老莫:8.18黄金原油周末解析，8.19黄金原油将出现怎样走势

Message face:
　　
　　1The Jackson Hole Summit would be an ideal time for the Federal Reserve to set or reset market expectations. Several Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Powell, will deliver speeches next Friday. When we last saw the news from the Federal Reserve, they hardly mentioned the need for further easing, but considering7All the progress since the beginning of the month, their wording may or should change. If they promise to9We should see Powell downplay the improvement in spending and retail sales as a result of monthly interest rate cuts. Some people may even publicly express their support for loose policies, However, if they emphasize the rise in data, the US dollar may soar as they may postpone interest rate cuts.
　　
　　2According to reports, local time16Just one day after the release of the Iranian oil tanker Grace 1 in the UK, the US Department of Justice issued another detention order. Regarding this, British Gibraltar Chief Minister Picardo stated that the matter still needs to be brought back to the court for a ruling. After obtaining clearance from British authorities, Iranian oil tanker16The ship has started to move its position, but the anchor is still anchored off the coast of Gibraltar. It is currently unclear whether it will set sail soon. Gibraltar's Chief Minister Picardo earlier stated that once the tanker completes its transportation and replenishment operations, it can depart freely. Sources say that the oil tanker is waiting6New crew members have joined, including the new captain, therefore18It's unlikely to leave before now. The current captain has resigned.
　　
InternationalgoldMarket trend analysis:
　　
　　回顾周五行情，早盘开盘在1522.22The US dollar, after opening, the gold price fluctuated and then rose, reaching its highest point1527.81The US dollar, after being under pressure at a high level, experienced a decline1516After a slight rebound in the vicinity, the gold price continued to decline, with separate reports given1505-1503.58After reaching a low level, the gold price rebounded and reached its highest point1517.23The US dollar then fluctuated and closed at1512.40USD.
　　
　　日线走势图上看，日线收中阴线，带有上下影线，高点破前高，低点破前低，形态上出现外包线，布林带开口向上，金价运行在中上轨，均线多头排列，运行在k线下方形成支撑。在震荡指标上显示，金价运行在零轴上方，但是多头动能放量出现减弱。在震荡指标上显示，正在向弱势区域运行中，看的指标高位死叉迹象。整体表现高位遇阻迹象。自信源于实力，人格成就魅力。添加笔者功.swelling/皓"Mo Qianji"。
　　
　　综合来看莫千机认为，就周五的走势来看，金价在上探1535高位后出现承压的迹象，在反弹1527附近二次探顶承压后，金价出现下跌，进一步表现了上方出现见顶迹象，上方可以高点连线，形成下跌趋势线。在下方支撑方面，重点将考虑1503-1500附近位置。若意外下破，将考验1495位置，在下周操作上将考验反弹做空的策略，上方关注1517-1522位置压力，下方关注1503-1500。
　　
Trading strategy for next week:
　　
　　策略一、反弹1517不破遇阻空，目标看1503-1500Break down and take a look, stop loss4dollar
　　
　　策略二、反弹1522附近空，目标看1510-1503Break down and take a look, stop loss4dollar.
　　
Internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis:
　　
　　回顾周五行情，早盘开盘在54.678美元，开盘后油价多头占据上风，油价上涨，在两波上涨后最高给到55.637美元，随后高位遇阻，油价出现下跌，在进一步下跌后，油价给到了54.248美元位置，企稳油价出现反弹震荡，最后收盘在54.843USD.
　　
　　日线上看，日线收阳线十字星，低点没有创前低，高点创前高，布林带开口向上，油价运行在中下轨，均线空头排列，运行在k线上方形成压力，趋势指标上显示，油价运行在零轴下方，空头动能放量出现减弱，在震荡指标上显示，油价运行在中性偏弱区间，kd指标高位运行中有死叉迹象。整体表现低位震荡。自信源于实力，人格成就魅力。添加笔者功.swelling/皓"Mo Qianji"。
　　
　　综合来看莫千机认为，就目前原油走势，原油运行在震荡区间，上方在55.6位置承压后出现下探，下方在54.0附近得到支撑，周四在下探53.7美元位置后出现反弹，油价进一步表现强势，但是周五反弹没有出现延续，好在尾盘反弹收复部分失地，就近期低点连线，形成上升趋势线，在趋势线上方看涨，若意外下破将削弱看涨情绪。在下周一操作上将关注原油反弹力度，操作上考虑回撤做多思路，高位不破布局空单为辅，上方关注55.6-56.2Pressure, Below54.2-54.0Support, focus on55.6位置得失。区间破位后将选择新的方向！
　　
　　下周一交易策略:
　　
　　策略一、回撤在54.2附近企稳多，目标看55.0-55.6破位上看，止损0.4dollar.
　　
　　策略二、反弹55.6Encountering an obstacle once, look at the target55.0, take a break to see54.5Stop loss0.4dollar.
　　
Wen/莫千机——mqj773