Du Shuqi:12.20美联储放鸽美元急涨黄金暴跌黄金操作策略

Du Shuqi:12.20美联储放鸽美元急涨gold暴跌黄金操作策略
　　
Ten years of ups and downs, the original intention remains unchanged. You say winning or losing is your destiny, and our path of profit and loss is all strategic—— I am Du Shuqi!
　　
Preface: Cats like to eat fish, but they cannot swim. Fish like to eat earthworms, but fish cannot land. God has given you many temptations, but they do not let you easily get them. However, you cannot cry out for pain when bleeding, turn on the light when afraid of the dark, and cry when shaking. No matter how big the market is today, tomorrow will be a small matter. No matter how big it is this year, next year will be a story. At most, we are the people who have experienced the story. Investment has no ifs, only consequences and results!!!Analyst Du Shuqi will escort your investment.

　　

Thursday Beijing Time（12month20In the early morning of the day3时，美联储宣布，加息25个基点，将联邦基金利率目标区间上调至2.25-2.50%。美联储官员们预计经济和通胀增速都略低于此前预期，预计明年会有两次加息，而9月会议时预计将加息三次，但仍高于目前市场对明年不会进一步加息的预期。本次美联储会后声明语气有所软化，但并非完全鸽派，仍表示进一步加息将是适合的，称经济前景的风险大致平衡。不过，此次决议不如市场预期的那么鸽派，因此，美元指数大涨收复97整数关。非美资产承压大跌，黄金暴跌10美元。本交易日，市场还将迎来英国央行利率决议。
　　
　　FOMC在会后声明中表示，“经济活动一直在以强劲的速度增长”。虽然官员们表示前景风险“大致平衡”，但他们也提及全球经济走软所带来的威胁。声明称，FOMC“将继续监测全球经济和金融发展，并评估其对经济前景的影响”。声明显示：“委员会认为，联邦基金利率目标区间的进一步逐步上调，将与经济活动持续扩张、就业市场状况强劲以及中期通胀接近委员会2%的目标相一致。”与11月会后声明相比，唯一的变化是增加了“一些”来描述未来利率变动的轨迹，而其中的一个用词也由委员会“预期”（expects）变成了委员会“判定”（judges）。最新的点阵图显示，美联储的预期中值是2019年加息两次，上次预估中值为三次。而市场价格所反映的仅为一次。
　　
　　黄金日线级别：黄金大幅回落，受美联储加息不如市场预期鸽派影响，黄金的上行动能受到一定的打压，金价在录得一根较长上影线之后大幅收跌，这增加了黄金的下行风险，金价想要继续反弹需守稳1236美元附近支撑，跌穿这一水平，黄金或扩大跌势。此外，金价目前处于上行通道中，金价在触及通道上轨趋势线阻力之后回落，这也增加了黄金的回调风险。4小时级别：隔夜金价大幅下跌，现正在测试布林带下轨的支撑，KDJas well asMACD指标正加速下跌，这增加了黄金短线的下行风险。金价已经跌穿了60周期均线的支撑，且短周期均线有加速回落的趋势，这也使得金价进一步承压。今日上方阻力1248；1252, lower support1240；1236；操作上皓月誉金建议高空为主，低多辅助；
　　
　　12.20Gold operation suggestions
　　
　　#1Rebound1248空单进场；止损1252；目标看1240；
　　
　　#2Callback1236多单进场；止损1232；目标看1242；
　　
Conclusion: While aiming for distant goals, do not underestimate things near you. The slowest person, as long as they do not lose their goal, can walk faster than those who wander aimlessly. Even if the road is rough, the wheels must move forward. Even if the river is rough, ships can sail. Although bamboo shoots are tender, they are not afraid of heavy pressure, dare to struggle, and dare to rise to the top. The author has the honor to be awarded the most trustworthy gold analyst, This is encouragement, this is even more motivation!Honor is an instant enjoyment, but struggle is a long journey!