Xuanye Shengxin:4.8现货黄金最新思路解析，原油操作策略

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internationalgoldMessage surface:
Monday（4month8日）现货黄金日内上涨，黄金现报1297USD, increase0.49%。上周五尽管非农就业人数好于预期，黄金一度触及1280关口。不过因薪资数据不佳，同时特朗普再次炮轰美联储，黄金收回所有跌幅。由于近期黄金多次测试1280美元不破，短时间部分买单在1280附近进场对黄金构成部分支撑。同时市场还需密切关注美联储的动向，如果美联储迫于特朗普的压力而进一步放鸽，这将给黄金提供进一步反攻的良机。（联系见文末）
黄金，非农探底回升继续回到1290上方，行情多次的下探都没有跌破前期低点1281支撑，这个位置已经给大家说明过重要性，从周四的下探到周五的非农都可以发现多头在顽强抵抗中，日线方面大跌之后经过了6个交易日的低位区间震荡都没有走出太大的下行力度，每一次都是下探之后出现反抽，这种情况下就不能盲目去追空，同时也需要防止行情筑底的可能。
黄金趋势分析：
从盘面走势上看，上周金价走势基本维持在1280-1295Narrow range oscillation, but tested multiple times1280-1285After supporting the region, the downward trend noticeably slowed down. From a daily perspective, spot gold is testing again under the influence of last Friday's non farm negative sentiment1280After first-line support, the market quickly rebounded and closed at1290Above the checkpoint. At present, the price of gold is running between the lower and middle bands of the Bollinger Bands, with the opening of the bands showing a flat trend,KDJThe indicator forms a golden cross at the bottom and runs upwards,5MAThe trend of the moving average has also changed from the previous straight downward movement, with signs of upward movement. Looking at the daily trend, spot gold has clearly fluctuated in the early stage recently1280-1285There are signs of stability and stabilization in the region, and it is showing a rebound upward trend. Facing short-term challenges above1298、1300A line of resistance.
From the hourly chart, international gold prices continue to rise2The upward trend of one cycle has stabilizedMA20The position and amplitude of the moving average,4Hour chartBOLLI haven't spoken yet, ifBOLLIf there is a trend of upward divergence with an opening, the price of gold is expected to touch within the day1300Pass, testMA60The position and amplitude of the moving average,4Hour chartMA5AndMA10The turning point of the moving average creates a golden fork that diverges upwards,4Hourly attached indicatorsMACDThe upward momentum of the red trend is gradually becoming stronger,DIFAndDEABonding to form a golden fork has the potential to cross through0Signs of axis,RSIThe indicators are still showing an upward trend of divergence,StochThe indicator turns and forms a golden cross, diverging upwards. Let's take a look from above1298-1300美元。今日操作思路上玄烨胜鑫建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方关注1300-1302Frontline suppression, following below1288and1290Frontline support. Overall, gold is expected to experience a short-term pullback and accumulate strength, while it is expected to see a bullish trend in the medium to long term.

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
proposal1Bounce from above to1297-1295Short term bearish in the vicinity, stop loss4USD, target1290-1288Nearby frontline;
proposal2Step back below to1286-1288Long term bullish view nearby, stop loss4USD, target1298-1300附近一线：
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crude oilMarket trend analysis:
原油市场：地缘局势也令供给预期收紧，油价再创新高，短线偏向多头。原油周线连阳说明多头强劲，当前周线上趋势继续看涨；日线图上显示，油价在短线调整之后再度上涨，直接突破63大关；日线上均线维持多头排列运行，布林带开口发散，K线持于上轨位置持续走高；日线上原油短期趋势同样继续看涨；短线4小时图上看，油价连阳上涨后，短期均线金叉上扬，布林带开口；综合来看，周一操作思路上玄烨胜鑫建议以回调做多为主.
日线来看，原油目前的走势跟美股基本是同步的，那么在原油接下来的行情当中我们也需要去关注美股的行情，目前美股日线级别已经钝化背离，在本周一二等整理完成，后续金斗老师预计会有一波较为明显的跳水行情，这是我们需要注意的点，再来看原油，目前在突破刷新高后，原油我们现在不能一味继续看涨，上方的空间目前来看不是很大。
目前原油四小时级别沿上升趋势通道线在运行，上方63.6-8区域是趋势通道的顶部区域，目前价格离这里空间上已经不大，所以在四小时级别上，周一我们先继续维持看涨思路，等后续触及趋势线顶部后，再来空原油，这是结合美股的走势得到的分析，这轮跳水下方有望到达61-60.8区域，我们可以把握下，这是大方向，短期内，原油下方关注62.6-7区域，操作上玄烨胜鑫建议今日触及这里可多一次，上方关注63.6-8区域，周一不一定能涨到位，但下方做多的位置是确定的，具体我们看幅度，原油周一整体上短线上以回落做多为主，上方触及趋势通道线顶部后做空即可。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上玄烨胜鑫个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方压力短期关注64.0-64.2One line of resistance, pay attention below62.6-62.8一线支撑。（玄烨胜鑫 Weixysx33Letter)

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
proposal1、建议反弹至64.0-64.2Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target63.3-63.5frontline;
proposal2Suggest callback to62.8-62.5Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target63.8-64.0frontline;
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