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gold:市场重仓押注降息今年这已不是第一次,然而鲍威尔还是面临同样的问题,那就是国内经济数据未必会为降息提供支持。五十年来最低的失业率未显出任何回升的迹象,消费也依然继续在推动经济增长,甚至在通胀方面形势也出现了改善。鲍威尔的确说过,美联储会采取行动保护美国经济免受全球风险冲击,但是不曾有一位决策者示意那需要有两次以上的标准化降息。在鲍威尔释放明确的政策信号前,料黄金将总体交投于1490-1520区间。日内关注美联储会议纪要。
黄金日线来看:高位震荡;短线金价仍有下行风险,留意上一交易日都对1492Nearby support, if the support is missed, increase the short-term bearish signal; Further support on8month13Daily low point1480附近;若意外顶破5Daily moving average1510附近阻力,则金价可能会进一步上探8month16Daily high point1527附近阻力。技术上来看:MACD高位死叉初步形成,绿色动能柱隐现。KDJ高位死叉,随机指标略偏下行,5The daily moving average has a downward crossing10日均线的迹象,且两根均线都对金价有所压制,在顶破5Daily moving average1510前,指示金价反弹动能脆弱,下行动能随时可能重启。
Gold4小时来看:呈现相当窄幅的整理交投;金价在布林线下轨附近或者支撑后的反弹受到了布林线中轨的压制,目前该阻力在1510附近,金价面临震荡下行的风险,继续留意布林线下轨1491附近支撑,若下破该支撑,则增加短线看空信号;进一步支撑在1400-1535Upward trend38.2%Retreat position1483附近,若金价强势顶破布林线中轨阻力,则有望进一步试探布林线上轨1526附近阻力,短线的话,1517附近也还存在一些阻力。技术上来看:MACD在零轴下方双线粘合,红色动能柱缩窄,KDJ发出短线超买信号,随机指标略偏下行,指示金价动能喜忧参半,或陷入一段时间的窄幅整理交投。综合来看,今日操作思路上焦点个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1508-1510Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1494-1496Frontline support.
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
1Gold rebounded to1508-1510Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1500-1502frontline;
2Gold callback to1494-1496Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1504-1506frontline;
Internationalcrude oilTrend analysis:
原油昨天是反弹回落后的帽子戏法,形成不规则M型走势。开盘于56.13价格震荡向上,欧盘到达日内高点56.58,随后开始下跌,美盘不久加速下跌创下日内低点55.16,之后走势没有入往常陷入停滞整理,经历短暂修正后,价格再度拉升,午夜上涨到56.48,尾盘出现回落,结收于56.14。昨天开盘前文章提示短线反弹力量增强,仍旧执行左侧交易思路,策略区间55.5-56.7,高点接近,低点到达小幅破位后反弹,总体符合预期,
周二日K收取长下影的十字星,油价短暂向下连续击穿布林中轨支撑以及MA5、MA10均线后反弹,重新回到布林中上轨区间,也重新凌驾于短均上方,布林袋继续缩口。辅助指标VOL放量成交,MACD红柱动能小幅增强,DIFFandDEA金叉后继续上行发散,KDJindexJ值再次从高位区向下拐头。四小时图形上,均线的聚拢情况有所缓解,油价向下连续跌破短期均线,触及中期均线MA90后反弹,同时也是在短暂击穿布林中轨支撑后上扬,在触及布林上轨阻力后回落,MA5向下和MA10均线形成黏合,油价目前于黏合位上方不远处运行;总体来看,多空争夺,目前反弹力量稍占主动。
综合来看焦点认为今天是EIABig data, released in the morningAPILooking at it, the unexpected decrease in crude oil inventories and the unexpected decrease in gasoline inventories provide support for the upward trend of oil prices. However, investors who have long-term exposure to crude oil must know that,APIThe impact is limited, and its only effect is onEIAThe forward-looking guidance, then the highlight of the three major data in the evening is whether it is in line withAPI录得同步。其中原油库存是否超预期减少,美油产量的变化水平会直接影响图形的表现。当然,鉴于上周屡次出现的投机仓位疯狂变动,今天仍然需要做后手准备,仍然建议大家在数据公布10分钟后入场。短线思路维持左侧不变,上方关注57.4Follow below55.5。若存在破位,届时再根据数据及基本面做调整,文章不做另行公布,祝各位晚间满载而归。(行情千变万化,点位仅供参考,详情关注焦点本人官||Wei:jdlj668)
原油参考建议;
策略一、首次触及55.5-55.6,多单入场,止损默认,目标56.0;
策略二、首次触及57.4,空单入场,止损默认,目标56.2;
1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
3Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
Full guidance time: early7:00--In the early morning of the next day3:00。
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