Shan Chenjin:5.4黄金或酝酿底部的构建，下周需关注趋势线压制！

Shan Chenjin:5.4gold或酝酿底部的构建，下周需关注趋势线压制！
　　
Don't talk nonsense, be concise and to the point, go straight to the core; What we provide is the concise and worth watching gold market analysis you want! Accuracy and profit are the only criteria for testing strength in this market!
　　


　　非农利空黄金为何不跌反涨？
　　
　　一是机构的参与，利用其资金优势强行将短期价格拉起来，从而市场形成跟风盘，造成短线难跌的局面；二是美联储主席的讲话，相对鸽派，其将低通胀解释为“暂时性”的言论令市场难以解读，主要是数据和讲话的内容确实让人难以去客观的评价；三是技术面的支撑，我们看到前期底部就在1266附近，非农利空后快速刷新低点后形成诱空走势，依托双底形态强势反弹。这三点是造成黄金强势反弹的主要因素！
　　
　　当然，考虑到美联储主席鲍威尔将低通胀解释为“暂时性”的言论，故此你美国通胀数据4monthCPI将是下周的关键。我们最近看到的核心通货膨胀的疲软，特别是美联储最关心的PCE指标，是否只是暂时的，特别是，单位劳动力成本增长大幅放缓，这意味着核心通胀率将保持相当低的水平，未来几个月可能还会进一步下降。长期的低通胀意味着美联储最有可能在2019年降息，这对黄金无疑是一个利好。另外下周二将公布JOLT就业岗位空缺，周四还将公布PPIdata
　　
　　最后，包括费城联储主席哈克、亚特兰大联储主席博斯克和芝加哥联储主席埃文斯在内的美联储官员将发表讲话。届时行情影响及分析操作继续跟进单晨金观点。
　　
　　回到行情上，作为现阶段的金价其实已经没有太多下跌空间，前期也讲到过美元连涨三天触及98的关键整数关口。而美元的一味强势不是美国当局希望看到的，特别是美国总统老特，他一直都希望降低美元，这一点可以说是目前最大的变化因素，因为美联储连续放鸽这是可以看见的。美元目前冲击98受阻，那么短期应该会有一次回调的机会，利好金价。
　　
On a technical level, both weekly and daily levels are at the same level1266A single line forms a double bottom, and the double needle bottoming of the weekly chart and the combined bottoming of the daily chart provide bottom support for this rise.1266Or it may become a temporary bottom, if1282-1283Breaking through next week, so1287-1295都是近期可能看到的点位。
　　


　　客观上日线上运行的是高点下移，低点创新低的空头结构，原则上只要上一个高点1288不破，黄金的空头结构就会延续，大方向继续依托1288看空黄金，看黄金往上一个波段的61.8%region1253区域进攻。当前黄金只所以反弹，还是因为144均线的作用，以及多位美联储官员鸽派言论影响，在技术面和基本面的共同作用下，开启强势反攻。比较可惜的是周线和日线收盘在1280下，这令短线走势更加迷惑，所以在点位的选择上一定是重中之重！
　　
　　黄金建议仅供参考：
　　
　　1.Touching from above1288-1286Void1293Look1281-1279, take a break to see1274
　　
　　2.Touching below1271-1273Loss1266Look1278-1280, take a break to see1285。
　　
　　亏损的你是否有过这样的投资心路历程？
　　
　　1When you first entered the market, you had a winning heart and then found a teacher who thought he could lead you to make big money. However, it didn't go as planned. The teacher often went against the trend to make orders, blindly adding positions, making up orders, and finally setting up orders, only cutting the meat and being eliminated. In less than two weeks, the teacher suffered serious losses.
　　
　　2After passing by a teacher like the one above, you have already lost confidence in him and started operating on your own. However, it is difficult to make a profit without understanding technical analysis. So, you go to find the next teacher. First, you need to confirm his skills, and then ask him to shout for one or two orders to make money and follow him to operate. If the order is profitable, then you will increase your funds again, thinking that he is your savior and can recover the loss, But who knew they would fall into the abyss again!
　　
　　3At this point, you are already covered in bruises, losing 108000 yuan in less than two months, and then falling into a dilemma. Firstly, you want to exit the market but feel unwilling to do so; Secondly, if you don't quit and don't know what to do; At this time, you must still be confused. Can I still make a comeback? Should I still look for a teacher?
　　


　　这类的问题我见到的很多，很多人宁信鬼话也不信人话！我知道谁都想赚钱，谁都有欲望，但是你能不能去认真的思考一下，什么样的东西能信什么样的东西不能信？只一味的盯着利润的人我告诉你市场就是收割你们这些人的！所以多去看事实而不是听故事，面对市场上的信息，一定要理智对待，仔细甄别真假，不要被骗了两眼泪才觉得自己好傻！当然还是有很多好老师的，但是一定要仔细和用心挑选，不见兔子不撒鹰，最后祝你们都能寻找到自己的良师！
　　
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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.
　　
　　
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