MBG Markets：全球央行宽松潮延续，数据疲软施压美元英镑

　　
多项数据走软，美元延续盘整(DXY)
　　
Technical aspect:美元指数上一交易日震幅达32Individual points, closing up0.06%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于下行，汇价持续于中轨一线运行；日线MA5,10构金叉，MA5趋于走高，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to47-48一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。美指连续两个交易日盘整。汇价贴近布林中轨、RSI指标贴近50荣枯线，均表明当前多空力量均衡。上方阻力97.30, lower support96.50。
　　
Fundamentals:U.S.A6monthADPEmployment records14万人，不及市场预期；美国6月挑战者企业裁员人数显示，今年上半年裁员总人数创2009年以来同期最高；美国就业市场放缓的趋势愈发明显。美国6monthISMNon manufacturingPMIcreate2017year7New low since the beginning of the month.5月工厂新订单第二个月下降。5月贸易赤字扩大至5个月高位。多项数据走软，加剧了市场对美国二季度经济的担忧。
　　
意债危机缓和，欧元震荡微跌(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar44Points, closing down0.03%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于下行，汇价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to48-49一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。欧元支撑阻力位较清晰，上方阻力关注38.2%Callback position1.1325Below support attention61.8%Callback position1.1268。
　　
Fundamentals:欧盟宣布放弃对意大利财政计划的惩罚威胁。利好消息刺激意大利国债创纪录以来最佳日内回报率之一：三十年期国债收益率创7年来最大单日跌幅，十年期国债收益率跌至2016year10月来最低。意大利最终承诺2019年预算赤字占GDP比重将为2.04%。机构认为，几乎可以肯定最终数字会高于这一水平。但欧盟为了避免欧洲债市再次爆发恐慌，愿意暂缓矛盾，接受意大利当局的“谎言”。
　　
PMI数据疲软，英镑持续下行(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The GBP/USD experienced a significant fluctuation in the previous trading day43Points, closing down0.12%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于下行，汇价贴近；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能持续增大；日线RSI(14)to37-38一线运行。主要指标暂未释放出超卖迹象，仍存进一步下行空间。但汇价不跌破1.2500的前低，即保留构筑头肩底形态的可能。上方阻力关注此前盘整区间下沿1.2660, lower support1.2500。
　　
Fundamentals:britain6Monthly service industryPMIRecorded50.2, comprehensivePMIRecorded49.7，双双不及市场预期。PMI调查显示，英国经济从2016year7月以来首次陷入萎缩，产出正遭受着自2009year4月金融危机以来的第二大降幅。以PMI数据做推算，英国经济第二季度将萎缩0.1%。且市场对未来的信心持续受抑，暗示第三季度企业可能继续受挫。恶化的经济状况令英国央行加息遥遥无期，致使英国十年期国债收益率刷新2016year9New low since the beginning of the month.
　　
　　
　　
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