Wise Eye and Xin Recognition:4.21-22黄金原油下周走势预测，周一开盘操作策略附解套

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Weekends are not only about rest, but also a process of learning and self-improvement. Develop a habit of reviewing and analyzing recent market trends and reading on weekends. Of course, you also have to marvel at how time flies, and every weekend is a calm extension that allows you to better face new opportunities and challenges after taking a break. Some things need to be learned to be engraved on the beach, don't easily engrave them in your heart, as heavy burdens can easily drag down your running speed. Writing a weekly review is actually about expressing one's views on the trend of the market, and on the other hand, it helps everyone who is watching analyze the market and solve problems. As the saying goes, before the troops and horses move, food and grass go first. No matter how profitable you have been in the past, don't forget to summarize my three provinces in Japan.

goldTrend analysis:

上周是近期数据最少的一周，同时由于耶稣受难日来临，市场资金保持谨慎，导致黄金波动幅度收窄，全周运行着震荡空头结构。周一黄金直接走弱下行测试1280区域支撑，日线以探底回升的小阴线收线；周二延续弱势直接走弱，打破关键节点1280奠定空头格局，日线以中阴线收线；周三上行测试关键节点1280受阻，日线走出冲高回落的走势，以小阴线收线；周四下探1270平台企稳，小幅反弹，日线以小阳线收线；周五由于耶稣受难日休市。本周4个交易日，构成3阴包一阳的走势，周线最终在1275附近以光头大阴线收线。

技术面上，上周黄金价格自1290一线直接回落之后于1288一线二次发力下行，直接击穿1280的三重底支撑位后持续维持于其下方波幅，刷新1271的年内低位，周四黄金收取小阳线结束五连阴，但是周线依然以大阴线收盘；周线上看，K线收取大阴线之后形成四连阴走势，KLine fromBOLL中轨下行延伸，BOLL带维持缩口状态，短周期均线MA5、10死叉下行击穿BOLL中轨维持下行，空头趋势良好；附图MACDindex0轴死叉运行，指标中性偏弱；KDJ指标自超卖区调整；日线上看，黄金价格破位下跌，K线收取小阳后结束五连阴，继续于BOLL下轨上方调整，BOLL带向下开口延伸，短周期均线MA5、10交叉死叉下行延伸击穿MA120运行至1280下方位置，上方关键压力位处于BOLLMedium track andMA30of1290一线位置；MACDindex0轴下方死叉放量，指标弱势，KDJ指标于超卖区调整；

综合来看，下周初慧眼识鑫个人认为黄金有望出现一次调整反弹行情，但是反弹力度有多少，能够反弹到哪个位置，就不好说了，其中需要着重关注的点位就是1280-1283区间，而且黄金只要不是重新站稳1290上方，那么黄金后市二次下跌并刷新新低的概率将会非常大；所以下周一操作思路上慧眼识鑫味//Xin（wdy6638）个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅；上方短期关注1280-1282Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1268-1270Frontline support. If you have friends who have locked their positions, please contact me promptly to add Wei-Core:wdy6638Real time free release.

crude oilTrend analysis:

周四油价小幅走高，因OPEC实际上的领导者沙特原油出口下滑，以及美国活跃钻机数下降和原油库存减少，支撑油价。根据联合组织数据倡议(JODI)的数据，沙特2月原油出口从1Of725.4万桶下降至697.7Ten thousand barrels. US Energy Information Administration(EIA)周三公布的数据显示，美国上周原油、汽油和馏分油库存下降，原油库存意外减少，为四周来首次，因为供应趋紧和需求增长忧虑消退，推动油价升至五个月高位；美国能源公司本周的原油钻井平台数量下降，为三周来首次。国际油价本周呈高位震荡走势，徘徊5个多月高位，主要因美国对伊朗及委内瑞拉的地-edge-politics-治风险对油市支撑较为明显。但需要注意的是，俄罗斯及部分欧佩克产油国对减产的犹豫态度则令油价承压。

从周线来看，周线自42.3一线起涨开始，就保持强势格局一路走强上行，直接从底部区域上行至高位区域，期间并未出现调整，多头走的是极端上涨，而此时即将触及这轮跌势大波段的前低位64.6-65区域位置，此时需谨慎对待。本周收小十字，涨势明显变缓，已处在周线的顶底转换位64.6-65区域，下周我们则需要继续去确认这里的阻力是否有效，不可在盲目追涨，随时都可能迎来下跌的风险，需重点关注小结构的变化，周线已经到了很明显的技术点，至于后市的走势我们还需确认。日线上看多头趋势仍然强劲，消息面上重点关注减产协议是否名存实亡，如果减产协议打破对油价来说会是一次强力的打压。

综合来看，油价整体维持区间震荡中，本周库存数据减少，进一步提振油价，同时美经济数据强劲表现，可能增长原油需求。但是油价的区间震荡有待突破。下周一操作思路上慧眼识鑫味//Xin（wdy6638）个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方压力短期关注64.6-64.8One line of resistance, pay attention below63.0-63.2Frontline support.

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