Wei Liangchen:8.20晚间黄金走势上1503，空单可分批建仓！你准备好了吗？

8.20eveninggold走势上1503，空单可分批建仓！你准备好了吗？


稳健盈利绝不是虚名，真正能做到的才是实力见证者！有时候不是你对行情把握不住，你不断亏损的原因更多在于你的心理因素，空有对行情趋势的判断，但是点位拿捏不准，握单不稳，下单不准，出单不狠，你想挣到钱，那怎么可能呢？盈利是从不缺席的，没有赚不到的行情，只有不会布局的投资者！



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在美国债券收益率出现倒挂后，市场迫切地想知道美联储的态度。目前市场普遍预计美联储将在9月政策会议上再度降息，降息概率高达100%。根据芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察工具，市场目前预计美联储9Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of one basis point is80.5%Interest rate reduction50The probability of one basis point is19.5%。


分析认为，金价近期因国际贸易紧张局势不断攀升，8month13日创下美元的高点1535.11美元，目前高位盘整静待美联储7月会议纪要出炉。


FedWatchThe tool shows that currently the market is concerned about the Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate reduction50个基点的预期已经下降至5%，因此美联储大概率只会降息25个基点。因此市场将关注鲍威尔是否会传达进一步降息的信号，如果鲍威尔总体措辞偏向于鸽派将支撑金价，反之市场将延续此前对于美联储鹰派降息的看法。


Gold trend analysis


黄金当前多空争夺加剧，区间反复震荡，做空仍需耐心等待才能入场！欧美盘依旧依托上方反向阻力点1504高空看跌不变！白盘震荡是主旨，操作上尽量高空为主。稳健的做空点位可选择在1504附近！市场风险氛围凝重，致使早间金价开盘小幅拉升，但日内涨幅不大，配合技术面而言，上方反向阻力点1504承压，短期冲破的可能性较小。从周线来看，上方趋势阻力目前处在1510-1535附近，这里也将是金价中期趋势的多空分界线！目前，黄金中线在1510下方，就是做空思路不变！



技术上来看，金价持续上行，多头已经衰弱，空头下跌是必然的！月线画图分析，斐波纳契的短期压力位和周线趋势压力重合与1510附近，这里是金价中期趋势的多空分水岭。日线短期来看，1528双顶承压，上行力度减弱，小时图分析，斐波纳契50.0的位置刚好是在1504一线，目标已经跌破，同时也是隔夜反弹的高点！短期上方阻力点是在1504附近，进一步阻力则是1510附近！日内震荡弱势格局必将延续！操作上，黄金走高遇阻，短线弱势震荡格局将是日内的主要走势！耐心等待在1504附近放空！参考交易策略：1504Short selling, stop loss1509Zhiying Kan1490。目前仓位上有单的朋友，由于笔者黄金超不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人


黄金操作策略建议：


多单策略：回踩1490-92Go long, defend4Points, target1510；


Short selling strategy: rebound1503企稳做空，风控1507, Objective1496。


A successful trade is not simply about going long or short, but about forming a comprehensive set of risk trading principles. When the risk far outweighs the return, even if there is room for profit, what is the point of entering the order?In the market, the biggest enemy of profit is risk. Many people do not have a clear understanding of risk, and may only think that risk is the probability of the market trend reversing. This is the simplest understanding of risk. In fact, a large part of risk is formed by external factors. Why can't you invest alone? It's because you can't always keep track of changes in risk, control market trends, and make profits for a while, making it difficult to maintain profitability. As a teacher, it is even more important to cooperate with investors, understand and trust each other, and keep going!



Success is not something that will only come in the future, but rather the moment you believe, choose, and decide to do it. Only by persisting and believing can you reap rewards. The same goes for investing in gold. You may still be losing money, but as long as you find me, all losses will be easily resolved!


One collaboration, lifelong friend! The above article is from the original work of Wei Liangchen. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the industry.


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