Li Wen Dianjin:8.7早间黄金走势分析，降息预期增加黄金剑指千五，今日操作策略

The way to trade lies in change, which leads to communication, communication leads to achievement, and achievement leads to success; The fundamental essence of trading lies in stability, striving for progress while maintaining stability, and then avoiding risks and disruptions in order to lock in profits and avoid losses! The teacher is not a god. It is unrealistic to simply be accurate, go short and go up, and invest all the time facing certain risks. What the teacher needs to do is to constantly control risks based on the specific positions of the students, minimize risks, and consolidate our profits!
　　
　　gold资讯解读：
　　
In the7月份的美联储会议之后，市场对9月份美联储会议降息25个基点的押注仅有9%。在特朗普上周四发布最新关税言论后，现在美联储9月降息至少25The probability of one basis point is100%Interest rate reduction50The probability of one basis point is34%。美联储降息定价的这些剧烈而不稳定的变化，正助长包括黄金在内的各类避险资产的波动性。虽然其他资产类别不喜欢波动性增加(因为波动性表明现金流、股息、息票支付等方面的不确定性加大)，但随着不确定性增加，黄金和白银的避险吸引力上升，贵金属往往会受益于波动性增加的时期。
　　
　　早盘黄金行情分析及操作建议：
　　
　　日线来看，单边上涨；金价顶破7month19Daily high point1452.89Nearby resistance,MACDReestablish a golden fork,KDJ金叉延续，均线多头排列，后市偏向延续涨势，初步阻力在日内高点1474.91nearby(也可以参考2013year5month8Daily high point1476.89Nearby resistance)Further resistance1480整数关口附近，较强的阻力在2013year5Month high point1488.16Near, below7month19Daily high point1452.89已经转化为较强的支撑所在，隔夜已经进行了初步回踩确认，在失守该位置前，后市偏向延续涨势；5The daily moving average support is currently at1445.64附近，若意外快速回落至该位置下方，则增加短线见顶信号。此外，1460整数关口目前也形成了初步支撑；关注李文点金及时了解市场资讯，把握大趋势行情助你稳健获利！
　　
　　4小时来看，单边上涨；MACD金叉，均线多头排列，多头占明显上风，不过KDJ高位有死叉的趋势，短线金价展开高位调整，初步支撑在19.1%Retreat position1460.68Nearby,10The moving average is supported by1456.96附近，强支撑在前期高点1452.89附近，浩雨认为若意外回落至该位置下方，则削弱短线看涨信号；进一步支撑在38.2%Retreat position1446.46附近。综合来看，今日操作思路上李文点金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅，上方重点关注1477-1483Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1464-1457Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1Gold rebounded to1483-1485Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1473-1471frontline;
　　
　　2Gold callback to1458-1460Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1475-1480frontline;
　　
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How to invest in gold correctly for beginners
　　
　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
　　
　　2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
　　
　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
　　
　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
　　
　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
　　
　　6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial. Think about how profitable you have been since investing.
　　
Official account: Li Wen Dianjin
　　
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Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00(It never stops on weekends and can be consulted at any time) Entering the market is risky, and investment needs to be cautious.
　　
Wen/Li Wen Dianjin(Guidance and consultation with Weixin:ldw6659）