Bo Shao: Analysis Strategies for Pound Sterling, Euro, and Gold!5-3

Bo Shao: Pound Sterling, Euro,goldThe analysis strategy!5-3

Fundamentals:
1、隔夜美联储维持基准利率不变，但将超额准备金利率(IOER)from2.4%Down to2.35%，符合市场预期，为去年6Month and12月之后，短短一年间第三次对超额准备金利率进行此类”技术性”调整。

　　美联储主席鲍威尔在记者会上表示，美国通胀水平可能受到了“暂时性(transitory)”因素的压制，没有收紧或放松货币政策的倾向。

　　2、英国央行暗示，需要不止是一次加息以实现通胀目标。只要英国实现有序脱欧，未来三年的加息前景略微高于市场当前预估。

　　卡尼在记者会上似乎释放了鹰牌的基调：在讨论进一步退出货币宽松政策，但与历史相比仍受限。如果预期正确，那么需要加息的次数将多于市场预期，只是在此次会议上不需要加息。

　　针对英国央行的超级周四之夜，法国农业信贷银行策略师Valentin Marinov表示，英国央行对通胀持谨慎态度，英镑多头可能缺乏热情，可能“暂时放弃”。

　　瑞穗对冲基金销售负责人Neil Jones表示，一方面单独来看，英国央行行长卡尼发表了鹰派的声明，另一方面9-0的票数暗示，下一次加息仍旧遥遥无期，市场陷入了两难。

　　3、美国第一季度生产率超预期加速增长，达到2014年以来最快增速，这为特朗普政府宣扬减税推动经济增长而没有引发通货膨胀提供了更多理由。

　　彭博称，预计周五的美国就业报告将显示4月份工资增长。生产率提高意味着经济可以更快增长，而不会刺激通胀大幅上升。

　　关于美元：眼下，市场继续消化美联储主席鲍威尔关于通胀可能受到“暂时性”因素压制的言论，美元多头持续拉升。不过有分析认为，鲍威尔言论给了多头买入美元时机，其实是陷阱……

　　原因在于：就近期欧美经济数据的表现而言，近一两个月以来一直支持美元走强的比较优势已逐步丧失。这恐怕会导致美元多头面临更多的结利抛售行情！


The pound was in a volatile market on Thursday!



From the chart, it can be seen that,pound/The US dollar was in a volatile market on Thursday,日线收盘为小阴线。日图显示，日线图上看目前汇价处于调整，指标方向显示有拐下迹象，建议中线持空；  From a short-term perspective, the four hour and one hour moving averages have different directions,MACDstay0轴下方运行，布林带目前中轨有阻力，当前整理于1.3030一线，说明短期是震荡区间行情，短线建议高空低多。投资者有日兴趣可以加入我的喊单应对万变行情。v.chenbo58It is expected that the GBP exchange rate may remain within the range today1.2980-1.3070Pay attention to market changes!

support level: 1.3000; Resistance level:1.3050
Pound up to1.3060Short selling under pressure, stop loss at1.3090, look at the goal1.3010about!
Short term recommendations come down1.3000Long near support, stop loss at1.2970Target to1.3050about.


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euro/US dollar:周四处于震荡回落行情


从图表上看，欧美周四处于震荡回落行情，日线收盘为阴线。 从日线图显示看，目前汇价继续处于弱势调整，各指标方向向跌，关注上方压力，建议中持空；  从短线看，四和一小时图整体迹象处于调整，指标方向不一，关注1.1150Support, short-term recommendation is high and low. It is expected that the exchange rate may remain within today's range1.1150-1.1210Running between them. It is necessary for investors to join my call for orders and capture market trends.Pay attention to market changes and make orders accordingly!

Support position:1.1150Resistance level:1.1200
当汇价上到1.1200附近受压力大空，止损于1.1230, look at the goal1.1150about!
Short term recommendations come down1.1150There is more support nearby, stop loss at1.1120Target to1.1200about.


The above is purely personal advice. Please place your order with caution and guard against risks!````````


gold:周四整体表现为震荡下跌后受支撑反弹行情 。


从图表上看，黄金周四整体表现为震荡下跌后受支撑反弹行情，日线收盘为阴线。日线图显示，日均线系统目前处于调整且依然处于上涨通道，目前日MACDIndicator in0轴边缘弱势运行，关注支撑力度，建议中线持多；从短线看，四小时图和一小时图均线系统均有拐上迹象，指标MACDstay0轴边缘运行且有呈现拐上迹象，其它指标方向不一，短线建议多为主，预计今日区间大概在1268-1280Operate intermittently, pay attention to market changes and make orders!
support level:1270; Resistance level:1280
Short term suggestion one: Go up to1278Under pressure, short position, stop loss1282, Objective1272
2： When the gold price drops1268Supported mostly, stop loss1265The target is1275！

The above is purely personal advice. Please place your order with caution and guard against risks!````````