Firstly, the formation of trends is difficult to change.
做交易需要明确一个交易理念,即市场中商品价格具有趋势性,而趋势本身具有稳定性、持续性、周期性,一旦形成很难改变。商品价格高得离谱,会影响需求,在现货crude oilThe performance in the market is the top area of a bull market;价格低得离谱,会影响供给,在现货市场中的表现便是熊市底部区域。而一旦因为价格的变动形成既定的趋势,在很长一段时间里,按照趋势方向做交易便不会出大错。
Secondly, there are fluctuations in the trend.
During the ongoing bull and bear market, prices do not simply rise;In a bear market, prices do not simply fall, but are influenced by various factors such as news and policies, which can make a major trend run less smoothly. The trend market will move forward in a wave like manner, specifically manifested as one wave after another of pullbacks in a bull market, but after the pullback, the price center of gravity will continue to move upwards. In a bear market, there will be multiple rebounds, but each rebound will fall back and the price center of gravity will continue to move downwards.
最后,合适的仓位比看对方向更重要。
To a large extent, this is determined by the number of positions. The position is too heavy, and even small fluctuations can be swept out by leverage. Therefore, even if one sees the right direction early on, they have indeed opened a position and are holding on. However, in the end, due to the position, they sacrifice heroically. How to find a balance between stop loss and carry order?That is to lower the position. By adjusting positions to reduce risk, investors can increase their risk tolerance, while also avoiding interference from "black swan news".