单晨金：美联储降息在即，后市黄金怎么布局？今晚非农怎么做？

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[sub]亲爱的投资朋友们，我们在投资的时候不要只看到百倍杠杆的利润，而看不到万丈深渊的风险！所以做交易必须稳健，而稳健交易的精髓在于找机会的能力，谋定而后动，运筹帷幄，这是单晨金制胜市场的关键，所谓三思而后行，唯有斟酌过的点位才得以进场，激进的点位让人多空两难，稳健的点位，进可盈利出局，退可抽身离场。[/sub]

[sub]eveninggold热点资讯：[/sub]


[sub]今晚将迎来本周关注最高的美联储利率决议，关于是否降息和降息多少个基点，以及今年后续是否会进一步降息，都将在今晚凌晨2.30宣布。另外crude oil近几日连续走高，加上EIA库存不断减少，今晚库存是否继续减少，给原油更多的上涨动能，原油是否会借机站上60美元，将在今晚10.30Published in the United StatesEIA数据中公布，大家尽请关注。[/sub]


[sub]Analysis of the evening gold trend:[/sub]


[sub]周二黄金继续小幅冲高，日线走出三连阳形态，市场一致认定今晚美联储会降息25个基点，所以虽然美元一直高居不下，但是黄金还是稳步向上。对于今晚的数据，单晨金认为比较重要的有2点。一个就是宣布降息25A basis point or50个基点，如果是50个基点，那么就是大幅利好黄金，果断追进多单。如果是25个基点，那么就需要关注第二点，后续的讲话当中，是否有后续进一步降息的可能性，还是今年就此打住，如果是就此打住，那么基本可以算是利空黄金，不可追多单。[/sub]

[sub]技术面上，黄金目前大小周期基本都处于震荡之中，趋势稍显偏强，并且在本周多次回踩日线布林带中轨的关键支撑点，但是成功得到支撑，所以目前下方布林带中轨1417andMA30average1414一线就是下方重要的支撑点，也是万一黄金走跌下来，最多的点位。那么今日晚间如果数据利好，价格先跌下来，那么就在1425一线进多单。[/sub]


[sub]晚间黄金操作策略：[/sub]


[sub]1、1425-1427Go long nearby, defend1420, look at the goal1438-1440(short-term)[/sub]


[sub]2、降息50个基点，直接追进多单，目标看15-20dollar.[/sub]


[sub]今晚小非农来袭，单晨金教你非农如何正确做单：[/sub]


[sub]晨金将结合非农数据对黄金市场的影响分析如何进行正确的黄金投资。主要关注以下几点：[/sub]


[sub]1.The main trend of technical analysis is whether it is in a short position or a long position, and the length of the time cycle between long and short positions.[/sub]

[sub]2.The fundamental market reaction before non-agricultural data is to compare the expected non-agricultural data with the previous data, and then roughly judge the quality of the data and its impact on gold.[/sub]


[sub]3.Be prepared in the vicinity of key positions, judge and prepare for intervention positions based on the overall trend of the market, and adopt a phased intervention and light position approach to minimize risks.[/sub]


[sub]4.放弃非农业对黄金市场的冲击，选择观望或者在非农震荡对市场的冲击结束之后再介入，这种选择未尝不是一个很好的选择。这对于小资金的客户和重仓锁仓的客户至关重要。[/sub]


[sub]5.Don't wait for the data to be released before placing an order, as such actions often face significant spreads, time delays in trading, and the psychological impact of back and forth stop losses caused by luring bulls and short positions on investors.[/sub]


[sub]6.From opening to closing, the market is controlled by unilateral forces, and gold prices move in one direction. This is an excellent opportunity to take advantage of the situation and build a position, with only a small risk, as the value range on the next trading day usually extends, ensuring a profitable exit within sufficient time without suffering losses.[/sub]


[sub]7.High income/Low income balanced market. On that day, it was a balanced market with ups and downs, but the close was high (or low), indicating that one side had achieved the imagined victory. So early trading on the next trading day usually favors the closing end, so building positions in line with the closing direction is a good move.[/sub]


[sub]8.Break through the consolidation zone. When the consolidation zone that has been maintained for a period of time is broken through, the gold price movement will be fast and intense. This is because market participants have changed their views on value, and long-term forces are very confident in intervening. At this time, it is necessary to follow the breakthrough direction to enter the market in a timely manner and enjoy the pleasure of sitting in the sedan.[/sub]

[sub]9.Break through the trap of failure. When the gold price fails to hit the resistance level (or support level), it usually tries its best to return to the original value range. The longer the time period of the reference point being hit, the wider the return range, which is due to the concept of market equilibrium. At this point, it is necessary to react quickly and turn the gun head to counterattack.[/sub]


[sub]10.Empty jump gap. During the opening phase, due to the strong entry of long-term forces into the market, a gap of empty jumps was formed. Its characteristic is to play a supporting or resistance role, and building positions along the direction of the jump also has a high winning rate. However, due to the types of gaps including ordinary, breakthrough, relay, exhaustion, etc., it is best to distinguish them clearly based on the overall environment before taking action. If a trader can patiently wait, observe keenly, and cooperate with scientific fund management methods to take decisive actions, then he will definitely achieve good results and profits![/sub]


[sub]在投资的道路上，选择一个一路同行的老师尤为重要。晨金给不你了太多温暖，但有个词叫尽我所能。我这里没有一夜暴富，没有百分百赚钱的秘籍，只有稳健的交易系统和一颗真诚的心,Believe me, come to me and say too many unrealistic things. I think it would be very hypocritical, not seeking overnight wealth! Just strive for small streams and long flows.[/sub]


[sub]Author of this article: Shan Chenjin[/sub]


[sub]作者赠言：交易之真谛，乃于淡雅间、无味之中[/sub]


[sub]σ-σ：330-5379-776V-Letter:scj366[/sub]


[sub]The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.[/sub]
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