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周鸿金:黄金冲高回落,原油区间震荡,1.2美盘黄金原油走势分析及操作建议附解套

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  周三欧洲时段,美元指数扭转开盘阶段的跌势,并转为上涨。而gold仍震荡走高,美元指数反弹并未影响金价的上攻走势。展望后市,美联储或放缓加息,以及美国政府延续关门是影响这两大品种的主要因素。目前,美国政府就重新开门还没有达成共识,全球金融市场依旧处于紧张状态,因此对黄金起到较为明显的支撑。随着2019年的到来,经济学家普遍认为美国经济增长将明显减速,以及多个重要经济体都已经出现明显放缓,黄金机会多多。另外,一旦美联储没有出现进一步加息的动作,黄金多头也将有机可乘。
  

Gold trend analysis:
  
  从黄金日图来看,黄金继续呈现持续向上状态,K线已经站上全部均线,表明多头力量处于绝对旺盛。250天线后市将逐渐于下方个个级别的均线形成金叉,必定有共振效应的产生,同时,KD已经出现明显超买迹象,追高相对不可取。从K线来看,阳线已经出现明显缩小的态势,表明越往上,多头受到的压力越大。周鸿金认为,黄金多头已经形成,建议不要追涨,可等待调整之后,拉回找买点。
  
Gold from4小时级别来看,高位震荡,MACD顶背离后死叉运行,KDJ勉强死叉,K线有点“圆弧顶”的初步迹象,初步留意布林线中轨1276.27附近支撑,若失守该位置,则可能会进一步试探布林线下轨1267.40附近支撑。上方留意布林线上轨1290附近阻力,黄金若意外强势顶破该位置,则有望打开新的上涨空间,综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1288-1290One line of resistance, pay attention below1278-1280Frontline support.
  

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Lower callback to1280-1282Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1283-1285frontline;
  
  2Bounce from above to1288-1290Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1280-1282frontline;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金Ⅴ/Letter(zh66646)Guidance based on actual offer!
  
  crude oilTrend analysis:
  
  美原油近期行情多为区间震荡,没能打破区间继续创造新低,目前来看四小时MA5Wrap up below44.3附近形成短期支撑位,短线来看会有小幅震荡行情,大趋势依旧看涨为主,周线来看有回暖迹象,今日上方需关注47.3Nearby suppression position, attention should be paid below44.3附近支撑位,原油EIA已推迟至周六凌晨0点数据公布。
  
  四小时级别MACD快慢线运行上零轴,等待再次在零轴附近红色能量柱放量上行从而带动日线级别底背离走出大行情;一小时级别MACD快慢线在零轴附近金叉,所以一小时级别一旦放量上行的话会带动四小时和日线的上行。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议区间采取高沽低渣即可,上方压力短期关注47.3-47.5One line of resistance, pay attention below44.2-44.4Frontline support.
  

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Bounce from above to47.3-47.5Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target45.8-46.0frontline;
  
  2Lower callback to44.2-44.4Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target45.6-45.8frontline;
  
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
  寄语:这个市场对某些人来说可能已经身心俱疲了,从满怀希望接触黄金投资,到损失惨重害怕入场,亏的连鼓励自己的信心都没有,或许真的不适合这个市场,无论从实力上,还是心态上,都不能做好,一度寻求一个可以帮助你的老师,也以亏损告终,继续待在黄金市场不开心,离开黄金市场不甘心,这或许是很多投资者面临的现状。任何投资都是有一定风险的,要么不做,要做就做出一番名堂出来。那么在投资的道路上,我给不你了太多温暖,我只能让你找回自信,我给不了太多安慰,我只能从操作中让你学到经验,我给不了太多虚假的承诺,我只能在实战中让你读懂市场规律。
  
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Every day18Hourly online free guidance)
  
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Zhou Hongjin's analysis team
    文/Zhou Hongjin (micro-letterzh66646)
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