【01/03】汇评：新年美元强势开局欧元惨遭重挫，苹果引发汇市巨震黄金冲破1290Gateway

Yesterday's review


      新年伊始，汇市迎来大行情，美元强势大涨百逾点，亚盘时段跌至近两个月低点95.81后开始强势反攻，刷新四日高点96.96。美国总统特朗普表示，政府可以关门“很长一段时间”，也可以很快开门。有消息称，美国总统特朗普准备与国会达成一致，结束政府部分关门的状态，给市场带来一些乐观情绪。但今早，受苹果公司下调第一季度营收预期影响，美股出现暴跌，市场避险情绪迅速升温，美元/日元“闪崩”逾400Point,gold短线飙升，一度突破1290关口，创七个月新高至1290.38。
      Regarding the Euro:欧洲经济数据疲软以及美元强势反弹，欧元/美元震荡下跌180逾点，创6month14日以来最大单日跌幅。亚盘时段，欧元/美元小幅下挫后突然一波急涨，触及日内高点1.1496后回落。欧盘时段，法国、德国的12Monthly manufacturing industryPMI终值录得和预期值前值一致，当前欧元/美元短线下跌，欧元区12Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value recorded51.4，和预期值前值一致，为2016year2月以来新低，当前欧元/美元短线下跌，回吐日内全部涨幅。美盘时段，美国12monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value recorded53.8，稍逊于预期值53.9，当前美元反应平淡，欧元/美元短线下跌。

Today's analysis

(Europe and AmericaM30chart)

Regarding the Euro:


      Asian market morning session, Euro/美元一波急升后在1.1347附近震荡。技术上今日可逢高放空，上方压力位1.1373、1.1453，若突破上方压力位时，可待回调至区间内逢低做多。今日欧元区经济数据清淡，美国经济数据发布较为密集。首先需关注有“小非农”之称的ADP就业人数，市场预期值17.8，稍差于前值17.9，若公布值较差，则打压美元。其次还需关注美国12monthISMmanufacturingPMI，市场预期值57.9，差于前值59.3，若公布值较好，则有望给美元提供支撑打压欧元。

In terms of gold:


      亚市早盘开盘，现货黄金在1287.42附近剧烈震荡。美元强势反弹，美元短线看涨，对黄金不利；同时黄金受到强阻力位的压制，上涨动能有所减弱，短线需求提防回调风险。技术上，今日可观望或逢高放空谨慎操作，目前上方压力位1292, lower support position1282。今日需关注美国12monthISMmanufacturingPMIData and the United States12monthADP数据，同时还需关注美国政府停摆相关消息。

Today's focus on data:


U.S.A12Monthly Challenger Enterprise layoffs(ten thousand people)
U.S.A12monthADPEmployment numbers(ten thousand people)
美国当周初请失业金人数(ten thousand people)
U.S.A12monthISMmanufacturingPMI

Disclaimers:


This analysis and trading strategy objectively describe the current market trend. Investors need to strictly follow the principles of following the trend, reducing positions, and stopping losses! We cannot solely rely on trading strategies as the basis for placing orders, this is for reference only!   
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