find me, I can help you:
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.
鼎缘寄语:
There is nothing impossible, only people who don't want to do it. If you are indifferent to your current loss situation, it can only prove that you are avoiding it. If you are not willing to lose, please learn to change. If you are not willing to change, it means that you are not hurt enough. If you believe in me, you can find me, and I will do my best to help you. An analyst who is willing to work with you in the same boat.
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Li Dingyuan Analysis Team
Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan Wei-Core( ldy86588) Official account (Li Dingyuan)
Author's Message: If life is only like first sight, meeting and gathering is fate!
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