Peng's release:3.6Today's crude oilEIA会利多吗？小非农ADP会涨吗？

Summary of Peng's Decommissioning Article:3.6todaycrude oilEIAHow to layout?EIA会利空还是利多原油？gold今天还会跌吗？今 Japanese small non agriculturalADPWill it benefit more gold?3.6How to layout the major non agricultural sectors on Friday? Are there many non farm products on Friday?3.6This week's major non agricultural sectorADPIs the incoming gold bullish or bearish? What are the major news and data this week? This Wednesday, the central bank will bringADPWill gold rise due to the arrival of non farm workers?3month6How to Unwrap the Long Short Single Cover of Japanese Gold Crude Oil? How to layout the medium to long term spot gold market?


preface:After listening to many great truths, we still cannot make good trades and have learned a lot of theoretical knowledge, but we still cannot handle it easily. If we are not greedy, we will not be defeated. If we are not afraid, we will win. Sometimes we want to prove to ten thousand people, but we find that in the end, only ourselves can understand. The survival law of the market is the law of the jungle, and it is destined that a group of people will be eliminated by the market, War will not give soldiers an opportunity to explain. The waves wash away the sand, and those who sink are the gold. Peng's Jiepan is willing to move forward with you! Those who set orders, lock orders, or have poor operation are welcome to come and communicate.

Peng Jiepan believes thatRecent news affecting gold：

---------The Delay of Brexit in the UK and the Dispute over American Courtyards---------
        3month6Entering March means that the final time for Brexit is getting closer and closer. Delaying Brexit in the UK is already inevitable, and Brexit may be postponed until6Month. As the second critical vote on the Brexit agreement draft in the UK Parliament approaches, preparations are being made from within the UK to the EU to postpone Brexit. With the recent optimistic performance of global stock markets and the easing of global trade situation, the safe haven appeal of gold has decreased, and the largest gold exchange traded fund in recent days(ETF)Encountered the largest capital outflow in over a year.
​       Eastern Time3month4On the th, the US House of Representatives Judiciary Committee officially announced that it will launch an investigation into US President Trump. The investigation will focus on Trump, the White House, the Trump campaign team, and the Trump Group business, and will focus on whether the president has issues such as obstruction of justice, corruption, and abuse of power. In the past few years, Trump has "clearly engaged in obstruction of justice", and this investigation was conducted to hold the President accountable for his misconduct. At present, it is only in the stage of collecting evidence, and there is still a "long distance" from the impeachment of Trump. No significant action will be taken until the Special Prosecutor Miller team's investigation report on the "Russia Gate" is released.
​       The court dispute in the United States is becoming increasingly fierce, and an increase in political risk factors will affect the economic market. Investors' risk aversion will put pressure on the US dollar and bring benefits to gold.
Teacher Peng's opinion on the future golden trend:Firstly, gold is still partially driven by the trend of the US dollar, and it is expected that the US.Lian.The reserve will not raise interest rates in the first half of the year, and the market has been digesting the expectation of a rate cut later this year, which may be re digested because the US.Lian.Reserves may be more neutral, which may lead to a short-term decline in gold prices. But once beauty.Lian.If the fact of interest rate cuts comes, then gold is likely to experience a bull market in the future. Secondly, under the influence of current risk appetite sentiment, gold has experienced a short-term decline, but the medium to long term outlook is favorable for bulls, as long as.Geopolitics.Risk management, global impact.Concerns about stabilizing economic growth and concerns about the United States.Lian.Storage pause plus.The speculation about interest rates remains a key theme, and gold will not be affected by extreme downward pressure. Overall2From a point of view, although the gold market is still in good shape in the future, the current bullish market is a bit weak. Therefore, when bulls open, they can only wait for the news to stimulate, and when they go long, they have to wait. Short selling mainly focuses on rebound short, and they must avoid chasing up by mistake.Kill the fall.

Peng's Analysis and Suggestions on Today's Gold Market:

Short line4In the midst of continuous yin decline during the hour. With the correction of a single small positive line, the double negative turn downward breaks the low. Weak market, corrected with consolidation instead, did not see a rebound. The short term is still in a weak downward trend, driving the indicator downward. Once the moving average system turns all corners, the short line chart will go out in a single wave. The rebound space of the hour chart is relatively small. Low level sorting and digestion diagramMACDThe bottom has to deviate from the high point of last night's late trading session1289There is a certain amount of small resistance,Overall, gold is expected to experience a wave of technical recovery and rebound in the short term. However, the rebound space is limited, and the overall trend is still in a weak pattern. Therefore, in terms of today's operational strategy, Teacher Peng personally suggests focusing on rebounding from high altitudes, with a focus on the above1289-1292-1295-1297One line of resistance, pay attention below1280-1278-1276Frontline support.


Today's reference operation suggestions for the golden strategy:

Daily perspective:Short on high  
Recommendation 1:present price1287Empty, rebound1289Stop loss1293Stop surplus1280-1278-1276
Recommendation 2:Plummet to1276.5-1278Nearby, stop loss1273.5Stop surplus1285-1289
The above personal opinions are for reference only. Every day, my Moments will push my opinions and operational ideas on the current market to friends who follow me. If you need suggestions, you can read them yourself. The market is constantly changing, and Teacher Peng cannot provide timely reminders. You can find Peng to unwind the market-psjp6688Or pay attention to the real-time operation strategy provided by Peng's release of the public account.

Peng's release of crude oil and operational suggestions:

     Trump, the "strongest oil analyst," restarted his guns,OPECPerhaps not moved, international oil prices have risen in response.OPECIt's impossible to4Any decision on oil production policy made at the monthly meeting is more likely6Make a decision every month, and the most likely decision is toOPEC+The production reduction has been extended until the end of this year. If the production of exempt countries further decreases, there may be discussions on relaxing restrictions on oil production. Russia will3May have reached the maximum before the month22.810000 barrels/The intensity of daily production reduction,3The average monthly reduction in oil production will exceed2Month. This is the second time it has been reported that oil prices are too high after Trump criticized them again last weekOPEC+We will extend the joint production reduction until the end of the year.
       OPECNot led by RussiaOPECOil producing countries last year12month7We have reached an agreement on the2019Reduce the total daily production in the first six months of the year120Ten thousand barrels. Among them,8010000 barrels/Day comes fromOPECMember States, Russia and10individualOPECTotal reduction in production of oil producing countries outside the organization4010000 barrels/Day. Meiyou once rose to57The US dollar has risen by more than2.1%However, there has also been a slight decline since then, with an increase of approximately1.6%. Mei You Gains1.42%, smoothing out more than half of last Friday's decline and closing down last Friday2.48%。 this year4Mid month,OPEC+A meeting will be held in Vienna to consider whether to extend the production reduction agreement to the second half of this year.

      Last Monday, since last year, Trump12monthOPEC+For the first time since the production reduction agreement was reached, criticism has been revivedOPECThe argument that reducing production drives up oil prices is that "the fragile global economy cannot afford it. Last Tuesday, oil prices remained stable, so Teacher Peng does not believe that Trump's tweet will changeOPECOr Saudi policy.

Teacher Peng believes that:US sanctionsOPECMember countries Iran and Venezuela may have created upward pressure on oil prices and provided support for oil prices. The rise in oil prices may also be driven by global trade optimism. If the trade situation stabilizes, the subsequent stabilization of global economic growth rate will also be beneficial for crude oil demand.

Peng's Analysis and Suggestions on Today's Crude Oil Market:

       The daily trend of crude oil cannot be confirmed even after its daily level is out of shape. Last Friday, crude oil surged and directly fell sharply, ending in negative. The next day, crude oil rebounded slightly and rose to57The adjustment of the checkpoint has risen. The crude oil on the daily line has been in the middle orbit of the Bollinger Belt and maintained at55The upper oscillation is in the interval55-58On the daily line58It has touched crude oil many times but has not yet risen or broken. Looking at the downward trend of crude oil online for four hours,KThe line runs under the middle rail of the Bollinger belt, and the opening of the Bollinger belt is slightly open and slightly downward.
The moving average runs in a dead cross below the zero axis, with a green kinetic energy column and weakened indicators. Short term crude oil may need to be slightly adjusted downwards within the day55.8Frontline. The four hour online crude oil price tends towards a downward trend, but the short-term hourly line and90Minute level crude oil has a rebound and upward momentum.Overall, Teacher Peng's personal suggestion for today's operation strategy is to operate with high selling and low slag. Please follow the instructions above57.3-57.5Resistance, pay attention below55.75-56.4brace


Today's reference operation suggestions for crude oil strategy:
Daily perspective:Narrow amplitude oscillation       Viewpoint during the week:Broad oscillation

Recommendation 1:Bounce to57.3-57.5Near empty, stop loss0.4Point56.5-56.8nearby
Recommendation 2:Callback to56.2-56.4Nearby, stop loss0.5Point56.8-57.5nearby

——Peng's Experience in Dealing with Dealing and Making Orders——

Experience 1: Reasonable Control of Positions. Peng's dissolution（psjp6688）I think this is the top priority because only by controlling your position reasonably can you have a stable profit margin.Opportunity for profit, otherwise, even if your account has surplus.Li, it is best not to exceed three standard hands for the first order（300Ounces), regardless of whether it is large or empty. In a good market situation, if there is a profit in the entry order, it can be done one by one, and the position should not exceed2Standard hand, on the contrary, if the entry order is losing money, do not go against the market and increase the price unless you have a few.A capital of one billion yuan.Gold can sustain. Similarly,5000A US dollar account is best done only0.5The list.
Experience 2: Set a stop loss before entering the market.commonly3-5The US dollar is recommended, or below the support point and above the resistance point. Why do we need to set a stop loss? Let me give an example: my company has a student who opened an account5000In the past two months, I have been doing well in US dollars and have never set a stop loss when placing orders. This has indeed turned many orders that should have lost money into profits and made a profit in the first place5000More US dollars, account.The house flipped over. In the later market, empty orders were firmly not stopped.Lose, this one is the end of his losses1Ten thousand US dollars. Not setting a stop loss means that every time you make an order, it may lead to the account exploding due to the anti order burden.Warehouse.
Experience Three: Mind Control.It's strange that some students earn money when they make it1reach2The US dollar will be liquidated and out of the market, when losses occur10-20If you keep more than US dollars, you will be willing to lose.Not willing to make money without it.money You should know that a successful operator may not necessarily achieve the correct rate50%But this is not enough50%Ying of.In addition to earning back the losses, the opportunity has also made a profit.
Experience 4: Trend Making Orders.Some investments.The investors have been thinking all day that the market has fallen so much, it should be a bottom, so they have entered the market with multiple orders, or they have risen so much, it should be a head, so they have entered short orders. Often the market disappoints these people, why? Because the market is not taken for granted, it has its own laws. I always had a technique before placing orders, which is to see if the market is bullish or bearish, and to enter the market after a small correction. buy shares when it goes up.kill.Falling is not feasible, skill is the most important thing.
The above views are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market. Thank you for your continuous support! I am Peng Jiepanpsjp6688。