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The way to trade lies in change, which leads to communication, communication leads to achievement, and achievement leads to success; The fundamental essence of trading lies in stability, striving for progress while maintaining stability, and then avoiding risks and disruptions in order to lock in profits and avoid losses! The teacher is not a god. It is unrealistic to simply be accurate, go short and go up, and invest all the time facing certain risks. What the teacher needs to do is to constantly control risks based on the specific positions of the students, minimize risks, and consolidate our profits!
At the Federal Reserve7月实施降息25个基点之后,市场焦点重新回归到美国经济数据上来。虽然昨日受到了特朗普言论影响,gold走势一度走高,但是后续能否继续上扬,仍然取决于美国经济的一些重磅数据是否确实走弱,并出乎市场意料,比如今晚即将公布的非农数据。
目前市场预期7月非农就业人口可能增加16.4万人,那么具体来说,非农新增大幅增长20万以上,则美元指数大涨,金银或下跌;反之非农新增处于16ten thousand-20万之间,则美元指数可能小幅升值,金银微弱调整;非农新增若介于14ten thousand-16万之间,则美元小幅回落,金银小幅走高;若非农新增少于14万,则金银可能继续大幅上行。
In terms of gold:
Gold1400探底回升,短期看涨回撤多;
周四黄金价格在白盘承压测试1400关键水平位后止跌回升,盘中强势飙升一度站上1440上方,而今日早盘中金价延续升势进一步冲高触及1449一线后回落调整,当前金价交投于1434美元附近。金价隔夜飙升,因特朗普对国际贸易局势的相关言论,推送了市场的担忧情绪,再加上ISMmanufacturingPMI数据放缓至近三年低点,美股大跌近1%再创一个月新低,黄金避险买需激增,此外美联储9月份降息概率再度飙升至93%附近,金价受到支撑飙涨,不过美元高位环境中,黄金难以持稳高位,周五盘中金价触及两周新高后回落,至于后市金价是继续上涨还是下跌,还需要等待晚间非农数据的指引。
黄金技术面上看,周四黄金日线大阳收涨,当前金价持稳于1430关口上方,短期走调整等待晚间非农数据的指引;日线上显示,K线持于日线布林带中轨上方,而短周期均线勾头向上,布林带也有轻微开口向上延伸的均线;整体而言,黄金依旧处于大周期宽幅震荡中;短线上看,金价短期趋势倾向上涨,因此操作上回撤多为主,短期支撑关注1430frontline.
黄金短期策略:1430There are many nearby areas, causing damage1426, look at the goal1440-45;
crude oilaspect:
原油承压大跌位置震荡下行,短期看跌反弹空;
周四原油价格延续前一日跌势,短线反弹触及阻力后大幅下跌,隔夜盘中油价最低跌至53.6一线,刷新6month19日以来历史新低;今日白盘中,油价短线反弹修正,当前油价交投于54.8美元附近。油价周四大幅走跌,国际贸易局势升温加重了投资者对经济增长的担忧,同时当前欧佩克减产不及预期也是令油价失去部分支撑。此外,无协议脱欧的担忧,以及全球经济增长下行风险,宏观形势并未变化。如果宏观风险爆发,市场失控,资金将大量涌向安全资产,而油价将因此再度走低。
原油技术面上分析,油价日线大跌收阴,日线上显示原油整体上维持震荡下行走势,昨日油价大跌刚好触及下行通道的下轨支撑,那么短期李文点金预计原油有调整需求;短线上看,短线油价持于近期地位调整,均线空头向下排列,布林带开口向下,短期风险仍然偏下行,加上隔夜油价破底打开下空间。综上所述,原油后市趋势继续看空,短线有调整需求,因此操作上反弹空为主。
原油短期策略:55.6Near empty, stop loss56, look at the goal54;
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How to invest in gold correctly for beginners
1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
6Develop investment plans that are suitable for oneself - life requires planning, investment requires planning, and investment is not an overnight process. Only by strictly executing can one profit from it. So how to become a profiteer in the gold investment market is crucial. Think about how profitable you have been since investing.
Official account: Li Wen Dianjin
This article is exclusively planned by Li Wen Dianjin. Please indicate the source when reprinting. The above content is for reference.
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(It never stops on weekends and can be consulted at any time) Entering the market is risky, and investment needs to be cautious.
Wen/Li Wen Dianjin(Guidance and consultation with Weixin:ldw6659) |
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