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目前行情基本面来说,美联储降息启动的全球央行宽松预期还有一个发酵阶段,这对gold是个支撑;美指还没有回调到位,目前美指还在97上方,黄金还没有见顶;韩日冲突事件有可能进一步升级,外加中国和美国的贸战可能反复,这对黄金的避险是个助推。8month9日,黄金多空双方继续在千五关口附近展开拉锯,但围绕冒易僵局以及英国脱欧不确定性上升,继续支撑避险资产,全球下次经济衰退料提前到来。有报导称,美国推迟就允许美国企业与中国华为展开交易作出决定。而英国官方近来在硬脱欧议题上表现得愈发满不在乎。
彭宇鑫个人观点:因市场对全球经济下滑的担忧加剧,且市场押注美联储将不得不加快降息步伐,以对抗经济衰退风险的增加,美债收益率暴跌:30年期美债收益率逼近纪录低位,10年美债收益率一度跌破1.6%, creating2016year10月以来的最低水平。此外,一个备受密切关注的美国经济衰退指标——美国三个月国库券与10年期国债收益率之差升至2007year3月以来最高水准。这也是迄今为止,美国利率市场发出的最为响亮的警报:美债收益率曲线倒挂程度创下金融危机爆发前以来的最大。眼下,市场押注美国经济衰退概率持续飙升,这也可能会进一步促使美联储放松货币政策。
————Analysis of Gold Market
Friday(08month09day)报道,欧市盘中公布美国7月生产者物价指数年率,录得1.7%,符合预期;但潜在生产者通胀的回落令美联储9月降息概率大涨。黄金短线先抑后扬,价格在数据公布前已经跌破1500大关,最低挫至1495.18水平,而在数据公布后,因降息预期和市场避险依然难撤的缘故,金价迅速向上反弹,到发稿前重新站上1500Da Guan.
日线图上,金价下半周似乎中止上半周的攻势,彭宇鑫认为下半周中市场普遍对周初的极端情绪予以修复,导致黄金并未再次大幅跃升,在下周来临前,黄金周五的收盘表现将是关键。即便金银目前进入短线的盘整,但宏观面利多的驱动将继续看涨贵金属市场。在重启升势之前,黄金应当会遭遇短线交易者的抛售,令1500大关受到考验。黄金继续持稳涨势,日图MACD红色动能柱略微扩大,KDJ随机指标略偏向下,指示金价上涨动能依旧存在,但目前涨势暂缓。4小时图上看,金价于高位附近窄幅整理,MACD绿色动能柱显现,KDJ随机指标略偏向上,指示金价短线展开小幅回调。
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Suggestions1510Stop loss without breaking short1515, Objective1505-1500;
2Suggestions1490Do not break long, stop loss1485, Objective1495-1500;
以上观点仅代表彭宇鑫个人看法,如果你觉得上述彭宇鑫的观点对你有帮助,可以添加彭宇鑫薇//亻言:“pyx66832”Every day, there will be timely analysis of golden strategies, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services (all free!!!) to wholeheartedly answer every investment problem you have.
What about the duvet cover?
If you're still reading posts after losing money, it proves one thing, you're not willing. You are not willing to let this market take away all your funds. People with teachers have poor technical skills, and personal operations without teachers rely entirely on luck, unable to analyze market trends, always taking a beating behind others, always having a hot head, and unable to calm down in times of trouble. There are too many reasons for your loss, but in the end, there is only one outcome for you, which is that the money is gone. I don't want to talk too much about how to solve the problem here, after all, you have read through articles one by one, and I believe you have roughly understood some basic ways to solve the problem. However, you still don't know how to solve the problem. What is the reason for this? I have said this sentence for a long time, 'To unwind a hedge, we need to combine the current market situation, as well as your hedging position and fund combination to unwind it. It's not something you can say in just a few words.'.
For friends who set up orders, do not feel pressured. It has become natural for me to unlock and unwind after several years of work. Due to differences in platform locations, if you are unsure of specific set up positions, warehouse risks, and other specific set up situations, you can directly communicate with me. I will provide detailed set up ideas online in real time.
彭宇鑫温馨提示:
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
Author of this article: Peng Yuxin
彭宇鑫分析团队指导薇//Your words:pyx66832
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
作者赠言:人生若只如初见,相逢相聚便是缘 |
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