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Wall Street Decommissioning:12.17美联储加息在即,黄金多头心如刀割。

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  周五美国商务部公布的数据显示,美国11Monthly retail sales growth rate0.2%,彭博预期增长0.1%;11月核心零售销售月率增长0.2%,彭博预期增长0.2%。报告指出,13个主要零售类别中,有9个在11Monthly growth;其中非商店类别(包括网上购物)increase2.3%,为一年中最大涨幅。
  
  华尔街日报则撰文指出,美国零售销售数据在11月温和增长,但潜在的细节暗示,重要的假日购物季有了一个良好的开端。11月作为传统假日购物季的开始,是零售行业的关键月份,尤其是对百货公司、服装零售店和在线零售商而言。11月销售增长略强于预期,加上10月数据的向上修正,暗示今年秋季消费者支出温和增加,这将影响到第四季度整体经济增长步伐。
  
  Markit首席经济学家威廉姆森表示,美国11月消费者支出动能似乎增强,因家庭购买家具、电子产品和一系列其他商品有所增加,这可能进一步缓解市场对经济大幅放缓的担忧。
  
  goldTrend analysis:
  
  12month17day(Monday)黄金开盘于1238.46,基本平开于上周五的收盘位置,目前报价1237.51.本周美联储将召开2018年最后一场议息会议,市场预计美联储将宣布加息。
  
  上周五由于美元指数走强,承压黄金下跌。继欧洲央行下调今明两年经济增长预期之后,德国央行下调今明两年的经济增长预期,以及欧元区制造业和服务业数据不及预期,支撑美元上涨。而美国12月在制造业数据为53.9,服务业为53.4,但是经济增速操持相对的稳健。另外,美国11月零售数据月率为0.2%,评论称,美国11月消费者支出动能似乎增强。
  
  全球经济增长的放缓,黄金作为大宗商品承压是一种必然,此时并不是长期的作为避险资产而被追捧。周内的重点是美联储利率决议,投资者重点关注。
  
  目前从技术面看,黄金多头仍具有近期的技术优势,从四周的走势来看,日线图仍处于涨势,但金价重新滑落至1240下方,有变弱的可能。1240已转化为阻力位,空头下一个目标是进一步跌破1230关口,重新下探11Monthly low point1220.90dollar/盎司。多头需重返1240并持稳在其上方才能重拾升势。
  
  黄金周五如预期一致,下跌至1232位置,今天黄金跳空低开,1240下先看下跌,看下方支撑1235-1232位置,如果跌不破支撑位置后再考虑反手,本周四凌晨利率决议,行情一触即发,本周将迎来黄金的爆发期,利率决议后以多为主!
  
  其实在周五通铭1241位置空之后,黄金下跌至1232位置时就告诉客户可以做反弹了,并且给了1232位置的埋伏单!随后黄金再次反弹至1240一线!周五多空通吃!本周四利率决议是大概率事件,也是在预期之内的事情,对行情的影响会提前反应!我们更多的关注利率决议后的政策声明和美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话!如果后期政策偏鸽派,黄金将迎来年末的爆发行情!多头将会持续上攻,反之下跌!
  
  周三前,黄金将以震荡回调为主,短线先空,回落至1228-1232区域内时,可以分批埋伏多单进场!
  
Golden Operation Concept:
  
  1、1238Frontline empty orders entering, target1232-33Stop loss1242.
  
  2、1230Multiple entry orders on the front line, target1238-40Stop loss1235.
  
  投资黄金,你必须知道的
  
  1Reasonably control the position. The essence of making money through trading is to make money through compound interest, not through explosive profits. Everyone has different ideas about the model of making money through compound interest, and they can summarize it in practice. Here's a mnemonic for everyone: light storage and small quantity, go with the flow;Little water flows long, little makes many.
  
  2Always bring a stop loss. To combine the stop loss position with one's own position adjustment, and also with one's own operating cycle. If doing a midline operation, the stop loss will be slightly enlarged, generally10-15Point around. Perform short-term operations, average stop loss level4Point around. To divide the invested funds into3One opening trial order, and two additional orders to be added midway. In the specific operation process, it is necessary to use a small amount of funds, make appropriate short-term transfers, and not cover it all at once. We need to combine technical stop loss with financial stop loss.
  
  3、顺势而为,切忌逆势操作。每当市场上演逼空行情或杀多行情都会打爆很多人的帐户。究其原因就是一味地死多或死空,不会灵活应变,顺势调整。而且越错越加码,加死码,幻想有一天价格回头,能够反败为胜。结果没有等到反败为胜那一天,“子弹”早早打光,死在半途当中。
  
The market has neither bulls nor bears, only slippery ones can survive in the long run. In such situations, investors need to strengthen their learning, practice hard, and improve their technical analysis skills. Improve one's psychological quality, strengthen mental training, and strive to achieve the unity of knowledge and action.
  
Without much ado, risk control must be done well in the operation. The market is constantly changing, and trading also needs to be flexible and controlled. Pay attention to every support and resistance in the market, as it may become the driving force for market continuation or reversal!
  
The first thing that comes to mind about investment laws is the 28/20 law, which is widely present in the investment market. But when it comes to the equally common Matthew effect in the investment field, not many people may know. The Matthew effect reflects the phenomenon of the stronger and the weaker in investment, which is a common phenomenon in today's society, known as "winner take all". Its performance in the investment field is that investment giants who can make money are more likely to make money, and retail investors who can make money are also more likely to make money. Winners take all, while losers lose all. Therefore, a novice investor must constantly learn from investment masters and market experts during the investment process, and choose the ones who are good and follow them.
  
  投资黄金,你必须知道的
  
  1Reasonably control the position. The essence of making money through trading is to make money through compound interest, not through explosive profits. Everyone has different ideas about the model of making money through compound interest, and they can summarize it in practice. Here's a mnemonic for everyone: light storage and small quantity, go with the flow;Little water flows long, little makes many.
  
  2Always bring a stop loss. To combine the stop loss position with one's own position adjustment, and also with one's own operating cycle. If doing a midline operation, the stop loss will be slightly enlarged, generally10-15Point around. Perform short-term operations, average stop loss level4Point around. To divide the invested funds into3One opening trial order, and two additional orders to be added midway. In the specific operation process, it is necessary to use a small amount of funds, make appropriate short-term transfers, and not cover it all at once. We need to combine technical stop loss with financial stop loss.
  
  3、顺势而为,切忌逆势操作。每当市场上演逼空行情或杀多行情都会打爆很多人的帐户。究其原因就是一味地死多或死空,不会灵活应变,顺势调整。而且越错越加码,加死码,幻想有一天价格回头,能够反败为胜。结果没有等到反败为胜那一天,“子弹”早早打光,死在半途当中。
  
The market has neither bulls nor bears, only slippery ones can survive in the long run. In such situations, investors need to strengthen their learning, practice hard, and improve their technical analysis skills. Improve one's psychological quality, strengthen mental training, and strive to achieve the unity of knowledge and action.
  
Without much ado, risk control must be done well in the operation. The market is constantly changing, and trading also needs to be flexible and controlled. Pay attention to every support and resistance in the market, as it may become the driving force for market continuation or reversal!
  
The first thing that comes to mind about investment laws is the 28/20 law, which is widely present in the investment market. But when it comes to the equally common Matthew effect in the investment field, not many people may know. The Matthew effect reflects the phenomenon of the stronger and the weaker in investment, which is a common phenomenon in today's society, known as "winner take all". Its performance in the investment field is that investment giants who can make money are more likely to make money, and retail investors who can make money are also more likely to make money. Winners take all, while losers lose all. Therefore, a novice investor must constantly learn from investment masters and market experts during the investment process, and choose the ones who are good and follow them.
  
Message:
  
  交易之路漫漫,随波逐流者多之!However, those who do not plan for the overall situation are not enough to plan for a city. The market situation is unpredictable and unpredictable. Only by setting one's mind, observing the situation, planning and moving forward, not being confused by the heart, not trapped in the situation, and strategizing can one win a thousand miles away. Doubt can filter out risks, but it can also miss opportunities. To seize opportunities, one must be brave enough to try. If one lacks ambition, even with the help of influential people, it will eventually be difficult to achieve their goals.

writing/华尔街解盘
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Wall Street Decommissioning:12.17美联储加息在即,黄金多头心如刀割。653 / author:华尔街解盘 / PostsID:1253194
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