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Monday(1month7日)因上周五非农数据大好,风险偏好回升,gold盘初小幅走低至1282美元附近,但是因美国政府停摆危机持续叠加市场看空美国经济前景,美元再次承压于96关口,加之日元暗示市场避险情绪急剧升温,黄金于美盘时段一度涨逾0.7%to1295Above the US dollar.
Monday(1month7day)欧洲时段,美元指数交投于95.8附近,大幅下跌超0.4%,刷新两个月以来新低至95.7979。多家银行表示美元将走弱,2019年更加谨慎的美联储将放宽加息的力度,这将在2019年对美元构成压力。另外,美国经济数据显示制造业与服务业均有变缓趋势。美元走弱主导了今日foreign exchange市场走势,英镑,欧元大幅走高。
欧洲时段,crude oilSoaring2.3%, refresh2018year12month18New high in recent days49.47dollar/桶,逼近50美元。瑞银分析师斯塔诺沃称,油价可能在2018年年底达到了一个转折点;随着欧佩克达成的减产协议生效,石油需求保持健康,以及一些欧佩克国家面临一系列供应中断,油价将因此得到支撑。
Gold trend analysis:
从技术面来看,受上周五非农利空影响,日线以阴柱收尾,结束了日线上面的连阳的走势,不过多头的趋势结构依旧很好,布林带上轨继续开口上行发展。上周五黄金回落下探刚好回踩10Daily moving average support1276frontline,5/10The daily moving average still follows the upward rhythm of gold prices and shows no signs of turning heads. The moving averages of other cycles are also arranged in a bullish pattern, in line with the development of gold prices.stoThe dead cross of the fast and slow lines ran out of the overbought area, but the fast lines showed signs of turning upwards again,macdThe fast and slow lines continue to run at high levels and remain upward. Overall, the bullish trend remains intact and remains bullish.
From4小时来看,上周五金价快速下探支撑后,在确认支撑有效之后又形成强势反弹,且金价呈现碎阳震荡上升,今早开盘后金价延续强势震荡上升,目前交投于1293阻力附近,布林带三轨走平运行,5/10日均线明显的再度形成金叉信号,为金价的上行提供支撑,sto快慢线金叉大幅度的向上延伸,macd快慢线平行运行,绿能放量在逐步的减缓。整体来看,4小时金价在下探回踩支撑后,多头具备继续上行的势能,因此思路上继续保持低多即可。综合来看晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1298-1300One line of resistance, pay attention below1284-1286Frontline support.
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Lower callback to1286-1288Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1293-1295frontline;
2Bounce from above to1298-1300Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1290-1291frontline;
盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金Ⅴ/Letter(zh66646)Guidance based on actual offer!
Analysis of crude oil trend:
原油日内延续多头走势,整体上跟我们预期一致。目前从日线上看,布林带整体下行缩口,MA5上扬对K线形成支撑,K线顺利突破MA60一线压制,后市将进一步走高。从4小时线上看,布林带整体上行, K线依托MA5支撑持续上攻,短线预计将有所回落。从小时线上看,布林带再度开口向上,K线上方受到上轨压力,短线有下探中轨支撑后再度走强的趋势。综合来看,今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方压力短期关注49.8-50.0One line of resistance, pay attention below47.1-47.3Frontline support.
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1Bounce from above to49.8-50.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target48.6-48.8frontline;
2Lower callback to47.1-47.3Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target48.3-48.5frontline;
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.