金禅子：4.17黄金承压继续下行，预测原油EIA利多看涨

　　futures投资的过程就像一杯没有加糖的咖啡，喝起来是苦涩的，回味起来却有久久不会退去的余香。亏亏赚赚才是行情--盈亏就像坐过山车，有高峰，也有低谷，这意味着，无论眼下是好是坏，都只是暂时的。笔者从业多年，实盘操作经验丰富，欢迎各方朋友交流，以下为今日行情分析及操作建议。

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　　goldTuesday(4month16day)惨遭重挫，美市盘中最低下探至1272.87dollar/盎司，已经跌破1280关口，势将连续四日收跌。日内现货黄金突遭15亿美元抛单打压，急跌至今年新低，引发了市场关注。对于黄金的急跌，有分析指出，金价自去年11月中旬以来首次持续波动于100日移动均线这一关键水平下方是诱发抛售的一个关键因素。

　　除了股市的影响之外，中国数据表现强劲，以及美国上周就业报告也是打压金价的因素；预计未来数日，金价将继续承压，尤其是多份财报即将公布，美股料将继续走强。目前市场缺乏重大的地缘政治事件的推动，交易员和投资者整体较为乐观，美国经济仍在温和增长，但美联储并不打算继续加息，股市的兴盛就是黄金的僵局。

　　4month17In the early morning of the day, the American Petroleum Institute(API)According to published data, as of4month12Day and WeekAPIcrude oil库存意外减少310Ten thousand barrels, expected increase100.9Ten thousand barrels; Reduced gasoline inventory360Ten thousand barrels; Refined oil inventory increase230Ten thousand barrels; After the data was released, the US oil company quickly rose in the short term and closed the report64.33dollar/Barrel, increase1.47%。

　　【恒指行情分析】

　　（4month17Hang Seng Index04号合约，恒指昨日趋势呈震荡上行最高走到上方30166Nearby, currently it appears to be a four hour lineMA5Wrap up below30050Short term support is formed nearby, based on the hourly chartKDJThere are signs of a downward trend, and attention should be paid to the upper level today30000Nearby suppression position, attention should be paid below30300附近支撑位，今日操作思路以回落做多为主。

　　1Suggest to use30000Multiple entry nearby, target30300Nearby, stop loss80

　　【美黄金行情分析】

　　（4month17Japanese Gold06号合约，美黄金昨日整体趋势震荡下行，目前来看小时线MA5Wrap up above1280附近形成短期压制位，四小时线KDJShowing a fluctuating downward trend, we need to pay attention to the upward trend today1280Nearby suppression position, attention should be paid below1273Near the support level, today's operational strategy is mainly focused on reverse drawing and short selling.

　　1Suggest to use1280Nearby empty orders enter, target1273Nearby, stop loss4dollar

　　【美原油行情分析】

　　（4month17Japanese) US crude oil05号合约，美原油昨日整体趋势震荡上行，目前来看四小时线MA5Wrap up below63.80附近形成短期支撑位，短期来看四小时线KDJTurn down, pay attention to the area above today65.40Nearby suppression position, attention should be paid below64.30附近支撑位，今日操作思路以回落做多为主

　　1Suggest to use64.30Multiple entry nearby, target65.40Nearby, stop loss0.4

　　【美精铜行情分析】

　　（4month17Japan) Meijing Copper05号合约，美铜昨日整体趋势震荡下行，目前来看四小时线MA5Wrap up above2.9330附近形成短期压制位，短线来看小时线KDJ呈震荡上行趋势，今日需关注2.9250Nearby suppression position, attention should be paid below2.9550附近支撑位，今日操作思路以回落做多为主。

　　1Suggest to use2.9250Multiple entry nearby, target2.9550Nearby, stop loss0.01

　　金禅子（jcz198）寄语：师者，传道受业解惑也！人生最快意的三件事莫过于：棋逢对手，酒逢知己，将遇良才！金禅子致力于期货投资多年，传道授业，共享经验。佛说：遇见就是一种缘分，相信我们的缘分也会由本文开始。我不仅是一位指导老师，也是你生活中值得一交的朋友，成功的路往往很孤独，期待与你一路同行。需要交流指导的朋友，可添加笔者金禅子的微信（jcz198）

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