美联储将在周四凌晨公布利率决议及政策声明,会议召开前夕据CMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve This Year6Monthly interest rate maintained at2.25%-2.5%的概率为80.8%Interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is19.2%;9月维持利率在该区间的概率为4.9%Interest rate reduction25个基点和降息50个基点的概率分别为32.9%and51.7%。对此,三菱日联方面称:“美国利率市场已经充分计价美联储在7月之前降息25个基点的可能性,美联储料将在本周会议上展现鸽派政策立场,对美国经济前景下行风险的敏感性会使央行需要立即降息。”当前来看,市场静候美联储议息会议,日内观望情绪较浓,受基本面利好影响,伦敦金很大程度上会延续前期日内的小幅慢涨走势。
原油上周周尾两天反弹走高后,本周一油价整体维持在52附近震荡盘整,隔夜油价一度下探51.6附近后回升,当前继续徘徊于52关口附近;日线图上显示,昨日油价小幅收跌,短期有在52附近陷震荡盘整的迹象。短线上看,4On the hour chart,K线持于布林带中轨附近徘徊,而布林带呈缩口状态,短期油价料在上下轨之间震荡反复。综合来看,今日午夜操作思路上万胜贤个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注54.6-54.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below53.2-53.4Frontline support.
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
策略一:原油反弹至54.6-54.8Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target53.8-54.0frontline;
策略二:原油回调至53.2-53.4Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target54.2-54.4frontline;
How to Properly Invest in Gold
Step 1: Clarify your goals, which means planning your intended investmentforeign exchange交易的资金,赚取多少盈利、能承受的亏损范围大概是多少,通过这些基础目标才能做出合理的资金管理方案。不过万胜贤也要提醒广大外汇投资者,外汇虽然是一门低成本、高收益的投资,有百倍杠杆进行增益,但是也要注意成本的控制,避免频繁交易增加成本。
Step 2: Plan the steps, such as what trading mode to use to gain profits, whether you are good at frequent short-term trading or prefer a long-term fishing model to make orders, how much trading to stop every day, how much money to withdraw from the market when losing, and how much money to close positions when earning, all of which need to be well planned.
Step 3: Verify the plan. No matter how perfect the theory is, it cannot be determined whether it is effective without practical application. After roughly developing your trading strategy, you can use the simulation account provided by the platform to verify whether the formulated strategy is effective and see if it can bring stable profits to yourself.