Friday(3month1day)美市盘中,美元指数大幅回升,刷新近三日高点至96.48,美债收益率走高支撑了美元,金价重挫,现货黄金跌破千三关口,创1month25Recently, it has reached a new low1290dollar/盎司。早些时候因美国GDP数据好于预期,黄金出现了大幅的回落。尽管近期风险事件频发对黄金形成了支撑,但是因近期美联储没有进一步放鸽,且强调数据依赖,因此美国经济数据回暖进一步打击了市场对于美联储降息的预期,因而推动美元,打压黄金。目前黄金呈现双阴连跌破底的形态,同时各项技术指标也纷纷调头下行,短期来说黄金应该存在进一步回落调整的风险。
综合来看,日线有顶部结构走势偏弱,目前再次跌破低点,跌破上升趋势线之后继续下行的可能性大,上一交易日录得带上影线光脚阴线,即暗示上方卖压较强,也暗示下行动能仍存,金价初步失守布林线下轨支撑,若不能快速收复,短线偏向下探1month15Daily low point1285Nearby support.4Hour chart, moving average converging downward, overall trend weak, intraday drop below important support1290On the front line, the short-term trend is weak, and the risk of further downward trend is increasing. Key attention should be paid to the support below1285-1287Frontline; In terms of the Bollinger Bands, they were hindered by the pressure from the middle track and fell below the lower track position, opening up downward space.KDstay50附近形成死叉,关注其下行力度。MACD双线高位形成死叉下行,空头动能柱再次放大,下行动能增强。上方初步阻力在1298Nearby, then1306附近阻力,若意外收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号。综合来看,下周一操作思路上慧眼识鑫wdy6638个人建议以反弹高空为主,上方重点关注1298-1300One line of resistance, pay attention below1285-1287Frontline support.
Operation suggestions:
1Rebound1296-98Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1290-1286First line, break through and continue to hold
2Callback1290Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1296-1298frontline
从日线结构上来看,原油在周二到周四连续三日收阳截止周五行情出现跳水行情收大阴,本周回升主要是受利好消息的影响,其动能持续的周期是有限的,周五受上方57.9一线承压下行,强行击穿下方关键支撑节点56.5一线,最低给到下方55.5一线支撑后行情进行慢性整理。从目前趋势上来看,短线走势增加更多的不确定因素。下方则继续关注日线布林带中轨55.0一线支撑。结合日线以及小时线的走势状态,整体有回调修正迹象,只是希望消息面别再添乱。综合来看,下周一操作思路上慧眼识鑫个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方压力短期关注56.5-56.9One line of resistance, pay attention below55.0-54.5Frontline support.
Operation suggestions:
1Rebound56.6-56.8Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target55.6-55.8First line, break through and continue to hold;
2Callback55.0-55.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target55.8-56.0frontline