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周鸿金:黄金震荡下行,原油稳步上涨,1.4晚间黄金原油走势分析及操作建议附解套

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  1month4Daily News Thursday(1month3day),民主党正式重掌国会众议院,与共和党分庭抗礼,而民主党掌权后,便开始对特朗普白宫官员动手,首先对美国商.务部长罗斯“开刀”,要求罗斯就2020年人口普查中恢复公民问题做证词陈述;周五晚间,2019年第一个非农报告及“美联储:联合采访”小组会议来袭,鲍威尔相关言论引发关注。
  全球的不确定性使得gold成为寻求相对安全投资者的避风港。美国股市刚刚录得2008年以来最糟糕的一年,也是1931年以来最糟糕的12月,因对全球贸易、债务膨胀、宽松的央行政策结束以及美国政府关门的担忧令投资者感到不安。在这种背景下,金价在2018年末出现反弹,逆转了今年大部分时间里普遍存在的负回报和投资者需求疲弱的趋势。
Friday(1month4day)亚盘时段,美元指数小幅上涨,目前暂报96.37The increase reached0.09%;现货黄金今开于1294.25dollar/盎司,亚盘先涨后跌,目前最高上探至1298.6dollar/盎司,最低下探至1292.96dollar/ounce.
  crude oil市场情绪明显好转,看多原油观点增加。市场博弈点首先在供应层面,OPEC+减产带来的实质影响与美原油产量大增之间,其次在需求层面在于难有大起色,供求两者的平衡与否对油价的指引。此前,利比亚原油出口受到影响也支撑了油价。
  

Gold trend analysis:
  
From4小时走势来看,昨天4小时出现十字星形态,今日延续性走强,最高触及1298.43,特别是大阳之后,即使出现小幅回撤,也是多单介入好契机,再加上短期均线指标MA5Clearly wornMA10The daily moving average is located at0轴上方运行,配合指标MACDJincha continues to increase its volume,4小时看好震荡上行走势。
  
  从小时线走势来看,连阳走势,刷新高点,短期内如若出现小幅回撤,确实是多单介入好契机,特别是金价站稳1290上方的时候,任何回撤都是介入多单好契机,考虑到今天晚间有非农数据,技术面看好回撤多,非农可以挂1287短线多,虽然短期均线指标MA5Clearly wornMA10The daily moving average is located at0轴上方运行,配合指标MACD金叉持续放量,小时线看好震荡上行走势,综合来看,今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1298-1300One line of resistance, pay attention below1283-1285Frontline support.
  

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Lower callback to1283-1285Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1292-1294frontline;
  
  2Bounce from above to1296-1298Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1290-1292frontline;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金Ⅴ/Letter(zh66646)Guidance based on actual offer!
  
Analysis of crude oil trend:
  
  日线方面,K线持于布林带中下轨之间,不过油价受到短周期均线的支撑,均线拐头向上,短期原油跌幅受限;而布林带依然开口向下,原油大趋势依旧是空头主导,上方关键压力位置在日线中轨压力48.3Around the US dollar.
  
  4小时级别:油价短线倾向震荡上行,凌晨公布的美国API原油库存大跌为油价提供了进一步反弹的动力。油价正在测试BOLL上轨的最后一道阻力,KDJas well asRSI指标正加速上涨,油价短线风险偏向上行,有效升破布林带上轨的压制,那么还将打开进一步上行的空间。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方压力短期关注47.8-48.3One line of resistance, pay attention below45.8-46.2Frontline support.
  

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Bounce from above to48.0-48.2Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target46.8-47.0frontline;
  
  2Lower callback to45.8-46.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target47.8-48.2frontline;
  
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
  寄语:这个市场对某些人来说可能已经身心俱疲了,从满怀希望接触投资,到损失惨重害怕入场,亏的连鼓励自己的信心都没有,或许真的不适合这个市场,无论从实力上,还是心态上,都不能做好,一度寻求一个可以帮助你的老师,也以亏损告终,继续待在市场不开心,离开市场不甘心,这或许是很多投资者面临的现状。任何投资都是有一定风险的,要么不做,要做就做出一番名堂出来。那么在投资的道路上,我给不你了太多温暖,我只能让你找回自信,我给不了太多安慰,我只能从操作中让你学到经验,我给不了太多虚假的承诺,我只能在实战中让你读懂市场规律。
  
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Every day18Hourly online free guidance)
  
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Zhou Hongjin's analysis team
  Wen/Zhou Hongjin (micro-letterzh66646)

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