Post a new post
Open the left side

Ruan Zhongren:4.10黄金空单被套不慌 静待美联储会议纪要

[Copy Link]
239 0

Register now, make more friends, enjoy more functions, and let you play in the community easily.

You need Sign in Can be downloaded or viewed without an account?Register Now Quick login with mobile dynamic code

x
[paragraph]
行情过去往往出乎意料,希望投资朋友们快乐投资。无论是赢利还是亏损,我们将面临的是变幻莫测的未来,每一单新投资的结果并不会被以往的成绩所左右。这一点对于亏损的投资者尤其重要。亲自受伤才会学着聪明在这段时间里,有不少朋友单子被套,心情陷入低谷,情绪的低落和goldsilvercrude oil的走势形成鲜明对比,有的朋友在交易过程中总是沉浸在以往赢利的喜悦里或者是亏损的痛苦中,固然总结过去的经验教训可以帮助我们提高操作水平,但如果仅仅是停留在以往的情绪中,将及其危险。

Message surface:
Wednesday Beijing Time(4month10Day)20:30,受3Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPI年率较预期有所下滑的影响,美元指数短线走低7Point to96.86,刷新日内低位;金价短线走高近2USD, Reported1305dollar/盎司。但因美国3Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPI年率好于预期,且3Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPI指数符合预期,再加上欧洲央行行长德拉基讲话令欧元承压,利好美元回升。因此走势再度反转,美元指数重回97关口上方;黄金遂快速走低。
Thursday Beijing time(4month11Day)2:00The Federal Reserve announced3Minutes of the monthly monetary policy meeting. stay3月的会议,美联储改变立场,暗示年内不再加息,并称将在9月份结束缩表。市场可以在本次会议纪要上寻找更多相关细节。分析称,若本次会议纪要释放更多鸽派信号,则会对美元产生较大的负面影响;若鸽派程度不及预期,则会提振美元。对全球经济增长进一步放缓的持续担忧,将促使美联储在考虑加息之前趋于谨慎,尤其是点阵图预估发生变化以后。尽管强劲的就业市场增长将令美联储满意,但增长已开始放缓,美联储可能在考虑加息前允许通胀在短期内超过目标水平。

Gold trend analysis:
日线来看二连阳打破阴阳交替走势,而昨日的收阳令金价运行短期均线和布林中轨上方,5日均线向上延伸,于1297形成强支撑,10日均线虽没能跟随上扬,但也于1293附近出现拐头迹象,另外,其它各周期指标相继呈现多头排列,KDJ保持金叉形态,显示出充足的上行动能,加之MACD指标也有意上行,所以,整体而言应维持偏多思路。
4小时来看美盘黄金率先小幅回落,并录得一根十字阳线,但依旧运行千三之上,而由于回落力度的欠缺,当前短期均线分别于1300and1303保持上扬,且延伸的形态,加之其它各周期指标呈现多头排列,布林带整体向上运行,KDJ指标结成金叉虽表向上行形态,但在上述有利多头发展的前提下,以及MACD指标依然金叉向上发散,上破70轴的意图明显,所以,整体看来4小时级别还可再期新高。
综合来看,今日午夜操作思路上阮中人个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1310-1312One line of resistance, pay attention below1300-1302Frontline support.
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Suggestions1310-1312Consider short selling and stop loss nearby4US dollars, look at the target1303-1305Nearby;
2Suggestions1300-1302Consider going long and stopping losses nearby4US dollars, look at the target1306-1308Near.

Analysis of crude oil trend:
稍早公布的API数据出现了原油库存再次增加的迹象,但是汽油和精炼油库存大降缓解了利空。原油周二冲高回落,亚欧盘横盘小幅走高,受前期高点64.7一线的压制转阴跌下行,美盘加速下行,最低下探63.6一线,后受到日线5日均线的支撑动能不足转为震荡,虚破前期起涨点63.8一线,日线收得一根小阴线且收在5日均线上方,并未带来反转信号,相较于前期的涨幅,昨日的跌幅微不足道,短线转为震荡。
日图进入慢涨整理,也就是连阳之后伴随小阴线修正,当然修正的空间依然不大,以高位强整理代替回落空间,边慢涨边整理修正,结合上周的修正走法,日图十字线之后会进入续十字的修正。重点看后面的空间,强势修正仍是整理为主,弱势修正才有空间回落。
综合来看,今日午夜操作思路上阮中人个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方压力短期关注64.8-65.0One line of resistance, pay attention below63.6-63.8Frontline support.
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1Suggestions64.8-65.0Consider short selling and stop loss nearby0.4US dollars, look at the target64.0-64.2Nearby;        2Suggestions63.6-63.8Consider going long and stopping losses nearby0.4US dollars, look at the target64.4-64.6Near.

(注意:以上建议仅供参考,文章具有滞后性和时效性,具体操作以实盘为准。投资有风险,操作需谨慎!)




Regarding the solution:
被套之后,我们任何操作都是被动的。我们应该适时地进行减仓或斩仓,现货投资属于保证金交易还会被强行平仓。无论结果如何,我们都会经历一段艰苦的心理历程。被套之后,才真真切切地体会到,进场是如何的重要。
After being covered, we can perform the following operations based on technical analysis.
1When trapped, according to chart analysis, if the purchased order is at a high level, immediate stop loss is required.
2、如果所买入的单子处在中位,可以依据当时的情况暂时观望,以求的解套离场或者逢高减仓降低损失。
3If the purchased order is at a low level, there is no need to rush to stop losses. Instead, after the purchased order has stabilized and fallen, one should dare to replenish positions at important support levels, dilute costs, and rescue the positions trapped at high levels in the upcoming rebound market.
4、如果所买入的单子的处在上升趋势,则不必止损,耐心地持有一段时间,必然会解套,甚至還会有较大盈利的可能。
5、如果所买入的单子处在平衡震荡趋势中,也不必立即止损,耐心等待该单子进入震荡循环高位,一旦解套或者损失很小的时候,应该果断离场出局。
6If the purchased order is in a downward trend, once it is confirmed that the downward trend has formed, stop loss immediately and never have illusions about gains and losses. Any hesitation or hesitation can lead to a deep trap that is difficult to extricate oneself from. *阮中人每天会在朋友圈更新趋势分析和操作思路,需要考察实力的可以去看,需要看建议的自行去看就可以了,觉得我帮不了你或者你有疑问你就再继续考察。
writing/Ruan Zhongren
"Small gifts, come to Huiyi to support me"
No one has offered a reward yet. Give me some support
comiis_nologin
You need to log in before you can reply Sign in | Register Now Quick login with mobile dynamic code

Point rules of this version

more

Customer Service Center

238-168-2638 QQcustomer service Monday to Friday 20:00-24:00
Quick reply Back to top Back to list