宏建论市：6.15黄金冲高回落下周操作策略，原油震荡上行继续多。

　  Life is so simple, if you can't find a reason to persevere, then find a reason to start over, smile at life, and all the beauty will come to you. There is no such thing as a dead end to a person's path, and there will always be a dilemma on the road of investment. Accidentally changing your mindset, you may understand that there is still a road next to the road, and after losses, only the path of profit remains. Choosing the right direction, you will achieve twice the result with half the effort on this road. Be calm when you gain, be indifferent when you lose, strive for inevitability, and let nature take its course.


　　goldNext week's market analysis:


　　由于全球市场风险情绪继续恶化，美国stock market indexfutures与美债收益率一同走低，黄金本周五一举攻下1350Then continue looking1360关口，而在美国公布零售销售数据之前，市场愈发谨慎，逊于预期的数据可能引发投资者大举转向避险资产。市场最大的焦点是美联储结束缩表之后，美联储主席鲍威尔暗示降息，美联储将要重回2010to2015The old path of quantitative easing in the year. Meanwhile, a series of recent economic data in the United States have also set poor records, which fully demonstrates the unsatisfactory recovery of the US economy1275Stabilizing and rising, bulls welcome spring, rising all the way, standing up1300Post impact annual high point; Driven by the bullish non farm payroll data last Friday, it punctured the high point and reached its peak1358The front line is falling back.


　　黄金从周线图看，目前金价进入前期高点密集区，金价多次进入该区域后都出现回落，可见该区域阻力较大。不过，从金价周线MACDLooking at the indicators,MACDThe indicator has formed a golden cross, and the long and short-term moving averages at the weekly level are well arranged. gold price4Looking at the hourly chart, the gold price moving averageEMA15AndMA50After moving away from the second line, it returned and opened again, althoughMACDForming a golden fork and amplifying the kinetic energy column, but there are also signs of deviation,MACDThe kinetic energy column is still not strong enough, and at the same timeRSIIndicator crossing70Overbought zone, with gold prices currently at their highest point1358美元回落，显示存在恐高情绪。综合来看，下周一操作思路上宏建论市个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1350-1352Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1333-1335一线支撑。目前仓位上有单的朋友，由于笔者宏建论市不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人（威：hjls8666）


Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:


　　策略一：黄金反弹至1350-1352Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1342-1344frontline;


　　策略二：黄金回调至1333-1335Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1340-1342frontline;


　　crude oilNext week's market analysis:


　　原油从技术面来看，日线图MACDDeath fork, but the green pillar is starting to shrink,KDJPreliminary golden cross, oil prices are hit by recent lows below50.60Nearby support, there is also support above10The daily moving average and downward trend line have significant short-term variability; At present, it has broken through10Daily moving average52.68Near resistance, the space above gradually opens up; Further resistance at overnight highs53.45Nearby, followed by last week's high point54.84Nearby. And if it breaks down51.62If there is support nearby, it increases the short-term downside risk; Further support in50.60Nearby, then50整数关口附近支撑。短线4小时尽管MACDandKDJ金叉，但油价受到布林线中轨和下行趋势线的压制，短线下行风险仍存，留意布林线下轨50.91附近支撑，若失守该位置，则增加短线看空信号。上方留意19.1%Retreat position53.66附近阻力，若意外顶破该阻力，则有望进一步试探布林线上轨54.60附近阻力。综合来看，下周一操作思路上宏建论市个人建议采取区间高沽低渣即可，上方重点关注53.2-53.4Frontline resistance, short-term focus below51.7-51.9一线支撑。目前仓位上有单的朋友，由于笔者宏建论市不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人（威：hjls8666）


　　Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:


　　策略一：原油反弹至53.0-53.2Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target52.2-52.4frontline;


　　策略二：原油回调至51.7-51.9Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target52.6-52.8frontline;


       随着黄金原油持续波动，目前有很多的朋友是被套了单了，对于目前手中套单子的  朋友，也不要去盲目的再市场找解套的文章，解套是要根据你的资金量，仓位，以及风险来定的。而解套的思路有很多，有疑问的朋友可以来和老师互相交流探讨。
　
Wen/Hongjianlun City     V：（HJLS8666）