MBG Markets：约翰逊密集发声英镑续跌，欧元无视疲软数据收阳

　　
Trump“干扰”视听，美元高位滞涨(DXY)
　　
Technical aspect:美元指数上一交易日震幅达19Points, closing down0.03%，日线连阳告终。日线BOLL(20)三轨构建整齐上行通道线，汇价仍贴近布林上轨位置；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日缩减，DIFF、DEA双线走高处于历史相对高位；日线RSI(14)to64-65一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方关注前期高点98.50Below support attention5日均线得失，短期滞涨建议以回撤突破5日均线为信号。
　　
Fundamentals:据外媒报道，特朗普在白宫接受采访时表示，希望美联储大幅降息、立即停止量化紧缩。这是特朗普任内对美联储提出的最直接公开要求之一。美国6月个人支出月率录得0.3%，符合市场预期，但低于前值0.5%； U.S.A6Monthly CorePCEPrice index annual rate recorded1.6%Below market expectations1.7%。有评论指出，数据整体反映了经济增长放缓、通胀温和的现状。美国7The Consumer Confidence Index of the Monthly Consultation Chamber recorded135.7, for2008年经济危机来第三高；预计从现在起的6个月内商业状况向好的消费者比例从19.1%增加到24.0%。
　　
约翰逊密集发声，英镑延续阴跌(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The GBP/USD experienced a significant fluctuation in the previous trading day103Points, closing down0.48%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于下行，汇价连续两个交易日于布林下轨下方极端超卖位置运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能持续增大；日线RSI(14)于超卖区间运行。下图所示ABC段的斐波那契拓展线100%Expansion position1.2120，隔夜已被成功探及，但未现低位买盘力量，当前汇价仍无筑底迹象。上方阻力关注5日均线得失，下方关注1.2000Integer level.
　　
Fundamentals:英国新任首相约翰逊周二再度就脱欧事务发表看法，称能否达成脱欧协议取决于欧盟；如果欧盟方面不肯妥协，英国就必须为无协议脱欧做好准备。受脱欧进程影响，英镑连日暴跌，英国10The yield of one-year treasury bond bonds fell to2016year8月末以来新低。数据显示，自约翰逊就职以来，英镑已经贬值约2.4%。据英国媒体消息，布鲁塞尔方面与英国均假设英国首相约翰逊正计划举行一场选举，以确保获得重新谈判的授权；然而目前约翰逊对欧盟的强硬态度，似乎在不断消泯新脱欧协议达成的可能性。
　　
信心数据疲软，欧元顽强上行(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar29Individual points, closing up0.13%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)三轨构建下行通道线，汇价稍自下轨一线抬升；日线MA5,10,20构多周期死叉共振，汇价升破MA5，今日亚盘时段测试MA10位置；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to37-38一线运行。下方支撑关注前期低点1.1100Attention to resistance above76.4%（38.2%with23.6%的差值加上61.8%）回调位1.1180Near.
　　
Fundamentals:eurozone7月经济景气指数录得102.7, lower than the previous value103.3, Chuangjin3年最低水平；德国8monthGfk消费者信心指数报9.7, creating2017year4月以来的最低点。德国7monthCPIAnnual rate initial value recorded1.7%，优于预期及前值；表明7月份德国经济数据整体较6月走软的背景下，国内通胀压力维持稳定。受制于宏观环境前景疲软、脱欧形势恶劣、黯淡的二季度财报，欧股昨日全线大跌，欧洲斯托克600Index closed down1.47%，所有行业板块和欧洲主要国家的股市均收盘走低，其中汽车和银行股领跌。今日日内建议关注法、德、欧元区7monthPMI初值数据，机构当前对除法国外的欧元区国家7monthPMI展望均较为悲观。
　　
　　
　　
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