杜舒奇：12.11非农陷入困境，贵金属向上表态

Du Shuqi:12.11非农陷入困境，贵金属向上表态
　　
Ten years of ups and downs, the original intention remains unchanged. You say winning or losing is your destiny, and our path of profit and loss is all strategic—— I am Du Shuqi!
　　
Preface: Cats like to eat fish, but they cannot swim. Fish like to eat earthworms, but fish cannot land. God has given you many temptations, but they do not let you easily get them. However, you cannot cry out for pain when bleeding, turn on the light when afraid of the dark, and cry when shaking. No matter how big the market is today, tomorrow will be a small matter. No matter how big it is this year, next year will be a story. At most, we are the people who have experienced the story. Investment has no ifs, only consequences and results!!!Analyst Du Shuqi will escort your investment.

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　　今日国际现货goldOpening1249.88美元，最高录得1251.05USD, minimum1247.76美元，截至14:00为止，录得1249.26USD, down0.62USD.
　　
　　今日国际现货白银开盘14.640美元，最高录得14.652USD, minimum14.579美元，截至14:00为止，录得14.596USD, down0.044USD.
　　
Message surface:
　　
　　上周五美国劳工部公布非农数据，其中新增就业人数及薪资增速环比均不及预期，暗示美国经济部份降温，或将影响美联储加息步调，因此削弱市场对美元需求，将有利贵金属发展。此外，全球最大黄金EFT较上日持仓增加1.52吨，显示市场看好黄金后市发展，使黄金上行动能加大。
　　
　　而美国股市部份，美国经济增长趋于缓和，令投资者担忧美国经济前景，导致股票纷纷遭抛售，造成美国三大stock market index再次下挫，资金寻求避险转向黄金，支撑黄金上涨力道。
　　
　　而地缘政治方面，乌克兰明年起将终止《乌俄友好条约》的效力，让乌俄两国双方摩擦升温，双方关系有如箭在弦上，如两国战局一担触发，或将提高黄金避险需求，有望拉抬黄金向上攀升。
　　
　　最后以美联储切入，美联储理事布雷纳德及官员布拉德发表言论，前者表示美国经济强劲，并表示近期支持渐进式加息，但海外经济走软，且脱欧风险及贸易不确定性将波及美国经济。与先前美联储官员谈话相距不远，故以中性看待。而后者表示，目前利率超过中性水平，因此建议美联储推迟12月加息，是首位公开表态暂缓加息的官员，再给予美元指数沉重一击，造成美元指数持续弱势，令贵金属后市看涨。
　　
　　晚间留意:无重大事件
　　
Technical aspect:
　　
　　黄金一小时级别，再次突破前高至1251，且维持在120均线上方，整体保持多头格局，但目前KD处于高档且死叉，代表短线仍有下跌动能，建议回测支撑1243~1244布局多单。
　　
　　白银一小时线，跌至120均线后随即反弹，且突破压力价位14.53，整体维持多头格局，但目前KD处于死叉且开口扩大，代表短线有下跌动力，建议回测支撑14.53布局多单。

　　

Operation strategy:
　　
Gold:proposal1243~1244Long, target1250~1253Stop loss1239。

　　

Silver:proposal14.53Long, target14.65Stop loss14.43。
　　
Conclusion: While aiming for distant goals, do not underestimate things near you. The slowest person, as long as they do not lose their goal, can walk faster than those who wander aimlessly. Even if the road is rough, the wheels must move forward. Even if the river is rough, ships can sail. Although bamboo shoots are tender, they are not afraid of heavy pressure, dare to struggle, and dare to rise to the top. The author has the honor to be awarded the most trustworthy gold analyst, This is encouragement, this is even more motivation!Honor is an instant enjoyment, but struggle is a long journey!