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The way to trade lies in change, which leads to communication, communication leads to achievement, and achievement leads to success; The fundamental essence of trading lies in stability, striving for progress while maintaining stability, and then avoiding risks and disruptions in order to lock in profits and avoid losses! The teacher is not a god. It is unrealistic to simply be accurate, go short and go up, and invest all the time facing certain risks. What the teacher needs to do is to constantly control risks based on the specific positions of the students, minimize risks, and consolidate our profits!
Information analysis:
Friday Beijing Time20:30Published by the United States6月非农就业报告表现大幅向好,美联储7月降息步伐有望放慢。截至发稿,美指蹿升32Point to97.229In stockgold跳水19USD to1394.72dollar/Ounces. Specific data shows that the United States6Monthly addition of non-agricultural employment positions22.4万个,远超预期的新增16万,但前值小幅下修至7.2Ten thousand; United States6Monthly unemployment rate recorded3.7%,较前值和预期值高出0.1个百分点;美国6月平均时薪年率持平前值3.10%Less than expected3.2%。美国劳工部称,过去三个月,平均新增非农就业人数为17.1Ten thousand;6月专业商业服务、医疗业、交通部门和仓储业就业人数录得上扬。非农公布后,市场预计美联储7Monthly interest rate reduction25基点概率上升,直接降息50基点概率回落,年内仍旧可能降息三次。
欧洲时段,英镑兑美元创半年新低至1.2501,因美国6月非农数据大幅好于预期,美元指数大涨,另外市场对无序脱欧顾虑进一步加深。英国新首相热门候选人约翰逊此前表示,英国将会为在10month31日按时“无协议脱欧”做好充分准备。此番言论进一步加深市场恐慌,令英镑遭到抛售。但若英国有协议脱欧,英镑料将大幅上扬。
Federal Reserve7Monthly interest rate reduction25基点仍旧是大概率事件;整体来看,6月非农数据或放慢美联储降息的速度,但降息的轨道将不会改变。对美联储月底的政策决定来说,7月下旬公布的第二季度GDP可能比非农报告更加重要。
下周黄金走势预测:
日线来看,高位震荡;K线形态仍有M顶的风险,KDJDead fork operation,MACD也有死叉趋势,短线偏向震荡下行,初步支撑在5Daily moving average1410.70附近,上涨趋势线支撑目前在1395.28附近,若失守该位置,则增加短线看空信号;较强的支撑在20Daily moving average1381.52附近。另外1266-1439Upward trend19.1%Retreat position1406.79and1400整数关口附近也还分别存在一些支撑。上方留意近期高点1438.75附近阻力,若强势顶破该阻力在,则有望打开新的上涨空间。综合来看,下周一操作思路上李文点金个人建议高沽低渣即可,上方关注1410-1415One line of resistance, pay attention below1390-1385一线支撑。现货黄金,伦敦金,黄金走势分析【李文点金微信ldw6659】crude oilOperational recommendations,foreign exchangemarket USD exchange rate, USD index stock market indexfutures 最新策略、
下周原油走势预测:
当前油价持于57.5美元附近;原油短期趋势仍然维持低位震荡调整。日线上显示,原油日K线陷于布林带中轨支撑已经短周期5均线的阻力构成的区间内,日线上均线交死叉的向下延伸发展,而受到中轨支撑跌幅有限,短期原油预计继续维持在区间内震荡调整;短期区间锁定在56-57.9美元区域;短线上看,油价短期维持盘整走势,KLine is affected by4小时布林带中轨的压力,整体风险偏上行,综合来看,下周一操作思路上李文点金个人建议低多为主,上方关注58.5-58.8One line of resistance, pay attention below56.5-56.2Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and I would like to get more details/Jiagong/swelling/皓:李文点金。(盘间行情变化具体操作策略以李文点金微信:ldw6659指导实盘为准)
为什么亏损的总是你?
1,没老师指导,自己到处看群做单,看小周期做,来回追,来回损。
2,自己主见很强,从来不单独信哪一个人的,看各个老师的分析,自己综合着做单。看对了的,自己因为没有信心,都没进场,看错了的,都做进去,亏了而且心里极度不爽,感觉天昏地暗。
3,有老师指导,总是重仓做单而且总是看反。
4,看对的时候,赚一点小钱就出了,看错的时候,就套或者锁单,最后总是砍在最低点或者天地连环锁全砍。
5,震荡行情做的还行,但是有一天重仓来回追来回砍了之后,对行情有了恐惧感,觉得每天都是单边,不敢做单,但实际上每天都是震荡;突然有一天觉得是震荡的时候,结果是单边。
6Unilateral market trend, I saw it right, but it always missed the entry point. I finally made the last order, but it fluctuated first, causing me to make a little profit and then run away. When I was frustrated, the pullback was trapped. Once trapped, they tend to consolidate, always feeling like they can at least break even or make a small loss. Although they know the trend is clearly reversed, they are still trapped deeper and deeper by boiling frogs in warm water, and eventually hit the highest or lowest point.
Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(周末也从不停歇,可供随时咨询)市有风险,投资需谨慎。
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