Peng Yuxin:7.9黄金金价四日连阴，短线多头不强看震荡

　　周一，金价白盘冲高，上破1400关口，达到1407一线，随后又滑落，低点触及1390，目前稍有回涨，暂位于1392一线修正，昨日整体还是一个震荡的走势。
　　
　　消息上，上周五美国劳工部公布的强劲的美国6月非农就业报告浇灭了投资者预期较高的美联储7月降息的热情。就业报告也增强了美元上涨的势头，对国债价格形成压力。本周三，美联储主席鲍威尔将到参议院就美国货币政策发表讲话，市场高度关注。
　　
　　由于上周五的非农就业报告显示美国经济在6月份创造了22.4万个就业岗位，工资增长了3.1％，因此对于积极宽松的货币政策的预期已经减少，金价已经从近期的高点回落。然而，到本月底，市场仍然至少降息一次，到今年年底将近四次降息。
　　
　　市场对宽松货币政策的预期使债券收益率保持在2％，仅略高于上周的多年低点。低债券收益率支撑了更高的gold价格，降低了贵金属作为非收益资产的机会成本。预计美联储将降低利率，因为其痛苦的阀值较低。由于市场对宽松的货币政策上瘾，美联储在下一次降息后不能维持利率不变。由于贸易紧张局势对全球经济增长构成压力，黄金价格将继续表现良好。
　　
　　技术上，经过上周五的非农数据打压，黄金既有效下穿短期均线，同时也形成四连阴排列，而受此影响，当前价依旧保持短期均线下方运行，且短期均线于1406一带构成反向压制，MACDandKDJHigh level dead cross operation,MACD绿色动能柱扩大，金价失守10日均线支撑，形态上有点“M顶”的趋势，短线偏向震荡下行，初步支撑在20Daily moving average1384附近，然后是上周低点1382附近支撑，若失守该支撑，则增加中线看空信号；
　　
Gold4小时方面：金价上周走势幅度依旧较大，但总体呈现冲高回落之势，周初表现不错再度接近前高附近，但周尾随着数据的逆袭，得以出现大幅回撤，彭宇鑫觉得目前可以说是围绕1400大关上下做文章。黄金隔夜大幅回落基本收复白天所有涨幅，承压下滑，MACD指标双线仍在死叉过程当中，绿色动能柱放量持稳，KDJ随机指标重新结成死叉偏下，暗示金价短线继续承压整理。
　　
　　综合上述，由于今日是周二，行情波幅可能不会很大，加之周三开始又是消息引导，这难免会影响市场的交投，所以短线思路还是围绕区间，高沽低渣。上方先留意1410-1408一线反向阻力，之下布局短线空单，若多头强势上破，则重点关注1438年高压制，之下依旧坚持中线空单布局，对于支撑，短线关注1390一带，之上看震荡，下破可期1380，甚至更低点的试探。
　　
　　以上观点仅代表彭宇鑫个人看法，如果你觉得上述彭宇鑫的观点对你有帮助，可以添加彭宇鑫薇//亻言：“pyx66832”Every day, there will be timely analysis of golden strategies, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services (all free!!!) to wholeheartedly answer every investment problem you have.
　　
　　黄金解套策略
　　
　　1、黄金被套了怎么办？
　　
Many investors start to panic and worry after being covered, constantly asking multiple teachers for their opinions on whether it will rise or fall. During their questioning process, they had already missed the best opportunity to remedy it. That's why my friends who make orders with me must learn first and learn to judge for themselves.
　　
　　2、黄金被套了第一时间该干嘛？
　　
As an investor, you should learn to be responsible for your own funds. After all, your money is earned through hard work, not just by lying down in a flood. Therefore, before investing, you must learn the ability to make your own judgments. When you set an order, do not be at a loss and start to panic to find your teacher. Instead, you should be calm and follow your own judgment to make the most correct choice. Then go to your teacher and see if their opinions are the same as yours. If the direction is clearly reversed, be decisive and take advantage of the situation.
　　
　　3、黄金被套了怎么解决？
　　
After locking the order, you need to choose the appropriate time to unlock it, that is, to close the two orders separately. If you never close the position, although the loss displayed on the account remains unchanged, in addition to bearing the interest on the overnight order, your subsequent operations will also be affected. There are two difficulties in unlocking: the point and time of unlocking. At what point and when to unwind will directly affect the profit and loss of your account. Simply put: It is best to find a break point, and the time must be when the market direction is clear.
　　
　　4、黄金解套最直接办法
　　
　　手上有单子被套的朋友，可以找彭宇鑫老师聊一聊，根据具体行情和仓位大小及进场点位被套深度采取果断应急的解套方案。手上有单子被套的可以与我取得联系。由于我不知道你套单的点位已经仓位的具体情况，不好给出相应的解决方案，需要解决单子被套问题的或挽回亏损的朋友可联系我。
　　
Peng Yuxin Warm Reminder:
　　
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
　　
Author of this article: Peng Yuxin
　　
　　黄金投资指导薇//Your words:pyx66832
　　
Author's Message: If life is only like first sight, meeting and gathering is fate!