Su Chengzhe:12.24I have shorted the gold The layout of the central line still needs to wait for the opportunity

2018After experiencing the baptism of the previous few weeks, the market in the last month has finally calmed down slightly this week, and the market will usher in the Christmas holiday next

The market is relatively quiet, so Song Zhichen predicts thatgoldThe short-term trend will maintain high volatility adjustment, and in terms of fundamentals, this week's data

Fewer, just according to convention, there will be Fed officials giving speeches one week after the Fed's interest rate decision, which needs to be noted. in addition

Regarding the closure of the US government and the special measures taken by the US President.Everyone also needs to pay attention to the dynamic news related to Trump.

In terms of market news, the summary of news sources and Song Zhichen's personal summary are as follows:

Last Friday, gold slightly declined, but still stabilized at1250Above the pass. Some departments of the US government are suspended, and the situation of suspension is more likely to affect

After the New Year, the risk aversion sentiment further increases. goldETFInvestors' support for the future market, the largest goldETFSPDRGoldTrustLast Friday's position

Rising again3.53Tons to772.67Tons. After the Federal Reserve raised interest rates last week, the US President.Trump has repeatedly discussed replacing Powell. Regarding this

A message, special.Officials from the Trump administration quickly took action to calm the financial markets.

A person familiar with the matter stated that.Trump's dissatisfaction with Powell has greatly intensified in recent days. The President has privately discussed the dismissal of Bao multiple times in the past few days

Will. Insiders pointed out that it is closely related to.Trump's close advisors do not believe he will replace Powell, they hope for the President's latest round of anger

It will dissipate during the holiday. special.Some of Trump's advisors warned him that firing Powell would be a catastrophic move.

since7Since the beginning of the month.Trump has been publicly criticizing the Federal Reserve for raising interest rates. So far, Fed policymakers have largely ignored the special.Trump's Criticism

Continue to promote interest rate hikes. special.During an interview with The Washington Post, Trump said, "So far, I am concerned about the appointment of Powell at that time

My choice is not satisfactory at all, not at all special.Trump has repeatedly blamed the Federal Reserve for the stock market crash10The month once stated that,

The Federal Reserve's interest rate hike is' crazy '. special.Trump's criticism has been escalating for several months, ending decades of White House respect for the independence of the Federal Reserve

The tradition of avoiding public comments on monetary policy.

It is currently unclear how much legal authority the President has to expel Powell. Analysts believe that the President's dismissal of the Federal Reserve Chairman would seriously undermine

The independence of the institution. A heavyweight legislator and market strategist on the weekend.Trump should not act recklessly towards Powell. If special.Trump

Attempting to fire Powell could have a destructive chain reaction in the entire financial market, weakening investors' confidence in the Federal Reserve without political intervention

Guiding economic confidence under the circumstances.

Returning to the market side: Gold performed quite well in last week's market, showing a volatile upward trend overall, not only breaking through key early pressure

Bit, and the highest touch1266.3. Summarize the reasons driving the rise of gold prices, mainly including the Federal Reserve, the weakening of the US dollar, and stock market turbulence

On the one hand, the Fed's dovish interest rate hike has pushed the US dollar index to a new low at one point; On the other hand, due to factors such as the US government shutdown crisis

The stock market fell to a new low in over 15 months, driving global stock markets to weaken and boosting risk aversion; From the current situation of the gold market, Huang

The general trend of the Jinhou market continues to be bullish, but this week, Song Zhichen suggests that the gold price be at a high point this week1266Don't go long near here! If gold wants

To form a new round of upward trend, the current strength is not enough. The market only needs to step back and confirm that it is in place to form a large unilateral trend, and then break through1270

-80Even the thousand three pass!

The highest point of gold this year is1366, from1366Keep falling until1160Bottoming out and rebounding, reaching last week1266Happens to be in the1160-1366In the middle of

Near the location of the interval, and the weekly line closed with a strong positive last week, but with an upward shadow, it rose and fell last Friday. Although the gold price jumped short and opened high this morning

Now there is a slight rebound1264Nearby, but the upward trend of the Asian market generally has poor continuity, and this trend is expected to be adjusted in the short term and downward

The key focus of the whole process is1240This area, and this round of rise is from1196Rising,1196-1266Fibonacci callback line0.382of

Position in1239Nearby! So, our thinking for this week and the upcoming market is quite clear! The current gold price is1260Above, let's start with

1266And the month line is on1268/1270Under the suppression of the pressure, first make a short look and adjust downwards, and after stepping back, focus on1240-1238In the process of re layout of the area

There are many lines!

Some operational strategies can be referred to:

1、1264-1266Regional short selling, stop loss1269Look at the target in the short term first1258-1255To break through holding1245-1242On the eve of the European market

Charge for a higher wave, as suggested by Song Zhichen1264.5Keep holding nearby empty orders!

2Below1240-1238There are many midlines to be laid out nearby!

3、crude oilToday's suggestion:46.4-45Interval operation is sufficient.



writing/Su Chengzhe  qq:1437593263