Li Wen Dianjin:7.3黄金走势策略，黄金为何暴涨，黄金早间最新走势及操作策略

　　广大读者朋友们早上好：
　　
The way to trade lies in change, which leads to communication, communication leads to achievement, and achievement leads to success; The fundamental essence of trading lies in stability, striving for progress while maintaining stability, and then avoiding risks and disruptions in order to lock in profits and avoid losses! The teacher is not a god. It is unrealistic to simply be accurate, go short and go up, and invest all the time facing certain risks. What the teacher needs to do is to constantly control risks based on the specific positions of the students, minimize risks, and consolidate our profits!
　　

Message interpretation:
　　
　　本周五，月度最重磅的数据——美国6月非农就业人数将重磅登场。当前美国就业市场究竟如何？如果从失业率来看，美国当前已非常接近“充分就业”。近日凯投宏观的一份研究报告显示，6月失业率维持在3.6%，是近半个世纪来的最低点。只是，单单失业率反映不了什么。达特茅斯学院的教授David Blanchflower指出，失业率低并不代表劳动力市场强劲。他认为，当前失业率还可以从目前的水平下降三分之一，甚至跌至2.5％，但是社会上依然充斥着大量“就业不足者”（underemployed）和低薪一族，这些都体现美国就业市场的严峻性。
　　
　　相比之下，非农数据显得更有参考价值。分析人士指出，非农数据公布及时且周期短，更具时效性。非农数据在每月的第一个星期五公布，当月公布上个月的数据，周期短，因而可以有效监测劳动市场的变化。相反，失业率的月度波动幅度要小得多，失业率修正前与修正后的误差也较小，未必能完全反映整个月劳动市场的变动情况。但有人质疑，数据的时效性会不会意味着要牺牲完整性？
　　
　　这就要讲到非农的修正数值。通常来说，雇主会在月中会统计就业人数，但只有部分调查数据会被收集并反映在三周后公布的非农数据当中。也就是说，如果新增就业人数呈稳定的上升趋势，当月公布的数值就具参考意义；而当实际新增人数在下跌时，当月的数值显然虚增了，因此会在下个月进行修正。
　　
　　因此，非农修正数据能更全面地反映新增就业的实际情况，今年所公布的非农数据也说明了这一点。由于年初劳动市场相对强劲，前两个月非农人数的修正值均略微上调，1月的非农新增人数就从30.4Ten thousand people have reached the highest level of cultivation31.2万人。而3月的数据则从新增19.6万人下调到新增15.3Ten thousand people,4Monthly data from26.3万下调到22.4万。此前公布5月的非农新增人数仅为7.5万人，如果出现下调，修正值会降至将近零或甚至是负数的水平。另外，5月份每小时工资同比增幅已从2Of the month3.4%Slide down to3.1%。

　　

LatestgoldTrend analysis:
　　
　　昨日黄金因中美重启经贸磋商的消息影响，市场避险情绪持续升温，黄金惨遭抛售，周初金价跳空低开，盘中最低触及1381.7Near the US dollar, after the gold price fell below the key level of thousand four at the beginning of the week, the market rebounded and continued to correct1400The position of the checkpoint is under pressure, and the overall market remains stable1380-1400Previously fluctuating and consolidating, the current gold price is trading at1390Nearby hovering, as manufacturing data remains weak, the gold market this week focuses on non-agricultural data, which will provide further clues for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
　　
　　黄金技术面来看，周初金价开盘即跌逾1380Near the checkpoint, the gold price began to rebound, and subsequently fluctuated and consolidated around the range. There are signs of continued decline and recovery in the short term, while further resistance from above remains1400The key area, only by breaking through this position can there be further upward potential in the future,4Looking at the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are about to open,KThe line runs between the middle and upper tracks, and the moving average intersects upwards in the shape of a golden cross,KDJArranged in multiple heads,MACDThe red kinetic energy column continues to increase in volume, with the fast and slow lines extending upwards. Next, we will mainly focus on1400The breakthrough situation with key resistance, coupled with the gap at the beginning of the week that has not yet been filled, has a short-term trend in the hourly chartW底的迹象，整体而言，黄金后市趋势倾向于反弹上涨，日内看缺口的一个回补情况，综合来看，今日操作思路上李文点金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1440-1445Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1420-1415Frontline support.
　　
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Latestcrude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　昨日原油因石油输出国组织（OPEC）最终达成一致同意将减产协议延长9个月，这令原油多头信心受到鼓舞，同时中美双方同意重启谈判也令市场风险情绪获得改善，周初油价调控高开后一度站上60关口，盘中最高触及60.26美元一线，不过油价涨幅有限，因美国和欧洲制造业报告令人失望，破坏了对石油需求的信心，美元走强也削弱了持有大宗商品的吸引力，晚间油价走弱回补大部分涨幅，当前油价交投于59.0Around the US dollar.
　　

　　原油技术面来看，日线显示，日K线当前维持高位附近震荡，KLine is affected by10The continuous support of the daily moving average, the overall trend is biased towards bullish dominance; Short line4小时来看，布林带有收口迹象，K线位于中轨下方运行，KDJ呈多头排列，均线形金叉，MACD绿色动能柱开始缩量，快慢线向上延伸，短期油价会有一波反弹，后续可能还会有继续回落风险，整体趋势看震荡调整，综合来看，今日操作思路上李文点金个人建议以回调做多为主，回调做空为辅，上方重点关注57.5-57.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below55.2-55.0Frontline support.
　　
　　黄金投资被套，如何快速解套？
　　
　　（1）Lock in position and price difference method: After being covered, it indicates that our judgment direction is wrong. The market and our prices in the opposite direction are moving, and when they rebound or fall to a certain height, it is estimated that they will reach a short-term high. We need to continuously increase the funds in the lock in position to ensure that the lock in position is greater than the position in the lock in position. By using this technique of taking advantage of the situation to increase the price difference earned by locking orders, and finally waiting for the total funds to make up for the loss, completing the removal of the bedding and making a profit, and then selling all of it?
　　
　　（2）Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartKWhen there is a rebound signal or a bottom signal on the line, it will be very stable. As long as there is a bottom signal in the large cycle, it is necessary to boldly unwind, buy continuously on dips, increase positions, and once the large cycle rebounds, it can be resolved.
　　
　　（3）降低均价法：被套后，如果是套在相对历史低点，就不用担心，因为黄金本身的价值决定了黄金不可能出现较大跌幅，必然会有反弹的空间，这个时候要不断的逢低加仓买入，逢低15%Increase the position once and lower the average price, so that when gold experiences a rebound, it can be eliminated. This technique is also known as the pyramid method.
　　
　　（4）Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong and there are really no opportunities left, choose a certain rebound space for single stop loss. The gold market is very large on one side, especially when the opposite direction of high or low orders is trapped, you need to make a decisive single stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can redo the order and ensure the principal.
　　
　　本人是一名金融投资分析师，长期从事现货投资研究，在黄金、原油、白银等方面有深入研究，有丰富的理财经验和成熟的管理模式，操盘经验丰富，成功的帮助了无数投资人，我们追求的是共赢,专业专注,责任是我们口号指导V訫ldw6659），公众号：李文点金（lwdj6659）
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00（周末也从不停歇，可供随时咨询）市有风险，投资需谨慎。
　　
Wen/Li Wen Dianjin